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SAC

Sacramento State 7 at Arizona State 19

ASU
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2019 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:15 · Sam Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+30.4Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 4:57: Christian Zendejas 35 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +1.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:20: Kevin Thomson pass complete to Tao McClinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Devon Medeiros KICK) — SAC win probability +20.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:20: Devon Medeiros kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ASU win probability +7.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:20: Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27 — ASU win probability +7.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:42: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 72 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +8.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SAC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35SAC 4th & 3 at SAC 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:10ASU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:22SAC 4th & 12 at ASU 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:31ASU 4th & 11 at SAC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SAC 4th & 16 at SAC 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33SAC 4th & 17 at ASU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:01ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:11SAC 4th & 1 at SAC 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SAC 4th & 10 at SAC 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:58ASU 4th & 1 at SAC 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−1.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:15ASU 4th & 8 at SAC 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:15SAC 4th & 8 at SAC 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:57ASU 4th & 6 at SAC 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:57SAC 4th & 7 at SAC 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:55ASU 4th & 8 at SAC 8, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−4.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:55SAC 4th & 16 at SAC 19, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:59ASU 4th & 2 at SAC 29, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−3.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:35SAC 4th & 1 at ASU 39, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:00ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 23, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SAC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q4 6:20SAC Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:42ASU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
98.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 24 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
98.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
-1
98.4%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-1
98.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Michael Turk punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Pierre Williams at the SacSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
98.1%
[SG], THOMSON, Kevin rush for 5 yards to the SAC13 (Crosswell,A.), PENALTY SAC holding (WELDON, Brandon) 4 yards to the SAC4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+4
98.1%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 8Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
98.0%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 7 yds to the SacSt 15Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the SacSt 15Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Sam Clark punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
97.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
50
0
97.9%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 1
50
0
97.9%
Michael Turk punt for 42 yds, downed at the SacSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 4DOWNS
14 plays · 60 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
97.6%
Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the SacSt 11Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
97.6%
Elijah Dotson run for 6 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
97.6%
Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the SacSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Jarrell Anderson for 4 yds to the SacSt 24Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
97.6%
Kevin Thomson run for 9 yds to the SacSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Marshel Martin for 2 yds to the SacSt 35Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+13
97.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 13 yds to the SacSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.5%
Kevin Thomson run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Parker Clayton, broken up by Merlin RobertsonSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+19
97.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Tao McClinton for 19 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
97.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isaiah Gable for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-3
97.5%
Kevin Thomson sacked by D.J. Davidson and George Lea for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
97.5%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
97.6%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
96.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
96.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+13
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the SacSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
96.8%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 49Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Michael Turk punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SacSt 12 , Pierre Williams returns for no gain to the SacSt 12 Pierre Williams fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:234% → 4%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
96.0%
Elijah Dotson run for a loss of 6 yards to the SacSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 6
0
96.0%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Pierre WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 6
0
96.0%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Elijah DotsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 6
+38
96.1%
Sam Clark punt for 41 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 38 yds to the SacSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.3%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the SacSt 9Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to A.J. Carter for 8 yds A.J. Carter fumbled, forced by Daron Bland, recovered by SacSt Daron BlandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.5%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 21Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
95.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 6 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
95.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 4 yds to the SacSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
95.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isaiah Gable for 6 yds to the SacSt 37Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
95.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Parker Clayton for 10 yds to the SacSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
95.2%
Elijah Dotson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
95.2%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.2%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-9
95.2%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to BJ Perkinson for 1 yd to the SacSt 40 SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Parker Clayton) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 19
50
0
95.4%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Parker ClaytonSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 19
50
+2
95.4%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 2 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
95.6%
Sam Clark punt for 38 yds, downed at the ArzSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
94.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
94.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 8 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
94.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
93.8%
Michael Turk punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Pierre Williams at the SacSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.1%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Parker Clayton, broken up by Kobe WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
93.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Marshel Martin for 6 yds to the SacSt 30Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+3
93.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 3 yds to the SacSt 33Similar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
93.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the SacSt 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Khaylan Kearse-ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 15 yds · 3:4294% → 93%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno BenjaminSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
94.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the SacSt 32Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+11
93.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the SacSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
94.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 8 yds to the SacSt 13Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
94.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the SacSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
94.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SacSt 13Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
94.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the SacSt 10Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.4%
Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Aiyuk,Brandon, PENALTY SAC holding (BLAND, Daron) 5 yards to the SAC5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-13
