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ASU

Arizona State 24 at California 17

CAL
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2019 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:38 · Dario Longhetto punt for 43 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+0.6Pregame prior+6.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:16: Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK) — CAL win probability +12.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:01: Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +17.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:50: Greg Thomas 47 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +7.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:41: Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +41.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:13: Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Cal 27 — ASU win probability +15.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:07ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10CAL 4th & 3 at ASU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13ASU 4th & 4 at CAL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:57CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01ASU 4th & 5 at CAL 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:26ASU 4th & 3 at CAL 43, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−1.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:18CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:06ASU 4th & 8 at CAL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−3.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:50CAL 4th & 10 at ASU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:16CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:53ASU 4th & 6 at CAL 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−12.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:01CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:22ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:35CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:16CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:01ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:41ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3840% → 40%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
59.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+2
59.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
60.0%
Michael Turk punt for 34 yds, downed at the Cal 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5060% → 60%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
59.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
60.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 8 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
60.2%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 49Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
60.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
60.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai PolkSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+13
60.1%
Dario Longhetto punt for 38 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 13 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:3940% → 44%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
59.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
59.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank Darby, broken up by Tevin PaulSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+38
59.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
58.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
58.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+10
59.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
56.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 11 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3957% → 61%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
57.0%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 45 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
58.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
57.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
57.3%
Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
57.5%
Marcel Dancy run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
60.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 16 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:3141% → 43%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
58.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
58.5%
A.J. Carter run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+18
58.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 18 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
57.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 9 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-2
56.8%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-1
57.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+13
58.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
56.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete, broken up by Trey Turner IIISimilar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
56.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Cal 18Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
57.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4859% → 58%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-13
59.1%
Chase Garbers sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 13 yards to the Cal 7 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Chase Garbers) to the Cal 7Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 23
OWN 7
+6
59.0%
Marcel Dancy run for 6 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
58.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon ClarkSimilar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+24
58.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Timarcus Davis for a 1ST down blocked by Timarcus Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5043% → 43%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
56.6%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+7
56.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-1
56.3%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+50
57.4%
Christian Zendejas 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1660% → 59%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
59.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
61.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 39Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+6
60.3%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 6 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
61.3%
Chase Garbers sacked by Merlin Robertson and Tyler Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+7
60.1%
Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
60.5%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake TongesSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+10
59.2%
Dario Longhetto punt for 43 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:5842% → 45%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
57.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Tevin Paul for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+2
56.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+24
57.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 24 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
54.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 9 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
53.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
54.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+8
53.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-1
52.9%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
53.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis HodgesSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
54.7%
Michael Turk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10INT
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:0859% → 60%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
59.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 3 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
58.9%
Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+28
57.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 28 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
61.5%
DeShawn Collins run for 4 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+19
62.0%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the CALIFORNIA 48 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Shannon Forman) to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
63.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+8
63.0%
Devon Modster run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
61.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
62.9%
Devon Modster sacked by George Lea for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+6
60.0%
Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 6 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
59.8%
Devon Modster pass intercepted, touchback. Aashari Crosswell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:2961% → 76%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
60.5%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+13
62.3%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
62.8%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
62.9%
Marcel Dancy run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
63.6%
Marcel Dancy run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
63.4%
Marcel Dancy run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
63.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-4
63.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+5
62.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyler Johnson) to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
62.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the ArzSt 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cal Devon Modster for a 1ST down Devon Modster run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
63.6%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
63.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:5932% → 51%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
68.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 16 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
67.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
66.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
68.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
66.7%
A.J. Carter run for 4 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+13
66.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 13 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2859% → 59%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
58.8%
Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the Cal 24Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
58.5%
Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 3 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+6
57.1%
Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 6 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
58.9%
Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
60.4%
Devon Modster run for 4 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
60.2%
Devon Modster run for 2 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
58.6%
Dario Longhetto punt for 34 yds, downed at the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:0246% → 46%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+28
54.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 28 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
49.7%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Cal 48Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-15
49.9%
Daniels, Jayden pass complete to Aiyuk, Brandon for 9 yards to the CALIFORNIA39, PENALTY ARIZONAST illegal block (Losoya, Alex) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+2
54.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 23
OWN 39
+15
54.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 8
OPP 46
+21
53.9%
Michael Turk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 10 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (A.J. Carter) to the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3458% → 56%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
57.8%
Devon Modster pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. DavidsonSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jeremiah HawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0446% → 45%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
53.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+13
53.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 13 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
52.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
53.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-4
55.2%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Cameron Goode and Lone Toailoa for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 30 Jayden Daniels fumbled, forced by Cameron Goode, recovered by Cal Joseph Ogunbanjo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0065% → 70%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
64.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-5
64.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
62.4%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon ClarkSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
70.3%
Greg Thomas 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:0233% → 80%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.2%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
66.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
64.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
63.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
62.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
60.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
60.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
61.1%
A.J. Carter run for 6 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
58.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to A.J. CarterSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+12
60.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 12 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
58.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+13
61.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 13 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
61.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the Cal 3Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1533% → 30%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
33.0%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
32.4%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+4
30.7%
Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
30.4%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:2085% → 89%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
15.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
14.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
14.3%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
10.9%
Christian Zendejas 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3719% → 12%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
18.7%
Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 4 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
17.2%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Marcel DancySimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
14.2%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
11.9%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Marcel DancySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:2096% → 96%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-3
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 14
OPP 26
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:41
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
-41.4
TD · Q3 6:01
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
-17.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:13
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Cal 27
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com