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WSU

Washington State 35 at Oregon 37

ORE
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:27 · Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+31.6Home team on offense−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: Anthony Gordon pass intercepted for a TD Jevon Holland return for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Herbert pass to Johnny Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion) — ORE win probability +11.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:01: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 19 yds for a TD, (Anthony Gordon pass to Brandon Arconado for Two-Point Conversion) — WSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 1:00: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +56.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Camden Lewis 26 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +61.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:15ORE 4th & 17 at ORE 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:11ORE 4th & 3 at WSU 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:27WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:39ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 15, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:55WSU 4th & 1 at ORE 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−1.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:44ORE 4th & 27 at WSU 39, down 1
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:27WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:40WSU 4th & 5 at ORE 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−9.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:29ORE 4th & 12 at WSU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−4.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−18.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:56WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 30, down 6
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:06ORE 4th & 6 at WSU 33, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.4
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:00WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−7.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−10.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 1:15ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:59WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:51ORE Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:47WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:47ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:20ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:01WSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:00WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−4.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:3588% → 87%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.3%
Jaylon Redd run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
88.2%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
88.0%
Justin Herbert run for 12 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
88.0%
Justin Herbert run for 2 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
87.8%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Hunter Kampmoyer) to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+6
87.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-10
87.6%
Justin Herbert sacked by Misiona Aiolupotea-Pei and Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
87.2%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds , Travell Harris returns for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:4413% → 14%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.0%
Anthony Gordon run for 2 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+28
86.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 28 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
86.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 11 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
86.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 18 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
85.9%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Ryan, Liam) 10 yards to the OREGON13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-10
86.0%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Ryan, Liam) 10 yards to the OREGON23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 23
+4
85.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 4 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
85.6%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
0
85.8%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Rodrick FisherSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+36
85.6%
Blake Mazza 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0986% → 85%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.6%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
85.7%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
85.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Spencer Webb for 17 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
85.5%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+6
85.5%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
85.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
85.2%
Justin Herbert run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+3
84.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 3 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
84.7%
Camden Lewis 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3016% → 17%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
84.1%
Max Borghi run for 14 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
83.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
83.0%
Anthony Gordon run for no gain to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
82.8%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Easop Winston Jr.Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
83.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
1 play · 89 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+89
85.9%
CJ Verdell run for 89 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:2315% → 17%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
85.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
85.0%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+10
85.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 10 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
84.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 18 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
83.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 7 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+16
83.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 16 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
82.9%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
82.8%
Anthony Gordon pass intercepted Verone McKinley III return for 6 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5685% → 84%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
85.1%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+3
84.9%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+4
84.6%
Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+7
84.2%
Blake Maimone punt for 43 yds , Travell Harris returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:4017% → 26%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
82.9%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
82.7%
Max Borghi run for 16 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
81.8%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+9
81.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 9 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
82.1%
Anthony Gordon run for 1 yd to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+9
82.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 9 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.1%
Anthony Gordon run for 1 yd to the Oregn 1Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.0%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 3:5678% → 75%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
77.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 8 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+12
78.8%
CJ Verdell run for 12 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
79.0%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
79.2%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+18
78.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Spencer Webb for 18 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-11
79.7%
Justin Herbert sacked by Will Rodgers III for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 21
OPP 33
0
78.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 21
OPP 33
0
76.9%
Herbert, Justin pass complete to Dye, Travis for 10 yards to the WASHST23, PENALTY OREGON personal foul off-setting, PENALTY WASHST Personal Foul (Brown, Travion ejected for targeting) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 21
OPP 33
-6
76.6%
Justin Herbert sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 27
OPP 39
0
74.7%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10INT TD
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:5326% → 14%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
73.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-10
73.9%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Mase Funa for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 25
OWN 5
0
74.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 25
OWN 5
+19
85.7%
Anthony Gordon pass intercepted for a TD Jevon Holland return for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Herbert pass to Johnny Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 0:4316% → 30%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
83.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 21 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
82.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 8 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
81.1%
OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
81.1%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete to Patmon, Dezmon, PENALTY OREGON pass interference off-setting, PENALTY WASHST Illegal Touching off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
70.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:4777% → 75%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
77.3%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Brady Breeze) to the Oregn 20Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
76.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
77.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+17
75.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 17 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2326% → 25%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-15
73.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 25
OWN 11
0
73.9%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 25
OWN 11
+14
74.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 14 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
75.1%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:3376% → 86%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.4%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
76.3%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+11
74.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
77.0%
CJ Verdell run for 10 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
77.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 7 yds to the WshSt 36 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylon Redd) to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 13
OPP 46
+2
76.2%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+4
76.6%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+16
76.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 16 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
77.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
77.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+11
75.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Bryan Addison for 11 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
76.5%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+10
76.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 10 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
76.1%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
86.2%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 3:5418% → 27%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
82.0%
Anthony Gordon run for 7 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+10
81.1%
Max Borghi run for 10 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
80.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+11
79.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 11 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
79.1%
Max Borghi run for 9 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+11
78.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 11 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
76.8%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+19
77.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 19 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
76.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
76.4%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
73.1%
Blake Mazza 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1379% → 91%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
78.8%
CJ Verdell run for 17 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
80.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+35
81.1%
CJ Verdell run for 35 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
81.6%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
81.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
80.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
81.3%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.2%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.8%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:1911% → 35%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
88.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-11 Yards) to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 21
OWN 11
0
89.0%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 21
OWN 11
+16
89.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 16 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+15
88.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 15 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
87.0%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
86.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+23
86.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 23 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.6%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
65.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 19 yds for a TD, (Anthony Gordon pass to Brandon Arconado for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:2078% → 87%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
77.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
75.7%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+17
73.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 17 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
79.3%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+28
78.7%
CJ Verdell run for 28 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
80.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
80.0%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
78.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
79.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
79.5%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
77.6%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
80.2%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
87.4%
Camden Lewis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2317% → 14%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.0%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
84.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
85.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+8
85.9%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 41 yds , Jevon Holland returns for 8 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:3990% → 92%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
89.9%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+27
90.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 27 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
92.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
92.8%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
91.6%
Blake Maimone punt for 23 yds, downed at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 1:5514% → 78%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
85.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 5 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+10
86.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 10 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.1%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 15 yards to the WASHST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+48
82.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 48 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
75.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
75.7%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
78.3%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
22.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:4543% → 95%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
43.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 6 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
45.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Spencer Webb for 7 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
45.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 15 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
55.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 24 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
54.1%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
47.5%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
95.4%
Camden Lewis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Camden Lewis 26 yd FG GOOD
+61.4
TD · Q4 1:00
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
-56.1
TD · Q4 11:01
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 19 yds for a TD, (Anthony Gordon pass to Brandon Arconado for Two-Point Conversion)
-20.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com