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ARIZ

Arizona 14 at Arizona State 24

ASU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:08 · Michael Turk punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+27.1Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:04: Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 48 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +7.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Lucas Havrisik kickoff for 64 yds — ARIZ win probability +7.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:30: Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds for a TD (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +9.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:20: Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Daniels Run For Two-point Conversion) — ASU win probability +12.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:48: Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08ARIZ 4th & 3 at ASU 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:08ASU 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:24ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:13ASU 4th & 12 at ARIZ 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:40ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:07ASU 4th & 10 at ARIZ 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:00ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:35ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 28, up 3
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:04ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:24ASU 4th & 12 at ASU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:45ARIZ 4th & 8 at ASU 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:16ASU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:04ARIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:30ASU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:20ASU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:48ARIZ Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
80.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 6 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+7
80.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
80.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
80.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
80.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for no gain to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
80.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
80.2%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+2
80.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 2 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+6
80.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
80.0%
Michael Turk punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4021% → 22%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
79.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
79.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
79.4%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
79.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+29
79.6%
Khalil Tate run for 29 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
79.2%
Dante Smith run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
79.1%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+6
79.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 6 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
78.1%
Lucas Havrisik 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
78.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+12
78.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
78.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
78.9%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+3
78.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 4
50
0
78.5%
Michael Turk punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
77.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to J.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+8
77.6%
Khalil Tate run for 8 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+1
77.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
77.9%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 39 yds, downed at the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
77.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 25 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-12
78.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 27 ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 22
OPP 42
0
77.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Trevon MasonSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 22
OPP 42
+10
77.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 10 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
77.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
75.9%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.1%
Dante Smith run for 6 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+2
75.7%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
76.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:0778% → 77%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
77.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40 Eno Benjamin fumbled, forced by Anthony Pandy,Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+25
77.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 25 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
77.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Justin Belknap for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
77.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+6
76.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 6 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
76.8%
Christian Zendejas 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
76.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
76.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 9 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
75.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
76.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
76.1%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
77.0%
Matt Aragon punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
75.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
76.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
75.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds, downed at the Ariz 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:1324% → 34%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
75.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tayvian Cunningham, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
76.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 4 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+20
76.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 20 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
74.6%
Khalil Tate run for 8 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+3
73.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
66.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 48 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
68.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
69.3%
Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 31 Team fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Jayden DanielsSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
68.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+6
67.2%
Michael Turk punt for 39 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 6 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13INT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0034% → 36%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
66.3%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-3
66.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+15
67.9%
[NHSG], Tate,K. pass incomplete to Casteel,B., PENALTY ASU pass interference (Crosswell,A.) 15 yards to the ARIZ49, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
65.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+14
66.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 14 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
65.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
64.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
65.1%
Khalil Tate run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
64.3%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Jack Jones return for 11 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 1:5065% → 73%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
65.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
65.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
65.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 25 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
68.7%
[SG], Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Darby,Frank, PENALTY ARIZ holding (Young Jr., S.) 10 yards to the ARIZ30, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
70.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 2 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
70.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 7 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+15
68.5%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Aiyuk,Brandon, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Burns,L.) 15 yards to the ARIZ6, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
73.0%
Christian Zendejas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3068% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
68.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
68.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
68.7%
Brandon Aiyuk run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
70.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
70.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 22 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
71.9%
A.J. Carter run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
71.9%
A.J. Carter run for no gain to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+14
70.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
71.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
71.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 6Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds for a TD (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Brian CasteelSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
77.0%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+14
78.1%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Jack Jones return for 4 yds to the ArzSt 25 ARIZONA ST Penalty, IB (Merlin Robertson) to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
79.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-4
78.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Finton Connolly and Jalen Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
77.0%
Michael Turk punt for 53 yds, downed at the Ariz 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
76.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+6
76.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
76.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 13 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
74.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-2
73.8%
Khalil Tate sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+3
75.8%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Merlin Robertson return for 3 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:4581% → 94%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
81.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
81.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
81.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 13 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.6%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+15
81.6%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Darby,Frank, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Burns,L.) 15 yards to the ARIZ6, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
81.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.6%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Daniels Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:359% → 8%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
90.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 10 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
89.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 47Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+33
90.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 33 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
88.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
89.8%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
89.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.8%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the ArzSt 8 ARIZONA Penalty, IM ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.5%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
91.6%
Lucas Havrisik 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:2994% → 98%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
94.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 10 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+27
94.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 12 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Scottie Young Jr.) to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
94.7%
Kyle Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+16
94.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Colin Schooler) to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
94.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-5
94.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+13
94.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 13 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
94.8%
A.J. Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
94.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
94.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 8Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
97.5%
Christian Zendejas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:203% → 9%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+23
96.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 23 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to J.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+19
96.7%
Khalil Tate run for 19 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+10
96.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
96.2%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 38 yds · 2:0394% → 96%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
94.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
93.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
95.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+12
96.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 12 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
96.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 12 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 8Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
96.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
96.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:20
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Daniels Run For Two-point Conversion)
+12.5
TD · Q3 9:30
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds for a TD (Christian Zendejas KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 7:04
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 48 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com