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CP

Cal Poly 7 at Oregon State 45

ORST
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadCP aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreCP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:33 · Mitch Souza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 32 , Jesiah Irish returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+34.1Home team on offense+1.7Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:02: Jalen Hamler pass complete to Xavier Moore for 8 yds for a TD, (Colton Theaker KICK) — CP win probability +1.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:48: B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +2.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 13:02: Jordan Choukair 26 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:48: Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 47 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +3.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:21: Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 75 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:50ORST 4th & 3 at CP 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:33CP 4th & 12 at CP 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:02ORST 4th & 7 at CP 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02CP 4th & 1 at ORST 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−1.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:39CP 4th & 3 at ORST 19, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:37CP 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CP 4th & 11 at CP 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:33ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 40, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:05CP 4th & 9 at CP 48, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:06CP 4th & 23 at CP 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:26ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:02CP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:39ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:48ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:48ORST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:21ORST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:59ORST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:3489% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
88.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+10
88.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.8%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
88.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 18 yds to the CPoly 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
88.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 20 yds to the CPoly 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
88.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 14 yds to the CPoly 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.8%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the CPoly 8Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
88.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2012% → 14%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.3%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 27Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
88.3%
Lepi Lataimua run for 6 yds to the CPoly 33Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
88.3%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.2%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 37Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+53
88.2%
Jalen Hamler pass complete to J.J. Koski for 53 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
88.0%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
88.0%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.3%
Jalen Hamler pass complete to Xavier Moore for 8 yds for a TD, (Colton Theaker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:1187% → 88%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
87.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the CPoly 42Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+18
87.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 18 yds to the CPoly 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
87.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jesiah Irish, broken up by Sharky RezaSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+7
86.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 7 yds to the CPoly 17Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+6
86.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the CPoly 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
88.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
87.5%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 3 yards to the CPoly 17Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+1
87.6%
Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the CPoly 18Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
87.7%
Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski, broken up by Isaiah DunnSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+1
87.8%
Mitch Souza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 32 , Jesiah Irish returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:0887% → 90%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
87.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 12 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
87.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 25 yds to the CPoly 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
87.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 3 yds to the CPoly 28Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-5
87.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CPoly 33Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+5
87.8%
Luton,Jake pass incomplete to Pierce,Artavis (WRIGHT, Matt), PENALTY CP offside defense (WRIGHT, Matt) 5 yards to the CP28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+11
87.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 11 yds to the CPoly 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
87.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 11 yds to the CPoly 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.9%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the CPoly 6Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.0%
B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
88.9%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 4 yards to the CPoly 16Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
89.0%
Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski, broken up by John McCartanSimilar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-1
89.1%
Jalen Hamler sacked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CPoly 21 Jalen Hamler fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5890% → 92%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
90.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the CPoly 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
90.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the CPoly 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
89.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the CPoly 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Kolby TaylorSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.1%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the CPoly 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
91.5%
Jordan Choukair 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 6:239% → 9%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
90.8%
Jalen Hamler run for 4 yds to the CPoly 39Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
90.7%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
90.5%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
90.5%
Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+6
90.7%
Jalen Hamler run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
90.6%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
90.5%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
90.4%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
90.4%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
90.2%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
90.2%
Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+3
90.4%
Jalen Hamler run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
90.6%
Colton Theaker 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5192% → 96%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
92.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 7 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
92.3%
B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
92.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
92.5%
B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
92.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 9 yds to the CPoly 47Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+47
96.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 47 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:115% → 5%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.1%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 10 yds to the CPoly 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.9%
Jalen Hamler run for 4 yds to the CPoly 39Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+17
94.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
94.7%
Jalen Hamler pass complete to J.J. Koski for 8 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+11
94.6%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.3%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
94.7%
Dusty Frampton run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-3
95.0%
Lepi Lataimua run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-5
95.2%
CAL POLY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
95.5%
Colton Theaker 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1697% → 99%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 75 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.0%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 10 yds to the CPoly 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-3
98.9%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 3 yards to the CPoly 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Jalen Hamler run for no gain to the CPoly 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+7
98.9%
Mitch Souza punt for 42 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 7 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.3%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
99.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Daniel Rodriguez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by J.J. Koski at the CPoly 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.4%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 5 yds to the CPoly 18Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+14
99.4%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 14 yds to the CPoly 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.3%
Jalen Hamler run for 15 yds to the CPoly 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.3%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-9
99.3%
Jalen Hamler sacked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the CPoly 46Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+2
99.4%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 48Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+10
99.4%
Mitch Souza punt for 47 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 10 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+80
99.7%
B.J. Baylor run for 74 yds to the OREGONST 11 for a 1ST down CAL POLY Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Kevin Howell) to the CPoly 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Tristan Gebbia run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 12 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 37Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
99.7%
Jalen Hamler run for 12 yds to the CPoly 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
Jalen Hamler run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.6%
Trey Nahhas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-15
99.7%
HAMLER, Jalen rush for 6 yards to the OSU33 (Dunn,Isaiah), PENALTY CP illegal block (COLE, CJ) 15 yards to the CP46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 25
OWN 46
+8
99.7%
Chuby Dunu run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 17
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. KoskiSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 17
OPP 46
-6
99.8%
Jalen Hamler sacked by John McCartan for a loss of 6 yards to the CPoly 48Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 23
OWN 48
+9
99.8%
Mitch Souza punt for 43 yds for a 1ST down , Jesiah Irish returns for 9 yds to the OREGONST 43 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.8%
Tristan Gebbia run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+14
99.8%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 14 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the CPoly 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the CPoly 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass intercepted Sharky Reza return for 8 yds to the CPoly 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 19INT
16 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
99.9%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 13Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+11
99.9%
Xavier Moore run for 11 yds to the CPoly 24Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the CPoly 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Lepi Lataimua run for 2 yds to the CPoly 29Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 31Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+22
99.9%
Jalen Hamler pass complete to Drew Hernandez for 22 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
CAL POLY Penalty, false start (Vatulele Finau) to the CPoly 48Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. KoskiSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 49Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+21
99.9%
Jalen Hamler pass complete to Quentin Harrison for 21 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jalen Hamler run for no gain to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+9
99.9%
Lepi Lataimua run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
99.9%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-2
99.9%
Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Jalen Hamler pass intercepted Shawn Wilson return for no gain to the OrgSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 73 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.9%
Tyler,Calvin rush for no gain to the OSU22 (WRIGHT, Matt), PENALTY CP face mask (WRIGHT, Matt) 15 yards to the OSU37, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 9 yds to the CPoly 41Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Ta'Ron Madison run for 6 yds to the CPoly 32Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-2
100.0%
Ta'Ron Madison run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 34Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the CPoly 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:48
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 47 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 0:21
Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 75 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q1 0:48
B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com