Try the model
STAN

Stanford 13 at Colorado 16

COLO
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:03 · Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior−3.0Home team on offense+5.3Blowout margin+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:14: Steven Montez run for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +3.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:05: K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 79 yds for a TD (Ryan Sanborn KICK) — STAN win probability +24.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 7:34: Evan Price 23 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +10.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:34: Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Stanf 32 — STAN win probability +7.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Evan Price 37 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +31.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 5:58STAN 4th & 11 at COLO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:58COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:14STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 27, down 4
    Close callPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:09STAN 4th & 7 at COLO 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:09COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 46, up 1
    Close callPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:32COLO 4th & 4 at STAN 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:30STAN 4th & 3 at COLO 14, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%−0.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:30COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 29, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:03STAN 4th & 20 at STAN 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−3.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:56COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05COLO 4th & 1 at STAN 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−4.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:34COLO 4th & 2 at STAN 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−1.6
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−18.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:34STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:00COLO 4th & 1 at STAN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−8.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−11.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:14COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:05STAN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4640% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
40.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
40.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
40.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
40.0%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+11
40.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
40.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
40.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
43.2%
Steven Montez run for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:1657% → 56%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
42.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
42.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
42.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Austin Jones for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+14
42.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 14 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
42.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
42.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
42.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
42.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-1
42.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
44.3%
Ryan Sanborn 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
44.6%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
44.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
44.6%
K.D. Nixon run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
50
-4
45.1%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+6
44.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 6 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
44.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 8
OPP 48
-10
44.0%
Kinney, Alex punt 37 yards to the STAN11, Wilson,M return to the STAN11, fumble by Wilson,M recovered by COLO Bisharat, Beau at STAN9, PENALTY COLO holding (Bale, J.T.) 10 yards to the COLO42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
43.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
45.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
45.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
45.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
46.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:3647% → 49%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
46.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
46.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 11 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
47.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 38
-5
46.8%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Tim Lynott) to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+7
46.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+29
46.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 29 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
48.5%
Steven Montez pass intercepted J.J. Parson return for 11 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2853% → 53%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
47.0%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
46.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
47.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 11 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
45.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 31 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
44.9%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
47.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
48.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+36
47.4%
Ryan Sanborn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
50.4%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+4
49.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
49.5%
STANFORD Penalty, offside defense (Jovan Swann) to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
50.8%
Tony Brown run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
49.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+13
48.9%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
48.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 18 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
47.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
47.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+1
47.5%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Derrion Rakestraw return for 1 yd to the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9FG
19 plays · 63 yds · 3:1053% → 57%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
52.8%
Steven Montez sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 11Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+3
52.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+16
52.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 16 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
54.2%
Fontenot, Alex rush for 12 yards to the COLO42 (Head,S), PENALTY COLO holding (Sherman, Willia) 10 yards to the COLO20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+17
53.7%
Steven Montez run for 17 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
55.7%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
54.1%
STANFORD Penalty, offside defense (Casey Toohill) to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
55.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+10
55.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 10 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
56.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Maurice Bell for 8 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+9
56.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
58.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 11 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
58.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
56.8%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
55.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
56.8%
Evan Price 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
58.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
59.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 7 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 5:2845% → 44%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
54.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
54.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
54.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+15
55.6%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Parkinson,C, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Taylor, Davion) 15 yards to the STAN30, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
53.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+17
51.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 17 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
50.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+14
49.2%
K.J. Costello run for 14 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
49.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 11 yds to the Colo 10 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (Osiris St. Brown) to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 9
OPP 20
+4
49.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
49.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
50.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
54.2%
STANFORD Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
56.2%
Ryan Sanborn 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
60.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
61.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
59.5%
K.D. Nixon run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
58.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:0641% → 34%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
59.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
59.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Connor Wedington, broken up by K.J. TrujilloSimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+20
61.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 20 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
58.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+15
55.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 15 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
54.9%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-3
54.4%
K.J. Costello sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-6
56.3%
K.J. Costello sacked by Terrance Lang for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 15
OPP 48
-5
60.4%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
66.2%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
65.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+9
65.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 9 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
65.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
65.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
64.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
63.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:5034% → 58%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
65.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-10
64.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Jay Symonds for 5 yds to the Stanf 34 STANFORD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Connor Wedington) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+2
67.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+79
42.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 79 yds for a TD (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 6:3144% → 60%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
47.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
45.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+18
48.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 18 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
49.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 4 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
49.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
47.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
52.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+14
52.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Paulson Adebo) to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
52.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
52.8%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
49.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
60.0%
Evan Price 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.3%
Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
48.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Davion TaylorSimilar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
51.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 2 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
52.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 6:0057% → 96%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
56.9%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
57.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
56.4%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
57.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 10 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
59.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jaren Mangham for no gain to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+15
57.3%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Brown, Tony, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Kelly,KB) 15 yards to the STAN43, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
63.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
63.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
62.9%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+5
60.6%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
65.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
65.3%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+37
96.0%
Evan Price 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Evan Price 37 yd FG GOOD
+31
TD · Q4 14:05
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 79 yds for a TD (Ryan Sanborn KICK)
-24.4
FG · Q4 7:34
Evan Price 23 yd FG GOOD
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com