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COLO

Colorado 14 at UCLA 31

UCLA
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:49 · Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+6.7Pregame prior+8.6Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:42: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 45 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +6.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:14: Steven Montez run for 2 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +5.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:11: Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:57: Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 27 yds for a TD (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +7.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:14: Joshua Kelley run for 35 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25UCLA 4th & 7 at COLO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:42COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:59COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:49UCLA 4th & 10 at COLO 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04COLO 4th & 6 at UCLA 30, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:21COLO 4th & 10 at UCLA 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:11COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:33UCLA 4th & 7 at COLO 32, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:33COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:07UCLA 4th & 25 at UCLA 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:46UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:42UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:14COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:11UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:57COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:14UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
64.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
64.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+28
64.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds COLORADO Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:3265% → 66%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+10
65.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 10 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+18
65.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 18 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
65.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 5 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
65.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
66.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 16 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
65.6%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
65.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon, broken up by Darnay HolmesSimilar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+54
65.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Erwin at the UCLA 32 UCLA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:0766% → 69%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
66.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 18 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
66.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 9 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
66.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
50
+13
66.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 13 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
66.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
66.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+21
67.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 21 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
67.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for no gain to the Colo 12Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
67.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-2
67.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+28
68.7%
JJ Molson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
67.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
67.7%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Krys Barnes return for 4 yds to the Colo 26 UCLA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
74.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 45 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.5%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
73.3%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
73.7%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
73.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2175% → 76%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
74.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 13 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
74.8%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+10
74.7%
Demetric Felton run for 10 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
75.2%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-5
77.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Nate Landman for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
76.0%
Wade Lees punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 6:0223% → 30%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
76.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
76.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+9
76.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
76.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
75.5%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 37 Jaren Mangham fumbled, recovered by Colo Steven MontezSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
76.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
76.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 16 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
74.7%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+16
74.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 16 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.7%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
74.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 4 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.7%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds for a TD (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
71.2%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
70.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
69.9%
Wade Lees punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
71.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
71.3%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+3
72.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Deion Smith for 3 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+34
72.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 24 yds, downed at the UCLA 35 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
73.2%
Demetric Felton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
73.7%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
73.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 4 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+9
73.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 9 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
74.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-6
73.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the Colo 39 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
72.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
72.0%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 1:2225% → 24%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
74.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
75.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+15
76.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 15 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
75.1%
Steven Montez sacked by Krys Barnes and Elisha Guidry for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+18
77.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 18 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
74.4%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Nixon, K.D., PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UCLA34, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jaren ManghamSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
73.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
73.7%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
74.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
75.9%
James Stefanou 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
78.1%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
76.9%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+7
76.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Carson Wells return for 7 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:2525% → 21%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
75.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jaren ManghamSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
75.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 12 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
74.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
74.0%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+10
75.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 10 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
74.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
74.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
78.6%
James Stefanou 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:1079% → 93%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
79.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 12 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
79.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 8 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
80.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
80.6%
Martell Irby run for 3 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
80.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 3
50
+5
80.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
81.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 17 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+16
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 16 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
81.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.2%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
92.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 12
OPP 0
0
91.6%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Nixon, K.D. for 15 yards to the COLO38 (Holmes, Darnay), PENALTY COLO holding off-setting, PENALTY UCLA offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
92.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
92.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds, downed at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:5293% → 95%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
93.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
93.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
93.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 24 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
94.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+2
94.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+4
94.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
95.2%
JJ Molson 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
94.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
94.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Krys Barnes for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+4
94.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 4 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+3
94.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Deion Smith for 3 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
95.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen ErwinSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
95.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
96.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
96.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.3%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
96.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-15
96.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Nate Landman for a loss of 15 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 25
OWN 28
0
95.6%
Wade Lees punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:564% → 12%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
96.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
96.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 10 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
96.2%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Brown, Tony, PENALTY UCLA illegal block 15 yards to the UCLA38, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
96.1%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Stanley, Dimitr for 18 yards to the UCLA20, PENALTY COLO pass interference 15 yards to the COLO47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+13
96.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 13 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+10
96.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 10 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
95.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
88.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 27 yds for a TD (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:4092% → 98%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
92.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
92.1%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
93.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 35 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
97.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
50
0
97.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
50
-5
97.7%
Steven Montez sacked by Josh Woods for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Delrick Abrams Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.7%
Martell Irby run for 5 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
98.7%
Martell Irby run for 4 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+9
98.6%
Martell Irby run for 9 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
98.7%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:11
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)
+12
TD · Q4 5:57
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 27 yds for a TD (Davis Price KICK)
-7.7
TD · Q1 3:42
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 45 yds for a TD (JJ Molson KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com