Try the model
CAL

California 20 at Washington 19

WASH
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:10 · Steven Coutts punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+4.5Home team on offense−5.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:59: Salvon Ahmed run for 21 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +4.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:56: Marcel Dancy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +13.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:50: Marcel Dancy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +26.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:05: Peyton Henry 49 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +18.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:08: Greg Thomas 17 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +48.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:05WASH 4th & 2 at CAL 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16CAL 4th & 11 at CAL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:46WASH 4th & 7 at CAL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:23CAL 4th & 21 at CAL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:33WASH 4th & 1 at CAL 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:57WASH 4th & 2 at CAL 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:57CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:47CAL 4th & 24 at CAL 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:59WASH 4th & 1 at CAL 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−1.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:43CAL 4th & 6 at WASH 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:56CAL 4th & 13 at WASH 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:15WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:50WASH 4th & 4 at CAL 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−11.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WASH 4th & 1 at CAL 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−5.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−6.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:10WASH 4th & 6 at CAL 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−3.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−16.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:10CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−2.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05WASH 4th & 11 at CAL 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−10.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−16.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:08CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−13.9
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−60.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:59WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:56CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:50CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5583% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
83.2%
Jacob Eason sacked by Luc Bequette for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+2
83.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+9
83.0%
Jacob Eason run for 9 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
83.1%
Jacob Eason punt for 42 yds, downed at the Cal 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
82.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+12
82.8%
Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Castles, McCall, PENALTY WASH pass interference (Bryant, Myles) 12 yards to the CAL22, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
82.8%
Chase Garbers run for 14 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.8%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
82.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-4
82.8%
Chase Garbers sacked by Joe Tryon for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+19
82.9%
Dario Longhetto punt for 47 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 19 yds to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
82.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
82.7%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
82.7%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
82.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 3 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Chico McClatcher run for no gain to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
82.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Traveon BeckSimilar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
81.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-11
80.8%
Garbers, Chase rush for 2 yards to the CAL40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CAL holding (Daltoso, Valent) 11 yards to the CAL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 18
OWN 27
-4
81.2%
Chase Garbers sacked by Tuli Letuligasenoa for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 22
OWN 23
-5
81.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Matthew Cindric) to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 27
OWN 18
+6
81.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 6 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 21
OWN 24
+42
81.5%
Dario Longhetto punt for 42 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:3781% → 80%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
81.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 18 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
81.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
81.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
81.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
81.0%
Chico McClatcher run for 3 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
81.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
80.6%
Jacob Eason run for 2 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
81.3%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Traveon Beck and Luc Bequette for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+10
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 10 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+4
81.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
80.4%
Peyton Henry 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
80.6%
Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
80.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Christopher Brown Jr.Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
81.2%
Dario Longhetto punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Camryn Bynum return for no gain to the Cal 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
80.5%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+4
80.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
80.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-10
80.1%
Garbers, Chase rush for 9 yards to the CAL39 (Bryant, Myles), PENALTY CAL holding (Bazakas, Henry) 10 yards to the CAL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 16
OWN 20
0
80.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 16
OWN 20
-8
80.9%
Chase Garbers sacked by Laiatu Latu and Brandon Wellington for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 12Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 24
OWN 12
+3
81.3%
Dario Longhetto punt for 31 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:5580% → 84%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
80.3%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the Cal 31 CALIFORNIA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
80.2%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
80.8%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
80.8%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
80.2%
Jacob Eason run for no gain to the Cal 21 Jacob Eason fumbled, recovered by Wash Jacob EasonSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+21
84.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 21 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:1615% → 18%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
84.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 28 yds to the WASHINGTON 47 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Bowman) to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
82.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
82.4%
Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Wash 5Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
82.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Jake Tonges) to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Chase Garbers run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
83.3%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
81.8%
Greg Thomas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 13 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
83.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Trey Adams) to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
82.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Salvon AhmedSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-1
82.8%
Jacob Eason run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 33 Jacob Eason fumbled, forced by Evan Weaver, recovered by Cal Ben SchriderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
80.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
81.9%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
82.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
83.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 18 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:4082% → 82%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
82.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 4 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+10
82.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 10 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
82.4%
Clock 01:23, Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to McClatcher, C. (Beck, Traveon), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Beck, Traveon) 9 yards to the WASH41, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
83.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
82.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 5 yds Cade Otton fumbled, forced by Ashtyn Davis, recovered by WashSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-1
83.0%
Jacob Eason sacked by Elijah Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
81.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
83.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0419% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.8%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 11 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
80.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
79.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+23
79.2%
Marcel Dancy run for 23 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
77.7%
Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+10
77.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 10 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.4%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.4%
Marcel Dancy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
17 plays · 71 yds · 6:0671% → 75%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.0%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Chico McClatcher for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
70.4%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Fuller, Aaron (Davis, Ashtyn), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Davis, Ashtyn) 15 yards to the WASH45, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
73.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
72.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+9
73.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
74.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-10
74.8%
McGrew, Sean rush for 3 yards to the CAL28 (Johnson, Brett;Johnson, Zeanda), PENALTY WASH holding (Harris, Nick) 10 yards to the CAL41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-3
72.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+25
71.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 25 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
74.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Cal 15Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+11
74.8%
Andre Baccellia run for 11 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.8%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Cal 4Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jackson Sirmon, broken up by Elijah HicksSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
75.0%
Peyton Henry 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:5428% → 59%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
72.1%
Marcel Dancy run for 7 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+11
70.4%
Marcel Dancy run for 11 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
69.6%
Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
68.3%
Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
68.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.7%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
68.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 21 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
67.1%
Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
67.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
67.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 3 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
41.2%
Marcel Dancy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FG
19 plays · 68 yds · 8:4050% → 55%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
50.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 10 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
50.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
52.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+9
52.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 9 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
54.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
54.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
54.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
51.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
56.5%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+13
52.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 13 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
54.3%
Jacob Eason run for 2 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
56.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 13 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for no gain to the Cal 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
56.6%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+4
54.3%
Jacob Eason run for 4 yds to the Cal 2Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-5
51.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Corey Luciano) to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
55.4%
Peyton Henry 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.0%
Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
46.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
46.0%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
48.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5254% → 75%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
53.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
57.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
57.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
56.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+9
52.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 9 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
58.4%
Richard Newton run for 11 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
60.4%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-3
60.4%
Jacob Eason sacked by Kuony Deng for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
56.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
75.2%
Peyton Henry 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 1:5731% → 92%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
67.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
67.2%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
66.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 19 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
60.1%
Clock 01:31, Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Duncan, Jordan, PENALTY WASH pass interference (Gordon, Kyler) 15 yards to the WASH30, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
58.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 27 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.5%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
57.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
60.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+17
8.5%
Greg Thomas 17 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:0422% → 20%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 18 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down to Jacob Eason for 5 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:08
Greg Thomas 17 yd FG GOOD
-48.4
TD · Q3 0:50
Marcel Dancy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)
-26
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-20
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com