Try the model
WASH

Washington 13 at Stanford 23

STAN
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:30 · Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior−24.3Home team on offense−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.3Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:00: Simi Fehoko 42 Yd pass from Davis Mills (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +7.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:59: Peyton Henry 25 Yd Field Goal — WASH win probability +3.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 6:02: Cameron Scarlett 4 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +15.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:16: Peyton Henry 38 Yd Field Goal — WASH win probability +6.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:04: Jet Toner 36 Yd Field Goal — STAN win probability +2.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:51STAN 4th & 2 at WASH 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:30STAN 4th & 2 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:58STAN 4th & 2 at WASH 2, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−4.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:02WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:59WASH 4th & 4 at STAN 8, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−7.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:04STAN 4th & 5 at WASH 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:04WASH 4th & 2 at STAN 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−9.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:26STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−5.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:16WASH 4th & 6 at STAN 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:09STAN 4th & 16 at WASH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:04STAN 4th & 5 at WASH 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−10.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:58WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:00WASH 4th & 19 at WASH 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:02WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 14, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:31WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:00STAN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:02STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3921% → 24%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
21.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+20
21.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 20 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
21.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
50
+18
22.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 18 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
22.6%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Osiris St. BrownSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
22.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+29
23.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 26 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (3 Yards) to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.8%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
24.0%
Jet Toner 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1376% → 76%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
24.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 14 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
24.4%
Jacob Eason run for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
24.5%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
24.7%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
24.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sean McGrew for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
25.1%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+28
25.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 28 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
25.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
25.6%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.6%
Cade Otton 3 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FG
17 plays · 73 yds · 6:2025% → 29%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.6%
Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
24.9%
Davis Mills run for 12 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
25.8%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 5 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
26.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+2
26.1%
Davis Mills run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 2
50
+3
26.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
27.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 23 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
27.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+12
28.0%
Davis Mills run for 12 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+16
28.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 16 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
28.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
29.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.7%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
29.4%
Jet Toner 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5272% → 71%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
28.4%
Eason, Jacob pass complete to Otton, Cade for 6 yards to the WASHINGTON33, PENALTY STANFORD 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WASHINGTON32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
27.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
28.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:4929% → 39%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
29.2%
Davis Mills pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 6 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+18
30.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 18 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
31.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+42
39.4%
Simi Fehoko 42 Yd pass from Davis Mills (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:5063% → 65%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Myles BryantSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+32
36.6%
Richard Newton run for 17 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
35.3%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
36.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 13 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
35.6%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
36.2%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+7
37.8%
Richard Newton run for 7 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
37.3%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
37.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
38.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
34.8%
Peyton Henry 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:3838% → 41%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
37.7%
Dorian Maddox run for 11 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
38.3%
Dorian Maddox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+26
38.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 26 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
42.0%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 15
50
+10
41.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 10 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
42.8%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
42.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
41.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:5160% → 59%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
39.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 8 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+7
39.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
40.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Myles BryantSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
41.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:4341% → 44%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
41.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 18 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
42.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+8
41.6%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
44.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
44.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:4959% → 59%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
41.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 35 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
38.6%
Richard Newton run for 19 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
37.6%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
37.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+4
39.1%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
40.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Myles BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:2644% → 47%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
44.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+18
44.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 18 yds to the Stanf 38 Cameron Scarlett fumbled, recovered by Stanf Simi Fehoko for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
46.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
48.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
47.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
46.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:1855% → 50%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
44.7%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-18
46.9%
Jacob Eason sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 18 yards to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 23
OWN 7
+3
49.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 43 yds , Michael Wilson returns for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:4752% → 71%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.9%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
51.9%
Jones, Austin rush for 2 yards to the WASHINGTON45, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the STANFORD43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+22
49.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 22 yds to the STANFORD 35 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.0%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
54.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+17
53.2%
Davis Mills pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 17 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
55.3%
Mills, Davis pass incomplete to Parkinson, Colby, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference 6 yards to the WASHINGTON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 4
OPP 10
+6
55.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.1%
Cameron Scarlett 4 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:3033% → 39%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
66.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
67.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 37 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.3%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
64.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
67.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
61.0%
Peyton Henry 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
15 plays · 34 yds · 6:5467% → 79%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
69.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 9 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
73.8%
Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
75.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
78.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Dorian Maddox for 1 yd to the Stanf 48 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 19
OWN 42
+3
77.2%
Dorian Maddox run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+15
77.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 15 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
79.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
81.5%
Scarlett, Cameron rush for 5 yards to the WASHINGTON30, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+4
80.7%
Dorian Maddox run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 16
OPP 41
0
80.9%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
79.7%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
78.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1625% → 23%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
75.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
75.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
77.4%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Kyu Blu Kelly return for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2684% → 87%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
83.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
84.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-5
84.7%
Jack West sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+3
84.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
86.6%
Jet Toner 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 1:5513% → 8%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
88.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
89.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Myles BryantSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-9
89.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 1 yd to the Wash 48 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Touching (-10 Yards) to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 19
OWN 38
0
91.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 19
OWN 38
0
91.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
92.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:5191% → 97%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
90.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
91.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+5
92.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
92.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
93.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+6
94.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
94.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+8
94.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+4
96.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
96.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
96.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
97.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-3
97.2%
Jacob Eason sacked by Tobe Umerah for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 13
OWN 14
+25
97.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 25 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:02
Cameron Scarlett 4 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)
+15.6
TD · Q2 10:00
Simi Fehoko 42 Yd pass from Davis Mills (Jet Toner Kick)
+7.6
FG · Q3 3:16
Peyton Henry 38 Yd Field Goal
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com