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UTAH

Utah 52 at Oregon State 7

ORST
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:26 · Daniel Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense−3.3Pregame prior−32.0Score differential−1.7Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:26: Zack Moss run for 91 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:09: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 30 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:03: Jake Luton pass intercepted for a TD Devin Lloyd return for 64 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:54: Zack Moss run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:46: Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 11 of 11UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:26ORST 4th & 9 at UTAH 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09UTAH 4th & 7 at ORST 30, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54ORST 4th & 17 at UTAH 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:54UTAH 4th & 21 at UTAH 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:56ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:56ORST 4th & 1 at UTAH 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:48ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:56ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:12ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 18, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:46ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 30, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:34UTAH 4th & 14 at ORST 24, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:27ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 34, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:58UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:26UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:09UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:03UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:54UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:17UTAH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:46UTAH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:56ORST Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
15.2%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
15.2%
Jake Luton sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+43
15.2%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0784% → 84%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
16.1%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+18
16.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 18 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
16.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
16.0%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
16.0%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Orlando Umana) to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
16.0%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+21
16.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 21 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
16.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
16.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
16.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins, broken up by Javelin GuidrySimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
16.9%
Luton,Jake pass complete to Pierce,Artavis for 13 yards to the UTAH40, out-of-bounds (Blackmon, J.), PENALTY OSU holding (Kipper,Brandon) 10 yards to the OSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 20
OWN 37
-5
16.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Brandon Kipper) to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 25
OWN 32
0
16.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 25
OWN 32
+16
16.5%
Artavis Pierce run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
16.6%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:3483% → 85%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
17.2%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 9 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+91
15.4%
Zack Moss run for 91 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
15.9%
Luton,Jake pass incomplete to Hodgins,Isaiah, QB hurry by Bernard,Francis, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Johnson, Jaylon) 15 yards to the OSU40, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
16.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+11
16.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
16.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
16.3%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+1
16.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 1 yd to the Utah 47 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
16.1%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 3:0285% → 89%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+54
15.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 54 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
15.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+2
15.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+4
15.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+30
11.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 30 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:1512% → 11%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
12.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 8 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+18
12.4%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Mika Tafua) to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
12.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
12.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+17
12.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 17 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
12.4%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
12.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 23
-3
12.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+44
11.3%
Jordan Choukair 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
10.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
10.2%
Devin Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
10.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
10.2%
Henry-Cole, D. rush for 3 yards to the UTAH40 (Moore,Jalen), PENALTY UTAH holding (Toala, Paul) 10 yards to the UTAH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
10.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
10.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 20
OWN 27
-1
10.5%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
10.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9INT TD
10 plays · 32 yds · 5:5311% → 8%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
10.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
10.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
10.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+6
10.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
11.1%
Jake Luton run for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
11.2%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
11.1%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+9
11.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 9 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
11.3%
Champ Flemings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+64
8.2%
Jake Luton pass intercepted for a TD Devin Lloyd return for 64 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:108% → 8%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
7.5%
Jake Luton run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+11
7.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 11 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
7.4%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
7.2%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+9
7.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-3
7.6%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:5194% → 97%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
6.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 21 yds to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
5.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 12 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.6%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:494% → 2%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
3.5%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah Togiai, broken up by Hauati PututauSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
3.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 11 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
3.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 17 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
2.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+12
1.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 12 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Maxs TupaiSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+42
1.8%
Everett Hayes 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
2.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
2.5%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
2.6%
Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
2.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
2.8%
TEAM punt for 48 yds, downed at the OrgSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
2.0%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
1.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-5
1.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Blake Brandel) to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 15
OWN 11
0
1.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
1.9%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:1598% → 99%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
2.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
1.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+23
1.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 23 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
1.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+6
1.9%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Enis, Solomon, QB hurry by Manning,J., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Forest,Jojo) 6 yards to the OSU8, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
1.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 7 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
1.1%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
1.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 2 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
1.0%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey, broken up by Javelin GuidrySimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
1.0%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 5:2999% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
1.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
1.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
1.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
1.2%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+17
1.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 17 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
1.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jordan Wilmore for 7 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OPP 12
-1
1.1%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+6
1.1%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.6%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
0.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 6:4699% → 100%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
0.6%
TJ Green run for 9 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
0.6%
TJ Green run for 3 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.5%
TJ Green run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+17
0.5%
TJ Green run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
0.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
0.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.5%
TJ Green run for no gain to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
0.5%
Jason Shelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-4
0.5%
TJ Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
0.5%
Jadon Redding 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 7 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Andrew Mata'afaSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Champ Flemings, broken up by Leki FotuSimilar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
0.4%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
0.3%
Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
0.3%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+1
0.3%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the Utah 46 Devin Brumfield fumbled, forced by Ryan Franke, recovered by OrgSt Alex AustinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 8 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
0.1%
Tyler,Calvin rush for 3 yards to the UTAH30 (Davis, Vonte), PENALTY UTAH offside defense (Broughton, J.) 5 yards to the UTAH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+5
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia run for 5 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
0.1%
Gebbia,Tristan pass incomplete to Lindsey,Tyjon, PENALTY UTAH 12 men on the field (Pututau, Hauati) 5 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
0.1%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.2%
TJ Green run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
0.2%
TJ Green run for 5 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:09
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 30 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q2 0:54
Zack Moss run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q2 3:03
Jake Luton pass intercepted for a TD Devin Lloyd return for 64 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com