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SacSt 18Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+36
92.5%
Christian Zendejas 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:358% → 8%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.2%
Kevin Thomson run for 3 yds to the SacSt 23Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
92.2%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
91.8%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
91.7%
Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 32Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
91.8%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the SacSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to BJ Perkinson for 4 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
91.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Dewey Cotton for 4 yds to the SacSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-8
91.2%
Kevin Thomson sacked by D.J. Davidson for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Sam Clark punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4391% → 92%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
91.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the SacSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
91.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the SacSt 42Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
91.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the SacSt 40Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
91.7%
Ethan Long run for 1 yd to the SacSt 39Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+33
91.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 33 yds to the SacSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
92.1%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 9Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.1%
Isaiah Floyd run for 1 yd to the SacSt 8Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank Darby ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
91.7%
Christian Zendejas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.6%
[SG], THOMSON, Kevin pass incomplete to GABLE, Isaiah, PENALTY ASU personal foul (Whiley,Tyler) 15 yards to the SAC40, 1ST DOWN SAC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
89.9%
Kevin Thomson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SacSt 36Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+6
90.7%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 6 yds to the SacSt 42Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
90.4%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Tao McClinton, broken up by Jack JonesSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Sam Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5191% → 93%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
91.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Nolan Matthews for 13 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
91.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 45 yds to the ARIZONAST 23 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Aiyuk) to the SacSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
92.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the SacSt 36 for a 1ST down SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dariyn Choates) to the SacSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
92.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Dariyn Choates for a loss of 4 yards to the SacSt 25Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 14
OPP 25
-13
91.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 2 yds to the SacSt 23 ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SacSt 38Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 27
OPP 38
+12
91.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 12 yds to the SacSt 26Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+9
91.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
93.2%
Christian Zendejas 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Isaiah Gable, broken up by Jack JonesSimilar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the SacSt 25Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to BJ Perkinson for 8 yds to the SacSt 33Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
93.4%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, false start (BJ Perkinson) to the SacSt 28Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
93.7%
Sam Clark punt for 38 yds , Jack Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0293% → 95%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.2%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
93.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 11 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+52
93.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 52 yds to the SacSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
93.9%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 6Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
93.9%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 7Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
93.5%
Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 8Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
95.1%
Christian Zendejas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 5 yds Elijah Dotson fumbled, forced by Cam Phillips, recovered by SacSt Troy StiefelSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to BJ PerkinsonSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
94.3%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Dewey CottonSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
94.5%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SacSt 19Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
94.5%
Sam Clark punt for 56 yds, downed at the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
Isaiah Floyd run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
94.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 14 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
95.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 8 yds to the SacSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Nolan MatthewsSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
95.3%
Isaiah Floyd run for 8 yds to the SacSt 41Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
95.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the SacSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Isaiah Floyd run for no gain to the SacSt 37Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
95.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
94.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the SacSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 21TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:425% → 27%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.6%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Parker ClaytonSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
95.0%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Dewey Cotton for 3 yds to the SacSt 31Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-5
94.7%
[NHSG], PENALTY SAC false start (WILLIAMS, P.) 5 yards to the SAC26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+15
95.1%
[SG], THOMSON, Kevin pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, P., PENALTY ASU pass interference (Williams,Kobe) 15 yards to the SAC41, 1ST DOWN SAC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
94.2%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Darien Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 39 Kevin Thomson fumbled, recovered by SacSt BJ Perkinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+12
94.8%
BJ Perkinson run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
94.0%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 40 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.3%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Dewey CottonSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
72.8%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Tao McClinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Devon Medeiros KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3888% → 96%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
87.9%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
96.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 72 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 23INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 14 yds to the SacSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.7%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Pierre Williams for 5 yds to the SacSt 44Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+8
94.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 8 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
94.5%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Marshel Martin for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
94.3%
BJ Perkinson run for no gain to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
94.7%
Kevin Thomson pass intercepted Cam Phillips return for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5497% → 98%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.2%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
97.7%
Michael Turk punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Pierre Williams at the SacSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:512% → 3%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Isaiah GableSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Marshel Martin for 20 yds to the SacSt 40 SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SacSt 25Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.9%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Marshel Martin for 22 yds to the SacSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.7%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 7
50
+14
97.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 14 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
97.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
97.3%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Pierre WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:20
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Tao McClinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Devon Medeiros KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q4 4:42
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 72 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
+8.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:20
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com