Try the model
UTAH

Utah 35 at Arizona 7

ARIZ
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Arizona Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · TJ Green run for 4 yds to the Utah 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:39: Brant Kuithe run for 3 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:50: Zack Moss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:41: Jaylen Dixon run for 12 yds to the ARIZONA 45 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Samson Nacua) to the Utah 45 — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:08: Brant Kuithe run for 6 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:52: Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 44 — UTAH win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 14 at UTAH 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:22UTAH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:52ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:01UTAH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:50ARIZ 4th & 9 at UTAH 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:02ARIZ 4th & 4 at UTAH 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:38ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:24UTAH 4th & 9 at ARIZ 46, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:50ARIZ 4th & 2 at UTAH 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:50ARIZ 4th & 7 at UTAH 7, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:39UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:37UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:50UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:47UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:50ARIZ Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.2%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
6.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 9 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
6.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to J.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
6.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
6.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+17
6.2%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 53 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 17 yds to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5693% → 92%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 32 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-15
6.6%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+9
6.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 9 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-9
6.6%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Colin Schooler for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 18
OWN 49
+15
6.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tony Fields II) to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-15
6.6%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 21
OPP 47
+29
6.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 29 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+6
6.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Ariz 7Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
6.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.6%
Brant Kuithe run for 3 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
7.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
7.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 4 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
8.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
7.9%
Matt Aragon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:1292% → 93%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
8.3%
Jaylen Dixon run for 8 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+6
8.2%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
8.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
8.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+22
8.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 22 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
8.0%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+5
8.0%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
8.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 11 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
8.0%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 3 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:308% → 8%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
8.1%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
8.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
8.3%
Grant Gunnell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
8.4%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+20
8.3%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 20 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
8.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
8.5%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
8.3%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
8.2%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 64 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
8.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 12 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
8.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 8 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
7.9%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
7.9%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
7.8%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
7.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
7.7%
Zack Moss run for 21 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
7.7%
Derrick Vickers run for 8 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+1
7.7%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
7.8%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-1
8.0%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
8.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
8.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 3 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
8.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
8.7%
Matt Aragon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:3791% → 92%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
8.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+7
8.3%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
8.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+8
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 15 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
8.2%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+8
8.3%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 3 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
7.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 6 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.6%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1091% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
8.7%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
8.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the ARIZONA 44 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 11
OWN 46
+4
8.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+9
8.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
8.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen Dixon, broken up by Scottie Young Jr.Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
4.1%
Zack Moss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
5.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 21 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
6.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
6.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
6.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
6.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to J.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
5.8%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3396% → 99%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.6%
Jaylen Dixon run for 12 yds to the ARIZONA 45 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Samson Nacua) to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 8
OWN 45
+9
3.5%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
3.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 14 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Myles Tapusoa) to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
3.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-15
3.4%
Moss, Zack rush for 6 yards to the ARIZ7 (Pandy,A.), PENALTY UTAH personal foul 15 yards to the ARIZ28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 21
OPP 28
+27
3.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 27 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
3.3%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Cole Fotheringham) to the Ariz 6Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.0%
Brant Kuithe run for 6 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
2.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 4 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
2.2%
Nathan Tilford run for no gain to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+8
2.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 8 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
2.3%
Darrius Smith run for 1 yd to the Ariz 36Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
2.2%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
2.2%
Tate,K. pass incomplete to Joiner,J., PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Bernard,Francis) 15 yards to the UTAH45, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
2.6%
Nathan Tilford run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
2.5%
Nathan Tilford run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+2
2.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 2 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+1
2.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
0.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-10
0.7%
Moss, Zack rush for 27 yards to the ARIZ29 (Schooler,C.), PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the UTAH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+18
0.8%
Jordan Wilmore run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
0.7%
Jordan Wilmore run for 14 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
0.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 11 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.7%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Lorenzo Burns return for 3 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
0.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
0.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Brian CasteelSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 5
-1
0.8%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 4Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+39
0.8%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 53 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 39 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
0.3%
Derrick Vickers run for 8 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-2
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 12Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+11
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 11 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
TJ Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Grant Gunnell run for no gain to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
0.2%
Nathan Tilford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Matt Aragon punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 7 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
0.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 9 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
0.3%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 9 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
0.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-3
0.3%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-5
0.3%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
0.3%
Ben Lennon punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:000% → 0%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 16 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+12
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 12 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 6
50
0
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 6
50
+4
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+5
0.1%
Nathan Tilford run for 5 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+31
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 31 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
0.2%
Nathan Tilford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 11Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
0.2%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
0.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 4 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Grant Gunnell run for 7 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.1%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Hunter Thedford) to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
0.1%
TJ Green run for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
0.1%
TJ Green run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
0.1%
TJ Green run for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:50
Zack Moss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-3.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:41
Jaylen Dixon run for 12 yds to the ARIZONA 45 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Samson Nacua) to the Utah 45
-2.2
TD · Q3 8:08
Brant Kuithe run for 6 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com