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ARIZ

Arizona 31 at Stanford 41

STAN
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:41 · Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense+0.5Pregame prior+8.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:29: Khalil Tate run for 57 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 4:36: K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 44 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK) — STAN win probability +9.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:41: Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 18 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +15.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:32: Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 9 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +15.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:11: K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK) — STAN win probability +16.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:07ARIZ 4th & 9 at STAN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54ARIZ 4th & 11 at ARIZ 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:18ARIZ 4th & 2 at STAN 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−1.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07STAN 4th & 8 at ARIZ 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00STAN 4th & 17 at STAN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:11ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:07STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:19STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:18STAN 4th & 3 at ARIZ 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−10.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:03ARIZ 4th & 13 at STAN 49, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:51STAN 4th & 4 at ARIZ 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:43ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:20STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:55ARIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:55STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:29ARIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:36STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:41ARIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:32ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:11STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:5341% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.4%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
59.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 9 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
59.4%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
59.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+43
59.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 43 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
59.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
59.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-2
59.4%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
59.1%
Lucas Havrisik 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4759% → 61%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Osiris St. Brown for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
59.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
59.3%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+39
59.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 39 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
59.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 12 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
59.6%
Connor Wedington run for 10 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
59.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
60.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
60.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
60.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 3 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
60.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+44
60.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 yds , Michael Wilson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
60.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
60.5%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
60.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+4
59.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4139% → 44%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
60.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 13 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
60.0%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Brian Casteel for 17 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
59.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
59.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
59.4%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Brian Casteel for 9 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+6
59.4%
Nathan Tilford run for 6 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
59.4%
Nathan Tilford run for 1 yd to the Stanf 8Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 8 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5059% → 62%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
59.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
59.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+11
58.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Austin Jones for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
59.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 19 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 5 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Tucker Fisk for no gain to the Ariz 14Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
62.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Boobie Curry for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
60.6%
Gary Brightwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-5
61.1%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+5
61.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 5 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 40 yds, downed at the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:0461% → 72%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
61.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
62.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
62.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Houston Heimuli for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+22
61.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 22 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
63.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+19
63.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 19 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
72.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2629% → 40%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
70.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 18 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
60.4%
Khalil Tate run for 57 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:4463% → 74%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
63.2%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
63.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+8
63.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
64.6%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+44
74.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 44 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:5527% → 43%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.4%
Tate, K. pass incomplete to Peterson, C., PENALTY STAN pass interference (Adebo,P) 15 yards to the ARIZ40, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
72.4%
Darrius Smith run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+12
72.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 12 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
71.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-1
71.3%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
71.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+7
72.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 7 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+3
73.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
72.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
57.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 18 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 1:3464% → 71%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
64.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
65.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
67.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 3 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+16
67.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 16 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
67.6%
K.J. Costello run for 12 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
68.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
68.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
67.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
71.3%
Ryan Sanborn 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
69.9%
Darrius Smith run for 4 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
70.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Osiris St. BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
69.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-17
71.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to K.J. Costello for a loss of 12 yards to the Stanf 25 STANFORD Penalty, illegal forward pass (K.J. Costello) to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+8
68.3%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 27 , Jamarye Joiner returns for 8 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 20
+1
70.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 1 yd to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 21
+9
69.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:3730% → 50%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
70.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
69.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (Robert Congel) to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+7
70.5%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
69.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 16 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
67.5%
Khalil Tate run for 16 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
65.6%
Nathan Tilford run for 8 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+11
65.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 11 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric Peterson, broken up by Malik AntoineSimilar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 9 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:2159% → 80%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
59.2%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+13
61.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
62.5%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
63.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by Trevon MasonSimilar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
63.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 9 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
62.2%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
63.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
79.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.6%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
72.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
72.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye Joiner, broken up by Jonathan McGillSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 50 yds, downed at the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
77.2%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-1
76.2%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+11
74.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 33 , Jamarye Joiner returns for 11 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:5827% → 23%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
73.2%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 19 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
70.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 12 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
70.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+12
68.1%
Grant Gunnell run for 12 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
68.1%
Darrius Smith run for no gain to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
70.7%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Darrius Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
-14
73.1%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Thomas Booker for a loss of 14 yards to the Stanf 46 Grant Gunnell fumbled, recovered by Ariz Grant Gunnell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 35
OPP 46
-5
77.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 40
OWN 49
0
77.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 81%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Austin Jones, broken up by Tony Fields IISimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
83.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
82.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Colin SchoolerSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
81.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ariz 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
76.1%
Tate, K. rush for 17 yards to the STAN34, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ARIZ holding 7 yards to the STAN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 17
OPP 44
+2
77.2%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for 2 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 5:5985% → 91%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
85.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
86.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
86.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
86.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 21 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
86.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
86.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
86.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
86.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
85.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 3 K.J. CostelloSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
90.8%
Ryan Sanborn 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 2:089% → 7%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
91.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 12 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
90.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 4 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
90.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+6
90.4%
Darrius Smith run for 6 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tayvian CunninghamSimilar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
90.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
91.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
89.3%
Khalil Tate sacked by Jovan Swann for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
91.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to J.J. Taylor, broken up by Ryan BeecherSimilar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
93.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye Joiner, broken up by Malik AntoineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5494% → 95%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
93.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
94.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
94.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
94.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 33 yds, downed at the Ariz 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25INT
12 plays · 58 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+11
97.2%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 7 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+7
97.1%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
96.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 22 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
96.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Darrius Smith for 9 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
96.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 2 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
95.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric Peterson, broken up by Kyu Blu KellySimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
95.7%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted, touchback. Paulson Adebo return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:11
K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Sanborn KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q3 9:32
Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 9 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q2 1:41
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 18 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com