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ORE

Oregon 35 at Washington 31

WASH
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+5.6WASH 42.9%Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds for a TD,(Peyton Henry KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 7 · Q1 0:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:20 · Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior−11.1Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +13.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:16: Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 33 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +12.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 14 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +16.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 36 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +21.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +35.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:04WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:04ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:14WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−1.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−6.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:39ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:16ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36WASH 4th & 26 at WASH 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:31ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:57WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:39WASH 4th & 9 at ORE 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:12ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.9%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00ORE 4th & 3 at WASH 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−2.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:25WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:33ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:36WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54WASH 4th & 3 at ORE 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−7.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−12.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:44ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:20WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:48WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:59ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:16WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:36ORE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:00ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:10ORE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 5:0464% → 65%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.7%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
35.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 7 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
35.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
36.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 5 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+11
36.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
50
+7
36.3%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+7
36.4%
CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
36.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 23 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
36.6%
CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+16
36.7%
TEAM run for loss of 14 yds to the Wash 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Oregn J. Herbert , returned to Wash 23, WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Asa Turner) to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
36.9%
CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-10
37.0%
Verdell, CJ rush for 1 yard to the WASHINGTON1, PENALTY OREGON holding (Warmack, Dallas) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+12
35.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Spencer Webb for 12 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1136% → 36%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
36.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
36.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Kamari PleasantSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
36.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+3
35.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds, downed at the Oregn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4564% → 64%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
35.8%
Jaylon Redd run for 4 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-1
35.8%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
36.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to CJ VerdellSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
36.3%
Blake Maimone punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:2937% → 43%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
36.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
37.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
37.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
36.8%
Jacob Eason run for 1 yd to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
37.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
37.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
37.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
37.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
37.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 5 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
38.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Oregn 17Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
38.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+8
37.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 8 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
42.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2159% → 58%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.9%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
41.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
41.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
42.1%
Blake Maimone punt for 49 yds , Chico McClatcher returns for no gain to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:4043% → 51%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
42.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 11 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
43.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
50
+2
44.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
50.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jordan Chin for 48 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2551% → 49%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
49.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+45
50.7%
Blake Maimone punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASHINGTON 40 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5451% → 51%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
50.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 23 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
52.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-2
53.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-19
53.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Wash 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wash Jacob EasonSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 26
OWN 37
0
51.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4248% → 45%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
52.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+12
52.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 12 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
52.4%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
52.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Josh DelgadoSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+2
54.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
55.1%
Blake Maimone punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1455% → 55%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
55.4%
Cameron Davis run for 7 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-10
56.9%
Davis, Cameron rush for 4 yards to the WASHINGTON41, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Hilbers, Jared) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+4
55.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
55.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
54.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:3645% → 60%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
55.2%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
55.1%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+17
54.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 17 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
53.8%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Hunter KampmoyerSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
54.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
53.1%
CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
53.0%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
39.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:0147% → 63%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
47.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Luke Wattenberg) to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
47.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
47.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 4 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
46.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 15 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
49.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+15
50.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 15 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
51.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+27
52.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 27 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:4738% → 44%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
61.7%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Bryan AddisonSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+29
62.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+7
58.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
57.4%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 9 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
56.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
56.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:3060% → 76%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
60.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 13 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
61.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 20 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
63.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+33
75.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 33 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:2326% → 43%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
73.7%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+19
72.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Spencer Webb for 19 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
72.9%
Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
72.0%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
73.1%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-1
74.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+12
75.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 12 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
72.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
73.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 8 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
57.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 14 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:4667% → 75%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
67.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 20 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
71.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+9
71.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
72.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
73.1%
Kamari Pleasant run for no gain to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
72.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+5
71.2%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
73.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 15Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
74.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+8
72.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 8 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 7
-5
70.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Josiah Bronson) to the Oregn 12Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
75.1%
Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3326% → 41%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
75.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 5 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
75.5%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 8 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
73.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
74.8%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 15 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.0%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
73.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Spencer WebbSimilar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+7
76.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+36
55.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 36 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-15
58.9%
OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryan Addison) to the Oregn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2161% → 62%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
61.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
66.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
63.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
61.8%
Race Porter punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3739% → 39%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.8%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
60.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Bryan Addison for 3 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
61.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Bryan Addison for 13 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
57.7%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
56.6%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
57.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
60.6%
Blake Maimone punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4767% → 64%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
68.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-2
66.2%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
64.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:1839% → 81%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
61.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
50
+2
56.2%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+21
56.6%
Travis Dye run for 21 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
51.9%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 9 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
53.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
53.8%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
54.1%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
18.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:0630% → 25%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
30.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 22 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
35.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
36.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
34.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 6 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
35.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-12
34.9%
Jacob Eason sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 18
50
-5
25.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 23
OWN 45
+20
22.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Marquis Spiker for 20 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
25.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:4594% → 95%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 17
OWN 28
-5
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 23
-8
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:10
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-35.3
TD · Q3 0:00
Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 36 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q3 8:36
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 14 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com