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COLO

Colorado 34 at Arizona State 31

ASU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:34 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:18: Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 29 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +8.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:45: Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 31 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +9.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:10: Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 20 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +20.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:51: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +24.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:03: James Stefanou 44 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +23.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 6:24ASU 4th & 11 at COLO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:32COLO 4th & 1 at ASU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−1.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:28COLO 4th & 1 at ASU 8, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%−1.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−7.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:32ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:32COLO 4th & 7 at ASU 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:42ASU 4th & 3 at COLO 5, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%−1.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−14.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:51COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:21COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:34ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:03COLO 4th & 6 at ASU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−23.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:03ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 19, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:00COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:18COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:41ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:45COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:23ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:10COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:51ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0032% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
68.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
68.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 17 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
68.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+10
68.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 10 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
68.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+23
68.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 23 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
68.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:3666% → 64%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 8 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
66.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
66.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+33
66.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 33 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
66.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 4 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-15
66.9%
Benjamin,Eno rush for 24 yards to the COLO1 (Onu, Mikial), PENALTY ASU personal foul (Miller,Steven) 15 yards to the COLO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 21
OPP 40
+10
66.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
66.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
64.1%
Christian Zendejas 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:0636% → 45%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
63.8%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+1
64.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+15
64.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 15 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
63.4%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
63.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 6 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
63.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
63.3%
Deion Smith run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
63.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
63.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-2
63.1%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
54.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 29 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:0356% → 61%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
56.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
56.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
56.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
55.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
56.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
56.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
56.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+53
60.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
60.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eno Benjamin) to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2262% → 69%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
61.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+20
61.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 20 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
62.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
62.7%
Ethan Long run for 6 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+5
61.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
62.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:4736% → 45%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
63.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 18 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
63.1%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
63.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+6
63.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
64.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
54.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 31 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2257% → 69%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
57.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 21 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for no gain to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
58.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+12
59.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 12 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Geordon Porter, broken up by Chris MillerSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
60.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Mikial OnuSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+18
59.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 18 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
60.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
60.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 14 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 4:4638% → 46%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
62.5%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
62.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
60.9%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
60.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+15
60.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 15 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
60.1%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
59.3%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+14
60.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 14 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
55.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
55.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
56.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
54.3%
James Stefanou 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2858% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
58.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
60.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
59.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
57.5%
Michael Turk punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
55.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+26
56.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 26 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
53.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
53.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jaren Mangham, broken up by Darien ButlerSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
53.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
55.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 7:2056% → 65%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
56.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+7
56.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
56.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
55.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 10 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
59.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
59.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+19
58.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
62.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 4 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
62.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 19 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
62.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
62.2%
Ethan Long run for 4 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-1
60.4%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
64.8%
Christian Zendejas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3243% → 69%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
57.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
53.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+35
53.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 35 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
52.3%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 0
OPP 10
-10
51.9%
[SG], Mangham, Jaren rush for 6 yards to the ASU4 (Wilkins,Roe), PENALTY COLO holding (Kutsch, Kary) 10 yards to the ASU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
31.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 20 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1341% → 67%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
40.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
43.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
40.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 16 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
41.9%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
66.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 17 yds to the Colo 42 COLORADO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (K.D. Nixon) to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
56.6%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
55.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Beau Bisharat for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
56.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley, broken up by Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
58.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:0062% → 69%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
62.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
63.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 7 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
64.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 26 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
68.6%
Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Derrion Rakestraw return for no gain to the Colo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
55.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+1
53.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
54.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for no gain to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
61.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
61.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
60.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ryan NewsomeSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+9
59.3%
Michael Turk punt for 58 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 9 yds to the Colo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:4746% → 79%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
53.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 21 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
52.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
50.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
49.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
48.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
47.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+13
48.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 13 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
45.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
45.6%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
44.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
20.6%
James Stefanou 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
31.5%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Terrance Lang for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
29.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk, broken up by Alex TchangamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · -72 yds · 1:0590% → 95%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
10.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
10.5%
Dimitri Stanley run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
10.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 3
OPP 12
-5
13.2%
COLORADO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+75
6.9%
Stefanou, James field goal attempt from 34 GOOD, clock 00:34, PENALTY ASU personal foul (Davis,Timarcus) 75 yards to the COLO8, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
8.1%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:51
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
+24.7
FG · Q4 2:03
James Stefanou 44 yd FG GOOD
-23.5
TD · Q3 1:10
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 20 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
-20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com