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WSU

Washington State 20 at California 33

CAL
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:10 · Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−14.1Home team on offense+3.8Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Devon Modster pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 9 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +6.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:45: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:14: Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +15.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:27: Blake Mazza 35 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:15: Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 52 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CAL win probability +11.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:15WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:47CAL 4th & 14 at WSU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:45WSU 4th & 10 at CAL 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:34WSU 4th & 4 at CAL 13, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 10, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:16CAL 4th & 8 at WSU 32, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:10WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:25CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 49, up 8
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−4.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:27WSU 4th & 11 at CAL 18, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−2.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:15WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 36, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:15WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 35, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:26CAL 4th & 3 at WSU 13, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:15CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53CAL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:45WSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:14CAL Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:15CAL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:26CAL Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:05WSU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
30.0%
Max Borghi run for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
30.0%
Anthony Gordon pass intercepted Jaylinn Hawkins return for 17 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
30.5%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
30.4%
George Hicks III return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
30.4%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
30.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
30.4%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+14
30.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 57 yds , Ashtyn Davis returns for 14 yds to the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
31.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+35
31.1%
Devon Modster pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 35 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
31.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+3
31.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
31.3%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jake TongesSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 12
OPP 37
-2
31.2%
Devon Modster sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
31.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
33.0%
Max Borghi run for 2 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
33.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 9
-4
33.3%
Gordon, Anthony pass complete to Fisher, Rodrick for 5 yards to the WSU14, PENALTY WSU holding (Valencia, Rob.) 4 yards to the WSU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+15
33.3%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY CAL roughing passer (Weaver, Evan) 15 yards to the WSU20, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
32.9%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
32.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
32.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+15
32.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 15 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
32.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
32.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
32.7%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
33.1%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ashtyn Davis at the Cal 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
35.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 15Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+17
35.2%
Devon Modster pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 17 yds Gavin Reinwald fumbled, forced by Daniel Isom, recovered by WshSt Skyler Thomas , return for 13 yds to the Cal 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0966% → 65%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
34.1%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 21Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
34.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
34.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Easop Winston Jr.Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
35.4%
Blake Mazza 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4136% → 44%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.2%
Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
36.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
36.3%
Devon Modster run for 4 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
36.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+48
36.8%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 48 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
37.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
44.2%
Devon Modster pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 9 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
43.5%
Max Borghi run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+10
43.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 10 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-5
43.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-9
44.2%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Ben Schrider for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 17
OWN 10
0
44.7%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ashtyn Davis at the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1346% → 47%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.4%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
46.4%
DeShawn Collins run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+11
45.8%
Modster, Devon pass incomplete to Crawford, Kekoa (Ross, Tyrese), PENALTY WSU pass interference (Ross, Tyrese) 11 yards to the WSU34, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
46.6%
DeShawn Collins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
46.6%
Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
46.0%
Devon Modster pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
46.5%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Makai PolkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
46.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 8 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+7
45.9%
Max Borghi run for 7 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
45.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Rodrick Fisher for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
45.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 5 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-9
45.1%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Tevin Paul for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
48.4%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
49.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 22 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
51.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+11
50.4%
DeShawn Collins run for 11 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
50.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for no gain to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
49.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:0246% → 61%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
53.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+13
51.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 13 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
51.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Tavares Martin for 11 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
50.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 9 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-10
48.9%
Gordon, Anthony pass complete to Winston, Easop for 12 yards to the CAL21 (Bynum, Camryn), PENALTY WSU holding (Borghi, Max) 10 yards to the CAL43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+12
51.6%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 12 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.4%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Tavares MartinSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
49.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+11
51.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 11 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
39.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:3646% → 47%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
46.3%
Devon Modster pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 8 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
47.9%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Marcel DancySimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
45.8%
Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
47.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
47.6%
Devon Modster pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
49.2%
Devon Modster pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 8 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.4%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
48.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-9
47.4%
Devon Modster sacked by Justus Rogers for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
45.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
47.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 8 yds Easop Winston Jr. fumbled, forced by Jaylinn Hawkins, recovered by Cal Ashtyn DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:5652% → 69%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
52.4%
Devon Modster run for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+23
52.3%
Trevon Clark run for 23 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
53.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
68.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:4736% → 40%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
64.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 3 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
64.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
62.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
63.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
61.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 1 yd to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+28
62.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Tavares Martin for 28 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
59.0%
Gordon, Anthony pass incomplete to McIntosh, Deon, PENALTY WSU holding (Ryan, Liam) 10 yards to the CAL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 20
OPP 27
-3
60.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Deon McIntosh for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 23
OPP 30
+2
61.0%
Anthony Gordon run for 2 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 21
OPP 28
+10
63.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 10 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
60.3%
Blake Mazza 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19DOWNS
20 plays · 65 yds · 3:2765% → 60%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
64.7%
Brown Jr., Chri rush for 1 yard to the CAL26 (Brown, Travion;Block, Karson), PENALTY CAL holding (Cindric, Matthe) 10 yards to the CAL15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
64.3%
Devon Modster pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 8 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
64.4%
Devon Modster run for 10 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
64.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
66.0%
Devon Modster pass complete to Ben Skinner for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+15
67.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Tyrese Ross) to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
68.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
68.8%
Brown Jr., Chri rush for 2 yards to the WSU25 (Mejia, Chris.;Stone, Ron), PENALTY CAL holding (Mettauer, McKad) 10 yards to the WSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
67.2%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Curley Young Jr.Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+2
66.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+13
71.8%
Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 13 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
63.1%
Anthony Gordon run for 5 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
62.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 8 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
62.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+36
59.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 36 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
55.7%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
57.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for no gain to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+1
60.2%
Anthony Gordon run for 1 yd to the Cal 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 4:1679% → 95%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
79.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tevin Paul) to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
79.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Valentino Daltoso) to the Cal 3Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 14
OWN 3
+6
79.0%
DeShawn Collins run for 6 yds to the Cal 9Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+8
78.8%
DeShawn Collins run for 8 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
79.9%
DeShawn Collins run for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
79.6%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark, broken up by George Hicks IIISimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+26
78.4%
Devon Modster run for 26 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
82.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-1
82.7%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+52
94.5%
Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 52 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.4%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Easop Winston Jr.Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
91.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
90.7%
Max Borghi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+4
90.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete, broken up by Kuony DengSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 10
OWN 40
-5
92.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Liam Ryan) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
92.3%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Tavares MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:4596% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
96.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
96.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
96.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-1
97.2%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Devon Modster run for 13 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:152% → 2%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
98.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 11 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 7 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
98.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Tavares Martin for 15 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.9%
Anthony Gordon run for 7 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+7
97.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 7 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Tavares Martin for 12 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:14
Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q4 6:15
Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 52 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+11.7
TD · Q2 0:45
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com