Try the model
CAL

California 0 at Utah 35

UTAH
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+14.3Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+24.2Garbage-time factor+11.9Blowout margin+10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 8:35: Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 1 — CAL win probability +1.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 12:48: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 40 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:50: Jason Shelley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:38: Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the Utah 28 — UTAH win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:20: Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00CAL 4th & 7 at UTAH 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:50CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:55UTAH 4th & 1 at CAL 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CAL 4th & 30 at CAL 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:26CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:22UTAH 4th & 11 at CAL 47, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:35CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 1 at CAL 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 11 at CAL 44, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:24CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 5, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:44UTAH 4th & 3 at CAL 14, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:44CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:50UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:48UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:50UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:26UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.9%
Derrick Vickers run for 7 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.4%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Trevon Clark for 4 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
92.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
92.4%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
92.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
92.4%
Spencer Brasch run for 4 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
92.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+8
92.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Trevon ClarkSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, downed at the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 3:4591% → 92%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
91.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
91.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+21
91.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 21 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+69
91.2%
N/A pass complete to Zack Moss for 69 yds to the Cal 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.7%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Cal 4Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.7%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Ashtyn Davis, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
91.4%
Spencer Brasch run for 12 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
91.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
91.2%
Spencer Brasch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
91.4%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan, broken up by Tareke LewisSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+8
91.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 51 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 8 yds to the Utah 45 UTAH Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:3291% → 93%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
90.7%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Thedford,Hunter for 12 yards to the UTAH22 (Davis, Ashtyn;Weaver, Evan), PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass (Kuithe, Brant) 5 yards to the UTAH5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+11
90.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 11 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+4
90.7%
Devin Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.7%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
90.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
90.1%
Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+18
90.3%
Zack Moss run for 18 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
90.7%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
92.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 40 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
91.8%
Spencer Brasch sacked by Leki Fotu for a loss of 13 yards to the Cal 12Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+15
91.9%
Marcel Dancy run for 15 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
91.9%
Spencer Brasch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
92.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:2692% → 97%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
92.2%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson, broken up by Traveon BeckSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+11
91.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
92.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 9 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+11
92.6%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.6%
Demari Simpkins run for 4 yds to the Cal 34 Demari Simpkins fumbled, forced by Evan Weaver,Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
92.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
92.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
92.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
92.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
92.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 11 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:044% → 4%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Trevon ClarkSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.7%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Ben Skinner for 9 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.0%
Spencer Brasch run for no gain to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 3:1897% → 99%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.1%
Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+11
97.1%
Jaylen Dixon run for 11 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
97.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 13 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
97.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 15 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari Simpkins, broken up by Elijah HicksSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
97.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 9 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
97.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+11
97.3%
Jason Shelley run for 11 yds to the Cal 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.4%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 7 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Collin Moore for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
98.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
98.7%
Brasch, Spencer pass intercepted by Bernard,Francis at the CAL28, Bernard,Francis return to the CAL28, PENALTY UTAH holding (Lloyd, Devin) 10 yards to the CAL41, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
98.8%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan UTAH Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-8
98.8%
Spencer Brasch sacked by Josh Nurse for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 15 Spencer Brasch fumbled, recovered by Cal Spencer Brasch , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 36
OWN 15
+6
98.9%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Ben Skinner for 6 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 30
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+25
99.5%
Zack Moss run for 25 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Ben SkinnerSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Spencer Brasch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds, downed at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
99.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Ali'i Niumatalolo for 10 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.7%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+10
99.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 10 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.7%
Jason Shelley run for 3 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
99.7%
Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-6
99.7%
Jason Shelley sacked by Elijah Hicks for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+5
99.8%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 5 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.8%
Spencer Brasch pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-3
99.8%
Marcel Dancy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
Jason Shelley run for 7 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 6 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
99.8%
Demari Simpkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
99.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 5Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 5Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Cal 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 15 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 5 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 3 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Drew Lisk run for 2 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
99.9%
Jadon Redding 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Robby Rowell pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 5 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Robby Rowell run for 6 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
DeShawn Collins run for 14 yds to the Cal 45 CALIFORNIA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 6
OWN 35
-8
99.9%
Robby Rowell sacked by Maxs Tupai for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Robby Rowell pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 8 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Robby Rowell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
TJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
TJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:50
Jason Shelley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 12:48
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 40 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 0:20
Jason Shelley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com