Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 32 at UCLA 42

UCLA
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Rose Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:58 · Michael Turk punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 47 , Kyle Philips returns for 38 yds to the UCLA 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+7.5Garbage-time factor+7.5Blowout margin+11.3Pregame prior−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:14: Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:22: Joshua Kelley run for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +15.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 20 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:40: Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:40: Frank Darby 27 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Christian Zendejas Kick) — ASU win probability +4.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:53ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28UCLA 4th & 1 at ASU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ASU 4th & 6 at UCLA 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−0.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:49UCLA 4th & 3 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:11ASU 4th & 1 at UCLA 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:23ASU 4th & 12 at UCLA 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:21UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:58ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ASU 4th & 3 at UCLA 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:08UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:58UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:40UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:02UCLA 4th & 5 at ASU 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:53UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:36ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:14UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:22UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:25UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:40UCLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:46UCLA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:08ASU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:04ASU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:40ASU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
42.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
42.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+16
42.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 16 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
42.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to N/A for a 1ST down lat. to N/A for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
42.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 42 Eno Benjamin fumbled, forced by Stephan Blaylock, recovered by UCLA Elisha GuidrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:1043% → 46%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
43.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
43.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
43.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 24 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
43.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
45.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 22 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
44.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 2 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
45.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
45.2%
Michael Turk punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
46.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
46.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-12
46.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by George Lea for a loss of 12 yards to the UCLA 4 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Chase Lucas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5554% → 56%
Q1 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
45.9%
A.J. Carter run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.9%
A.J. Carter run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 7:1445% → 54%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-3
44.5%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+21
44.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 21 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
44.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
44.9%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+20
44.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 20 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
45.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
45.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
45.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
45.7%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
45.3%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
45.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
45.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 4 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
45.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+7
45.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:1448% → 49%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
51.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 20 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
50.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 9 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
49.4%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
50.2%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-5
51.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
51.3%
Michael Turk punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 8:2754% → 71%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
53.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
53.9%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
55.2%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
55.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-3
54.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+11
53.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 3
50
+7
53.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 7 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
55.4%
Demetric Felton run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
55.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+4
54.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
55.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
55.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
55.5%
Kazmeir Allen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-7
55.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kyle Soelle for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 16
OPP 23
+12
54.1%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Allen, Kazmeir, PENALTY ASU roughing passer (Thomas,Khaylan) 12 yards to the ASU11, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
55.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Khaylan Kearse-Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+16
70.5%
Joshua Kelley run for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:1132% → 32%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
67.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 18 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
66.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (Alex Losoya) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 15
50
+1
67.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
68.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+13
68.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 13 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
68.2%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:3872% → 90%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
72.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 10 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
72.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 12 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
73.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Aashari Crosswell) to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
73.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Martell Irby for 7 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+20
89.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 20 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
84.9%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:1389% → 98%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
89.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+12
89.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 12 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
89.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+12
89.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
89.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 29 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
89.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:132% → 4%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+41
98.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 41 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+36
98.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 36 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.2%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
97.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eno Benjamin) to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+5
98.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
95.7%
Christian Zendejas 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
97.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips UCLA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
97.0%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis HodgesSimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+38
96.1%
Michael Turk punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 47 , Kyle Philips returns for 38 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3998% → 100%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Ethan FerneaSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.9%
Martell Irby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+10
97.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.0%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Philips, Kyle for 1 yard to the ASU40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ASU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the ASU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+6
98.0%
Kazmeir Allen run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.0%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
98.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 9 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
98.0%
Kazmeir Allen run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+8
98.0%
Kazmeir Allen run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
97.8%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Christaphany Murray) to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q3 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 8 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:390% → 1%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 11 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+16
99.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+3
99.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
99.7%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (Boss Tagaloa) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 20
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Kazmeir Allen run for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+12
99.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 12 yds to the UCLA 36 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, forced by Chase Lucas, recovered by ArzSt Kobe WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:020% → 1%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
99.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 19 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
98.6%
Frank Darby 12 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Christian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
21 plays · 3 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+5
99.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Darien Butler) to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-5
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+5
99.3%
Austin Burton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+31
99.3%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 31 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-5
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+5
99.3%
Austin Burton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+31
99.3%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 31 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 5Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+5
99.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Darien Butler) to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-5
99.3%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+5
99.4%
Austin Burton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+31
99.3%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 31 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:511% → 4%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
99.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (Elijah Gates) to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 9 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
99.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.7%
Nolan Matthews 4 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Jayden Daniels Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.7%
UCLA Penalty, targeting (2 Yards) to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.7%
UCLA Penalty, targeting (2 Yards) to the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22FUMBLE
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:4397% → 99%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
97.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-2
97.3%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
97.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+6
96.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
97.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+2
98.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 35 Kazmeir Allen fumbled, forced by Darien Butler, recovered by ArzSt Darien Butler , return for 2 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 1:322% → 7%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+15
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 15 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
97.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 11 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
98.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+15
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 15 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
97.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 11 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
93.5%
Frank Darby 27 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Christian Zendejas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:22
Joshua Kelley run for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+15
TD · Q2 0:25
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 20 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+13.1
TD · Q3 10:40
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com