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KENT

Kent State 7 at Arizona State 30

ASU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:22 · Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+30.7Home team on offense+6.2Score differential+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Matthew Trickett kickoff for 35 yds , Michael Matus return for no gain to the ArzSt 30 — KENT win probability +1.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:17: Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +4.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:38: Christian Zendejas 31 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:53: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 77 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK) — ASU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:29: Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 23 at KENT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26ASU 4th & 11 at KENT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:04ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 24, up 3
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:46KENT 4th & 2 at ASU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:35ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:22KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:12ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:47KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:38ASU 4th & 5 at KENT 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:32KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 42, down 20
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:32KENT 4th & 7 at ASU 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:53KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:29ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:03ASU 4th & 9 at KENT 22, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:03KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:19ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 10, up 23
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:06KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 13, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KENT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:57ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:17ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:53ASU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:29KENT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
93.1%
Woody Barrett sacked by Team for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 18 Woody Barrett fumbled, recovered by KntSt Woody Barrett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 18
+1
93.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 19
0
93.1%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 19
0
93.1%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, downed at the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:0493% → 92%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+42
92.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 42 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
92.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
92.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 2 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-6
92.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Theo Majette for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+35
92.1%
Christian Zendejas 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
92.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
92.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
92.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 6 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.0%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
92.1%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Aashari CrosswellSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
92.1%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.2%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 15 , Brandon Aiyuk returns for 1 yd to the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
91.7%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
91.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
91.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
91.6%
Michael Turk punt for 64 yds , Kavious Price returns for no gain to the KntSt 12 Kavious Price fumbled, recovered by KntSt Jamal ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
91.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19 Jo-El Shaw fumbled, forced by Merlin Robertson, recovered by KntSt Jo-El ShawSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
91.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+15
91.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 15 yds to the KntSt 34 Jo-El Shaw fumbled, forced by Jack Jones, recovered by ArzSt Cam PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:1991% → 92%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
91.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
91.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+16
91.3%
Ethan Long run for 16 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
91.4%
Ethan Long run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
91.1%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
91.0%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
91.0%
Woody Barrett run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
91.0%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-1
91.0%
Craig Elmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
91.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Willie HartsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:4891% → 91%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
91.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
91.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+10
91.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
91.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Sekou Diaby for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+7
91.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Tommy Hudson for 7 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
91.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
91.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the KntSt 27 Eno Benjamin fumbled, forced by Akeam Peters, recovered by KntSt Kesean GambleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
90.6%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-4
90.8%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 30 KENT ST Penalty, IB (Xavier Williams) to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+26
90.8%
Dustin Crum run for 26 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
90.3%
Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-3
90.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for a loss of 3 yards Kavious Price fumbled, forced by Kobe Williams,Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 16
OWN 40
0
90.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+5
91.0%
ADAMS, Derek punt 23 yards to the ASU37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ASU OF (Darby,Frank) 5 yards to the KENTST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
91.0%
Derek Adams punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArzSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:1690% → 90%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
90.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+24
90.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 24 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-9
90.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Tommy Hudson) to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 19
OWN 20
+16
90.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to A.J. Carter for 16 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-1
90.5%
A.J. Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-1
90.1%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Faulkner for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+20
90.2%
Michael Turk punt for 62 yds , Kavious Price returns for 20 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
90.5%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
90.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
90.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Jack JonesSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
90.4%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
90.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 2 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+3
90.3%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-5
90.0%
[NHSG], PENALTY ASU delay of game 5 yards to the ASU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
89.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
89.6%
Michael Turk punt for 65 yds, downed at the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:3210% → 9%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
90.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+6
90.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 6 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 3
OWN 23
-7
90.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Khaylan Thomas and Jermayne Lole for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
90.6%
Derek Adams punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 35 , Brandon Aiyuk returns for no gain to the ArzSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 55 yds · 0:3990% → 90%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
90.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
89.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 9 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
90.9%
Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Benjamin,Eno, PENALTY ASU IB 15 yards to the ASU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 25
OWN 38
+11
90.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+14
90.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 14 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Jordan Kerley, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
90.8%
[SG], Daniels,Jayden rush for 6 yards to the KENTST31 (GAMBLE, Kesean), PENALTY ASU holding (Miller,Steven) 10 yards to the KENTST47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 20
OPP 47
0
90.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+37
90.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 37 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:4190% → 95%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
89.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+10
89.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
90.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
90.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
90.6%
Eno Benjamin run for 10 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
90.7%
Isaiah Floyd run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+10
90.7%
Isaiah Floyd run for 10 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
90.7%
Isaiah Floyd run for 9 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
90.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
94.2%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-8
94.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Khaylan Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 18 Dustin Crum fumbled, recovered by ArzSt George Lea , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5396% → 98%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon AiyukSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
95.6%
Isaiah Floyd run for 5 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
95.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
97.7%
Christian Zendejas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
97.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 14 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
97.1%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Jamal Parker punt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.1%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-3
97.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+30
97.2%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 9 KENT ST Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 2:3698% → 100%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
98.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
98.2%
A.J. Carter run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+9
98.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
98.2%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Theo Majette for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+77
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 77 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Joachim Bangda for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.7%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Floyd run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Floyd run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-10
99.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Zayin West for a loss of 10 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Michael Turk punt for 49 yds , Kavious Price returns for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:580% → 1%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 17 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 15 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
98.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:2699% → 99%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.0%
Ethan Long run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+16
99.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 16 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 17 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.1%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-1
99.1%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
99.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
99.2%
Christian Zendejas 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.2%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 8 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
99.2%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Derek Adams punt for 60 yds, downed at the ArzSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+5
99.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+2
99.4%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
99.3%
Michael Turk punt for 75 yds , Kavious Price returns for no gain to the KntSt 10 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.5%
Craig Elmore run for 3 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
99.5%
Craig Elmore run for 3 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 14
-5
99.5%
[NHSG], PENALTY KENTST false start 5 yards to the KENTST9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+4
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Javaughn Williams for 4 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
99.5%
Derek Adams punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brandon Aiyuk at the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:17
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
+4.2
FG · Q3 9:38
Christian Zendejas 31 yd FG GOOD
+2.2
TD · Q3 3:53
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 77 yds for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com