Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 3 at Utah 21

UTAH
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:52 · Michael Turk punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+25.7Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:59: Jaylen Dixon run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:08: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:58: Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the Utah 17 — ASU win probability +3.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:30: ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 33 — ASU win probability +4.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:24: Zack Moss run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:39ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:54ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:52ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:52UTAH 4th & 8 at ASU 29, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 4 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:40ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:50ASU 4th & 14 at UTAH 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30ASU 4th & 25 at UTAH 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:31UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:15ASU 4th & 8 at UTAH 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:15UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:03ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:38UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:24ASU 4th & 7 at UTAH 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:59UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:08UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:24UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Michael Turk punt for 49 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
86.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+46
86.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 46 yds Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Aashari Crosswell, recovered by ArzSt Evan Fields , return for 18 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
86.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
86.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-5
86.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+7
86.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 7 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
86.1%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FUMBLE
13 plays · 69 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.7%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
85.7%
Derrick Vickers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+17
85.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 17 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
85.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 10 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
85.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 13 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
85.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
85.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
85.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 3 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.9%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
85.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
85.9%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
85.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds Demari Simpkins fumbled, forced by Aashari Crosswell, recovered by ArzSt Aashari CrosswellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:5717% → 17%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
83.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
83.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+9
83.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
83.2%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-5
83.3%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 17
OWN 15
0
82.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+2
82.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 15
OWN 17
+1
82.7%
Michael Turk punt for 55 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4483% → 82%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
82.6%
Jaylen Dixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+14
82.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 14 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-5
82.6%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
82.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson, broken up by Jack JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Ben Lennon punt for 48 yds, downed at the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
81.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-4
80.6%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 24 Team fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Jayden DanielsSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
81.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+13
81.6%
Michael Turk punt for 49 yds , Demari Simpkins returns for 13 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:2882% → 86%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
82.1%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Orlando Umana) to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+9
81.4%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
82.3%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+26
81.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 26 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
82.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
82.9%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
82.9%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
85.8%
Jaylen Dixon run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
84.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-2
84.1%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+1
84.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
85.1%
Michael Turk punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:3985% → 91%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
84.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 7 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-5
85.0%
UTAH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+15
84.5%
Huntley, Tyler sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UTAH27 (Lole,J.), PENALTY ASU personal foul (Butler,Darien) 15 yards to the UTAH44, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
85.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-5
85.7%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+29
84.8%
Drew Lisk pass complete to Zack Moss for 14 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, targeting (Evan Fields) to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
86.2%
Drew Lisk pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
86.1%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
85.7%
Drew Lisk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+23
83.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 16 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, roughing passer (Merlin Robertson) to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
85.2%
Jaylen Dixon run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
85.2%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:5711% → 10%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
89.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+20
89.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mika Tafua) to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
88.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 9
50
+7
89.8%
Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Tareke Lewis return for 7 yds to the UTAH 43 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
89.2%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Jaylon Johnson) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
50
0
89.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
90.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
90.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
89.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 8 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
90.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jordan Wilmore for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
50
0
90.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari Simpkins, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+18
90.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
89.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
89.3%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 34 Jayden Daniels fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Jayden DanielsSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+8
90.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
89.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Michael Turk punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
91.2%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 18 Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Jermayne Lole , return for 0 yards UTAH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0812% → 12%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
88.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-15
88.0%
Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Aiyuk,Brandon, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Williams,Kyle) 15 yards to the UTAH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 24
OPP 32
+2
88.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 22
OPP 30
+8
89.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
87.8%
Christian Zendejas 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.0%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
88.3%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Chase Lucas return for 21 yds to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:0016% → 12%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
84.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
85.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+3
85.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-8
86.0%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 20
OPP 38
-5
87.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 25
OPP 43
0
87.8%
Michael Turk punt for 38 yds, downed at the Utah 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
88.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 6Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 6
-2
88.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 4Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+15
88.3%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Simpkins,Demari, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Crosswell,A.) 15 yards to the UTAH19, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
89.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen Dixon, broken up by Kyle SoelleSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
89.0%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
88.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+5
87.7%
Ben Lennon punt for 36 yds , Jack Jones returns for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:5113% → 12%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
86.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+12
86.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 12 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.4%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
86.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+7
86.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
85.3%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+4
85.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
86.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Bradlee AnaeSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
88.3%
Christian Zendejas 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
90.3%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+3
90.0%
Jaylen Dixon run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-6
89.6%
Jason Shelley sacked by Team for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
89.0%
Ben Lennon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
89.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+7
91.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
90.8%
Michael Turk punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demari Simpkins at the Utah 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
91.9%
Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+23
91.9%
Jason Shelley run for 8 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (Willie Harts) to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
92.3%
Jason Shelley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
91.9%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+6
91.7%
Jason Shelley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 6 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+6
91.6%
Ben Lennon punt for 40 yds , Jack Jones returns for 6 yds to the ArzSt 32 Jack Jones fumbled, forced by Julian Blackmon, recovered by Utah Bronson BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.4%
Zack Moss run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
98.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 32 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.0%
A.J. Carter run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
97.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete, broken up by John PenisiniSimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-7
98.0%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
50
+11
98.6%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
98.6%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+6
98.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
98.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:24
Zack Moss run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 1:08
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+4.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:30
ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 33
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com