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VT

Virginia Tech 30 at Virginia 39

UVA
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:04 · Oscar Bradburn punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the Virg 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+5.8Pregame prior−2.7Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:42: Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +17.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:24: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 25 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +18.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:48: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 61 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +23.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:30: Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +23.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:23: Brian Delaney 48 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +31.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:19VT 4th & 3 at VT 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:26VT 4th & 3 at UVA 3, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−3.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:06UVA 4th & 21 at VT 38, up 10
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:48VT 4th & 6 at VT 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:10UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04VT 4th & 11 at VT 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 19, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:06VT 4th & 8 at UVA 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:40UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:20UVA 4th & 21 at UVA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−4.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:13VT 4th & 7 at VT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:04UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 36, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:58VT 4th & 12 at UVA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−3.8
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−15.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:35UVA 4th & 8 at VT 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−4.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−18.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:23UVA 4th & 6 at VT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−9.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:14UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:32UVA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:52VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:42VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:24UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:48VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:30UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4346% → 48%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
45.7%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 21Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+19
45.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 19 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Wayne TaulapapaSimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
46.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+16
46.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 16 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
46.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
47.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 39 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5153% → 52%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
47.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Noah Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+14
47.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 14 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
47.7%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
48.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 9 yds to the Virg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0049% → 50%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Virg 24Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
48.8%
Perkins, Bryce pass incomplete to Kemp IV, Billy, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Waller, Jermaine) 15 yards to the VIRGINIA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
49.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 4 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
49.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+31
49.9%
Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Chamarri Conner return for 16 yds to the VIRGINIA 41 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:2951% → 51%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
48.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 4
50
+23
48.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 23 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
48.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 9 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
48.7%
Dalton Keene run for 3 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
48.9%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hazelton, Damon, PENALTY VIRGINIA holding (Grant, Nick) 8 yards to the VIRGINIA7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
49.0%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
49.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
49.9%
Tre Turner run for 2 yds to the Virg 3Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
49.3%
Brian Johnson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4850% → 54%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
50.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
54.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 67 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:0446% → 45%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
54.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
55.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 14 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.3%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
54.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
54.3%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the Virg 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
54.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+5
55.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds Tre Turner fumbled, forced by Jordan Mack, recovered by Virg Mandy AlonsoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5458% → 57%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+32
57.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 32 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
57.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 6 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-2
58.0%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-15
57.9%
Perkins, Bryce pass incomplete to Dubois, Hasise, PENALTY VIRGINIA pass interference (Dubois, Hasise) 15 yards to the VATECH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 21
OPP 38
0
57.3%
Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 21
OPP 38
0
56.6%
Nash Griffin punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1742% → 40%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Dalton KeeneSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
58.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-10
59.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+14
59.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+6
60.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 43 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 6 yds to the Virg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3060% → 59%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
59.9%
Bryce Perkins sacked by DaShawn Crawford for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 17
OWN 32
0
59.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+10
58.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+28
58.7%
Nash Griffin punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 28 yds to the VTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5641% → 37%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
58.9%
Dalton Keene run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 7
50
-11
58.9%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Charles Snowden for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+7
62.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 7 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+4
63.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the Virg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5562% → 62%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
62.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
62.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 5 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
62.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 1 yd to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+35
61.9%
Nash Griffin punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 35 yds to the Virg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:3440% → 40%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
60.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+14
59.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
59.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Virg 12 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the Virg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
60.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
60.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Virg 10Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 2 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Joey BlountSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
59.8%
Brian Johnson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2162% → 60%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
61.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
60.2%
Nash Griffin punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:3038% → 39%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
62.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 8 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
62.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Austin Cannon) to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+22
63.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 22 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
60.7%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Noah Taylor return for no gain to the VTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5736% → 55%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
63.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 30 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
60.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
61.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
61.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
44.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 34 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:3053% → 50%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-11
52.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 27 VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-13 Yards) to the Virg 14Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
50.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+54
50.0%
Nash Griffin punt for 54 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0251% → 49%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
48.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
48.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
50.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
51.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0153% → 53%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
52.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+2
53.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+6
51.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
52.6%
Nash Griffin punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 4:1850% → 73%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
49.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 20 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
46.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
45.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
46.2%
Keshawn King run for 10 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
44.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
44.5%
Tre Turner run for 7 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
44.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 16 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0633% → 58%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
33.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+42
33.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 42 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
39.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
39.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
39.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
58.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 25 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3250% → 74%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
47.8%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
49.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
26.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 61 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1532% → 60%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
32.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 37 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
34.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 30 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
36.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 4 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
36.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the VTech 2Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1753% → 63%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
46.8%
Tre Turner run for 16 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
45.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 13 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
43.6%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
44.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
47.1%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
36.8%
Brian Johnson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24FG
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:4539% → 58%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+67
39.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 67 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
47.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
47.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Motion (Hasise Dubois) to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
47.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
45.0%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Dax Hollifield for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 8Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
57.8%
Brian Delaney 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:3849% → 51%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
51.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 9 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
46.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
48.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 21 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
44.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+1
47.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 14
OPP 48
-5
48.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 19
OWN 47
0
49.4%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Noah Taylor return for no gain to the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:1257% → 88%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
56.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
61.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
62.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
62.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
64.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the VTech 33 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 18
OPP 43
0
60.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+3
59.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+9
56.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 9 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
87.6%
Brian Delaney 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27FUMBLE TD
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:1925% → 3%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
75.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Zane Zandier for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-9
77.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Matt Gahm for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 7Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 21
OWN 7
0
97.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Mandy Alonso for a loss of 6 yards Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Mandy Alonso, recovered by Virg Eli Hanback , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:574% → 5%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
96.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 15 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
96.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Aaron Faumui for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+22
96.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 22 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+36
96.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 36 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
95.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Hendon Hooker) to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:23
Brian Delaney 48 yd FG GOOD
+31.5
TD · Q4 13:30
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+23.2
TD · Q3 0:48
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 61 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)
-23
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com