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UCLA

UCLA 34 at Stanford 16

STAN
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 17, 2019 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:18 · Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−17.6Score differential−9.7Pregame prior+5.0Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:48: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:31: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:02: JJ Molson 43 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +8.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:12: JJ Molson 49 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +2.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:55: Joshua Kelley run for 54 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:45STAN 4th & 1 at UCLA 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31STAN 4th & 19 at STAN 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:43STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:29UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:43STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:25UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:15STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:11STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:02UCLA 4th & 5 at STAN 25, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−6.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:46STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:14UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:18STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:12UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 31, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:36UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:45STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:21UCLA 4th & 10 at STAN 33, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:52STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:48UCLA 4th & 1 at STAN 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−1.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:25STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:16UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:31UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:55UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:50STAN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:0065% → 65%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.8%
Jack West run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
64.8%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
64.8%
Jack West pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
64.8%
Jack West pass complete to Connor Wedington for 30 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
65.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 9 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
65.1%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
65.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
65.1%
Jet Toner 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:0235% → 38%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
64.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+9
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
64.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
64.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 2 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+9
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 9 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
64.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+12
64.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 12 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
64.2%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+19
62.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 19 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:0363% → 62%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
63.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
62.7%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-7
62.3%
Jack West sacked by Odua Isibor and Krys Barnes for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 10Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 19
OWN 10
+4
62.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 44 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:2738% → 42%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
50
+1
61.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+39
61.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 39 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
61.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
61.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Stanf 3Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5759% → 56%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.3%
Dorian Maddox run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
58.1%
Jack West run for 1 yd to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
57.2%
Jack West sacked by Jason Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
56.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4643% → 38%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
57.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-4
56.4%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
56.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
62.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Spencer Jorgensen blocked by Spencer Jorgensen for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2239% → 39%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
60.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
60.8%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
61.4%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1761% → 59%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
60.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
60.4%
Jack West pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
59.5%
Jack West sacked by Josh Woods for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
58.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1342% → 40%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
58.7%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+8
59.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
59.6%
Wade Lees punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3959% → 57%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
59.3%
Dorian Maddox run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+11
59.2%
Jack West pass complete to Dorian Maddox for 11 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
58.9%
Jack West sacked by Osa Odighizuwa and Ashton Authement for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 16
OWN 24
0
58.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+8
57.1%
Jack West pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+53
56.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the STANFORD 25 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:1443% → 56%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
56.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 22 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
55.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
54.5%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
54.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
54.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+53
55.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 53 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.1%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:5945% → 40%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.2%
Jack West pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
44.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
43.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
43.0%
Jack West sacked by Josh Woods and Keisean Lucier-South for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+5
41.3%
Dorian Maddox run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
40.4%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
40.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13INT
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:2058% → 62%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
41.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
42.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 15 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
38.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
38.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
38.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
37.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
37.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
37.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:1939% → 40%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
39.3%
Jack West pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 9 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
39.8%
Jack West pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 6 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
39.0%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
39.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 3:4960% → 72%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
40.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
38.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
37.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+13
38.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
37.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
36.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+16
37.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 16 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
36.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
35.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
36.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
27.8%
JJ Molson 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:0731% → 29%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.7%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
30.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
28.7%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+46
28.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the STANFORD 26 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:2276% → 79%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
24.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 11 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
23.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
22.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
21.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Michael Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 18
OWN 30
-1
20.9%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+6
21.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+42
21.0%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds , Michael Wilson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4224% → 23%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
24.0%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
23.9%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
23.0%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
22.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:4882% → 86%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
18.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 25 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
17.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 6 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
16.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-4
16.0%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
14.0%
JJ Molson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:5018% → 19%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
18.1%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
17.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 14 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.9%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
18.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 Cameron Scarlett fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3390% → 91%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
9.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
9.3%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-3
8.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Gabe Reid and Davis Mills for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 12
OWN 44
+1
9.4%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds , Michael Wilson returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2514% → 10%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
14.0%
Jack West pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 21
-1
14.5%
Jack West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 20Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
13.3%
Jack West pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 5 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.2%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
10.3%
Jack West pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 7 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
10.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2494% → 94%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
5.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+9
6.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-15
5.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the Stanf 44 UCLA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 21
OPP 44
+11
5.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 11 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+5
6.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:537% → 7%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
7.2%
Jack West sacked by Odua Isibor for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
7.0%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+7
6.6%
Jack West run for 7 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
6.8%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
4.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
4.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
4.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 6 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
4.5%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:176% → 6%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
6.1%
Jack West pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:1096% → 99%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
4.1%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+8
3.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
0.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 54 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 28TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:361% → 3%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.2%
Jack West pass complete to Connor Wedington for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
1.2%
Jack West sacked by Carl Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+13
1.1%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+35
1.1%
Jack West pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 35 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
1.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
1.2%
Jack West pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.2%
Jack West pass complete to Simi Fehoko for no gain to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:2999% → 99%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
1.5%
Cole Kinder run for 6 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+8
1.1%
Cole Kinder run for 8 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
1.0%
Cole Kinder run for 4 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+15
0.9%
Cole Kinder run for 15 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:31
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-8.8
FG · Q3 11:02
JJ Molson 43 yd FG GOOD
-8.6
TD · Q1 4:48
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com