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WASH

Washington 14 at Colorado 20

COLO
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:31 · Joel Whitford punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior−30.4Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:37: Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +15.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:40: Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +24.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:35: Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +27.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:58: Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant, broken up by Nate Landman — WASH win probability +14.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:05: Montez, Steven sacked for loss of 1 yard to the COLO0 (Tryon, Joe), Tryon, Joe safety, clock 05:05, PENALTY WASH offside defense (Bronson, Josiah) 5 yards to the COLO6, NO PLAY. — COLO win probability +11.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:23COLO 4th & 5 at WASH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 3 at WASH 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 4 at WASH 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:28WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:18COLO 4th & 6 at WASH 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:18WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:47COLO 4th & 5 at WASH 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:25WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:25WASH 4th & 21 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WASH 4th & 2 at COLO 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−1.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WASH 4th & 8 at COLO 24, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−6.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:35COLO 4th & 12 at WASH 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:08WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−3.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:45COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:58WASH 4th & 23 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:37COLO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:03WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:40COLO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:35WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
18.8%
Steven Montez run for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
18.8%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
18.8%
Montez, Steven rush for 15 yards to the WASH47, PENALTY COLO holding (Kutsch, Kary) 10 yards to the COLO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+9
18.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
18.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
18.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
20.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
20.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 1 yd to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
20.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade Otton WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
20.2%
Joel Whitford punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4221% → 24%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
21.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
21.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
21.2%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+10
21.1%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 10 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
21.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr., broken up by Trent McDuffieSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
21.2%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
21.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 5 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
23.5%
Evan Price 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4INT
14 plays · 64 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.4%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
23.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 5 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
23.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 4 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
23.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 29 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
22.7%
Aaron Fuller pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant, broken up by Delrick Abrams Jr.Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
22.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
22.8%
Jacob Eason run for 3 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
22.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
22.7%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+7
22.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
22.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 13Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+2
22.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 2 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+21
22.9%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Nate Landman return for 21 yds to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 2:0627% → 28%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
26.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for no gain to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
26.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+20
26.0%
Steven Montez run for 20 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
27.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 14 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
27.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
27.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
28.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+4
28.1%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
29.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
29.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-10
28.9%
Mangham, Jaren rush for 2 yards to the WASH13 (Sirmon, Jackson), PENALTY COLO holding (Paige, Heston) 10 yards to the WASH25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+7
28.7%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+3
28.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
30.0%
Eason, Jacob pass complete to Ahmed, Salvon for 3 yards to the WASH18 (Wells, Carson), PENALTY WASH ineligible downfield on pass (Wattenberg, L.) 5 yards to the WASH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
30.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade Otton, broken up by Nate LandmanSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+11
30.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 11 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-6
30.5%
Jacob Eason sacked by Mark Perry for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+8
31.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 39 , Dimitri Stanley returns for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:0132% → 40%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
31.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+24
32.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 24 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
33.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
33.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+21
32.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 21 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
33.3%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
33.3%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Shenault, Lavis, PENALTY WASH pass interference (McDuffie, Trent) 8 yards to the WASH2, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
33.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
33.3%
Fontenot, Alex rush for no gain to the WASH1 (Ulofoshio, E.), PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the WASH6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Brady Russell, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q2 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
32.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
39.7%
Evan Price 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jack Westover for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
37.1%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-15
38.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Terrance Lang for a loss of 15 yards to the Wash 12 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
39.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
42.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
50
-7
43.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the COLORADO 47 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Tim Lynott) to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 17
OWN 43
+6
42.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+6
42.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
42.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
41.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
41.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+8
41.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
42.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 2
OWN 15
+47
43.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the COLORADO 28 WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive holding (Edefuan Ulofoshio) to the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:4546% → 62%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
46.1%
K.D. Nixon run for 4 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive holding (Keith Taylor) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
47.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+39
62.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 1:1243% → 41%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
57.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+18
56.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 18 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
54.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+19
56.5%
Jacob Eason run for 19 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
55.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant, broken up by Carson WellsSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
56.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-11
57.5%
Jacob Eason sacked by Davion Taylor for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 21
50
0
59.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
57.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:5741% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
59.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
59.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Luke Wattenberg) to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+19
59.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 19 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
58.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 11 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
57.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
57.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
+15
59.0%
COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Derrion Rakestraw) to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
55.6%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
55.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+12
58.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 12 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
55.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
55.1%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+11
56.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 11 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
55.1%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
55.1%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.2%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:1755% → 84%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
54.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
55.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 5 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
57.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
57.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+10
58.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 10 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
58.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 18 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
58.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+8
58.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
58.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0522% → 46%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
78.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+25
77.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 25 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
75.4%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
73.5%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
75.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+4
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 4 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
78.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
78.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 6 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-4
79.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+9
81.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
53.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
72.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 31 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
75.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
75.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-1
73.1%
Steven Montez sacked by Levi Onwuzurike for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
70.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
69.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 9 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
67.6%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
68.5%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Baccellia, A., PENALTY WASH ineligible downfield on pass (Bainivalu,Henry) 5 yards to the WASH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
69.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+2
69.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
70.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
71.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
81.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
83.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
82.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+52
80.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 49 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 52 yds to the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0033% → 26%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
66.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant, broken up by Nate LandmanSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
66.7%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-13
66.0%
Jacob Eason sacked by Mark Perry for a loss of 13 yards to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 18
OPP 45
-5
73.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 23
50
0
73.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 49 yds, downed at the Colo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21END OF GAME
15 plays · 81 yds · 3:4485% → 96%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
85.3%
Montez, Steven sacked for loss of 1 yard to the COLO0 (Tryon, Joe), Tryon, Joe safety, clock 05:05, PENALTY WASH offside defense (Bronson, Josiah) 5 yards to the COLO6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+12
85.3%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
85.5%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 11 Alex Fontenot fumbled, forced by Ryan Bowman,Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+1
85.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 12Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+27
84.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 27 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
86.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 18 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
87.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
94.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 10 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
94.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
95.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
95.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
96.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:35
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-27.3
TD · Q3 2:40
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)
+24.9
TD · Q2 1:37
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com