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WAKE

Wake Forest 30 at Syracuse 39

SYR
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:08 · Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 158Pregame prior−6.5Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Time remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:45: Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 75 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +24.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:29: Moe Neal run for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +28.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:12: Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +28.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:44: Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +32.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Nick Sciba 43 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +39.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02WAKE 4th & 8 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:19SYR 4th & 3 at WAKE 6, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at SYR 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−1.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18WAKE 4th & 9 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:18WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:35SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:23SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:57SYR 4th & 2 at WAKE 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−13.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:45SYR 4th & 11 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:08WAKE 4th & 10 at SYR 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:40WAKE 4th & 14 at SYR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−5.0
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:29WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.5%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:12WAKE 4th & 2 at SYR 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−7.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−18.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:44SYR 4th & 7 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−3.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−14.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:27SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:18SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:11WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:45WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:29SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:12WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
30.4%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
30.4%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-2
30.4%
Clayton Welch sacked by Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 32 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
30.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:4369% → 68%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
30.9%
Jamie Newman run for 8 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
30.9%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
30.9%
Jamie Newman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
30.9%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
30.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Waydale Jones for 5 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
30.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 30 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
30.8%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-1
30.8%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
30.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
32.1%
Nick Sciba 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:3532% → 36%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
32.3%
Clayton Welch run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
32.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
32.5%
Clayton Welch run for 3 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
32.6%
Moe Neal run for 15 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
32.7%
Moe Neal run for 12 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
32.9%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 6 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
32.9%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
32.7%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 6 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
32.9%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
32.9%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
32.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
36.3%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 12 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.4%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Andre Cisco return for 9 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
36.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
36.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+18
36.1%
Clayton Welch pass intercepted Manny Walker return for 3 yds to the WFrst 17 WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
36.3%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the WFrst 7Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
36.4%
Jamie Newman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+6
36.7%
Jamie Newman run for 6 yds to the WFrst 13 Jamie Newman fumbled, forced by Lakiem Williams, recovered by Syrac Andre Cisco WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3838% → 41%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
38.1%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
38.1%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
37.7%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Aaron Hackett for no gain to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
40.6%
Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:1960% → 59%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.1%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
40.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Waydale Jones for 8 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
39.8%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
39.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 13 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
39.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Cade Carney for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
38.9%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+3
40.7%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
41.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete, broken up by Andre CiscoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:1244% → 53%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
44.1%
Taj Harris run for 10 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
44.3%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+18
44.2%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 18 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
44.4%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+29
53.1%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Luke Benson for 29 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
50.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
49.7%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-1
49.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+11
49.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 11 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
49.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 9
50
0
49.3%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 9
50
0
49.6%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 9
50
0
50.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
55.0%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
54.8%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
54.1%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Jarveon Howard, broken up by Carlos Basham Jr.Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
53.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kendall Hinton at the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
53.2%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
53.3%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+15
53.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
52.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for no gain to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
52.8%
Jamie Newman sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 42 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
53.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
54.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
57.9%
Clayton Welch run for 8 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OWN 18
-3
58.0%
Clayton Welch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+8
57.3%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 8 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
58.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
58.0%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-5
57.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
57.1%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+23
56.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kendall Hinton at the SYRACUSE 41 SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
57.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 21 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
55.7%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+2
55.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+10
56.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 10 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
55.7%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.7%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted, touchback. Ifeatu Melifonwu return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
62.4%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
62.9%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
62.5%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
62.4%
Clayton Welch run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
61.7%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
60.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kendall Hinton at the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
63.5%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
63.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
63.3%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted Christopher Fredrick return for 12 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0670% → 66%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
69.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 15
OWN 47
-2
69.0%
Clayton Welch run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+9
66.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
66.3%
Clayton Welch pass intercepted Ja'Sir Taylor return for no gain to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:4835% → 36%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
65.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
64.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 5 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
64.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 23 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
66.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
66.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 7 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
65.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 8 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
64.5%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+45
64.5%
Nick Sciba 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4937% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
63.3%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
61.7%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
61.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 8 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
60.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 27 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
59.2%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 19 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by WFrst Sam HartmanSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
45.0%
Cade Carney run for 19 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:1451% → 69%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
51.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
51.4%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+28
49.9%
Clayton Welch run for 13 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
54.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 10 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
54.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+9
54.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
54.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-10
54.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
54.6%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+18
52.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 18 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.7%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.7%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
53.4%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 2Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
68.5%
Andre Szmyt 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
44.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 75 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 47%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
52.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
52.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
51.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 6
OPP 45
-5
49.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 11
50
0
47.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, downed at the WFrst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
45.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete, broken up by Mikel JonesSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
45.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+23
47.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 23 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
44.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 13 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
42.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 8 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
40.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
41.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Steven Claude, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
42.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
45.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:5449% → 56%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
49.3%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 10 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
49.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-3
50.2%
Clayton Welch sacked by JaCorey Johns and Ryan Smenda Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-5
47.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+19
47.3%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Moe Neal for 19 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
52.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 11 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
54.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 11 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-18
55.8%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 18 yards to the WFrst 39 Jarveon Howard fumbled, forced by Tyler Williams, recovered by WFrst Trey RuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25MISSED FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:1556% → 50%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon Greene, broken up by Christopher FredrickSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
44.7%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
45.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
41.9%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
41.9%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+18
42.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 18 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
40.0%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
40.5%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-5
41.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-5
42.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
45.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+48
49.9%
Nick Sciba 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1153% → 86%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.0%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
52.4%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+26
50.1%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 26 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
58.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
58.3%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+26
57.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 26 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.2%
Moe Neal run for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1722% → 55%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.5%
Sam Hartman run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
76.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
78.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+15
79.0%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.0%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
76.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 9 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+10
73.6%
Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
71.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 25 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
71.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
71.3%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
73.6%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 3:2855% → 93%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-12
55.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the Syrac 11Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
54.6%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+7
54.7%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
54.9%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
54.7%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+11
52.3%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 11 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+33
55.9%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 33 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
62.9%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-10
67.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+3
66.8%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+1
62.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
92.9%
Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:4418% → 62%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 15 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
78.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
77.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
79.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 14 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
76.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
70.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 6 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+4
68.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 4 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+43
38.1%
Nick Sciba 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.5%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Moe Neal for 3 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
62.4%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
79.3%
Andre Szmyt 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 31FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0029% → 6%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+12
70.9%
Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+94
93.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 4 yds for a TD Kendall Hinton fumbled, forced by Tyler Williams, recovered by Syrac Trill Williams , return for 94 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Nick Sciba 43 yd FG GOOD
-39.5
FG · Q4 0:44
Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG GOOD
+32
TD · Q4 8:29
Moe Neal run for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+28.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com