Try the model
COLO

Colorado 15 at Utah 45

UTAH
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:56 · Ben Lennon punt for 41 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for no gain to the Colo 32 Dimitri Stanley fumbled, recovered by Utah Josh Nurse
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+44.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:21: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 38 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:03: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:11: Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:51: Steven Montez pass complete to Daniel Arias for 27 yds for a TD (Steven Montez pass to Brady Russell for Two-Point Conversion) — COLO win probability +5.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:46: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:12COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13UTAH 4th & 13 at COLO 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:59COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:50UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:11COLO 4th & 5 at UTAH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:41COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04UTAH 4th & 1 at COLO 5, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−1.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:03UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:05COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:56COLO 4th & 27 at COLO 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:00COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 20, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:15COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 33, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 0:43COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:21UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:03UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:11UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:51COLO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:46UTAH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:12UTAH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:374% → 5%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
95.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Alex FontenotSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
95.6%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
95.6%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 55 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5895% → 95%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
95.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for no gain to the Colo 32 Dimitri Stanley fumbled, recovered by Utah Josh NurseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1595% → 95%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
95.0%
Jaylen Dixon run for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-5
95.0%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-4
94.9%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
94.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
94.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:075% → 6%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
94.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 17 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
94.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
94.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Alex FontenotSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 9
OWN 38
-4
94.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 14 Demari Simpkins fumbled, recovered by Utah Samson NacuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3094% → 94%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
94.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
94.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
93.7%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
93.5%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:417% → 10%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
93.4%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
93.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
93.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
92.7%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
92.3%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Utah 32 Alex Fontenot fumbled, recovered by Colo Arlington HambrightSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+1
92.1%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+6
92.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
91.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
91.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
89.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1290% → 91%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
89.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 10 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.0%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
89.5%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
89.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Simi Moala) to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+18
88.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 18 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
89.2%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
88.8%
Derrick Vickers run for 4 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
91.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 38 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:1910% → 12%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
90.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
89.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
89.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 13 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
88.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
88.1%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Laviska Shenault Jr.) to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 13
OWN 43
-6
88.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+10
88.1%
Steven Montez run for 10 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
87.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 4:2789% → 92%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
88.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+6
88.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
88.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+14
87.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 14 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
88.1%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
88.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Devin Brumfield for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+44
87.4%
Brant Kuithe run for 44 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:1810% → 9%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
90.6%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
90.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
90.3%
Steven Montez sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+35
90.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds , Julian Blackmon returns for 35 yds to the UTAH 38 COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2691% → 91%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
91.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
91.2%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Colo 5Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
90.8%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Colo 5Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+23
90.8%
Jadon Redding 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
90.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3792% → 92%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
92.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
92.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-7
92.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Delrick Abrams Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+12
91.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 12 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
91.5%
Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:428% → 8%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
91.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 6Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
91.6%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 6
0
92.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony Brown COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 9
OWN 6
0
92.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:3992% → 97%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
92.3%
Jaylen Dixon run for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
92.3%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
91.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
92.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
92.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 4 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+7
91.7%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
92.1%
Derrick Vickers run for 4 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-10
92.2%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Ford) to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+14
92.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 14 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+8
91.7%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
92.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · -4 yds · 2:564% → 1%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
96.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
96.2%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-3
96.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-5
96.5%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (William Sherman) to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 26
-10
96.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Bradlee Anae and Devin Lloyd for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 27
OWN 16
+66
98.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 50 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 66 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:431% → 6%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+8
98.9%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.0%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+24
99.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 24 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.0%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
99.1%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Javelin Guidry) to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
94.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Daniel Arias for 27 yds for a TD (Steven Montez pass to Brady Russell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:5397% → 99%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
97.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 24 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
97.2%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+21
97.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 21 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 3 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
99.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.3%
Derrick Vickers run for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+16
99.4%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.4%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.6%
Zack Moss run for 12 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Brant Kuithe run for 15 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Deion Smith run for 9 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-6
99.9%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 45 Steven Montez fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+20
100.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Deion Smith for 20 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Deion Smith for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-3
99.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Viane Moala and Mika Tafua for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:51
Steven Montez pass complete to Daniel Arias for 27 yds for a TD (Steven Montez pass to Brady Russell for Two-Point Conversion)
-5.1
TD · Q3 4:11
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 2:03
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com