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MIA

Miami 24 at Florida International 30

FIU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:39 · Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 19 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior−4.1Home team on offense+26.6Score differential+10.4Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.9Time remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:02: Jose Borregales 50 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:02: Jose Borregales 53 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +9.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:04: James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +8.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:10: Jarren Williams pass complete to Mark Pope for 35 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — MIA win probability +12.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:31: Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — MIA win probability +12.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08FIU 4th & 4 at MIA 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:08MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MIA 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:53MIA 4th & 1 at FIU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−1.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:50FIU 4th & 6 at MIA 38, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−1.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:19MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 9, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:27FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−2.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02FIU 4th & 18 at MIA 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−2.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:52MIA 4th & 2 at FIU 5, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%−1.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−11.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:52FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−4.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MIA 4th & 18 at MIA 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:04MIA 4th & 10 at FIU 30, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:51FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:39MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:31MIA 4th & 3 at FIU 3, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIA made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 3:59FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:04FIU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:07MIA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:10MIA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:17FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:31MIA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
10.0%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 1 yd to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
10.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
10.7%
Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 5 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+23
10.7%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted Stantley Thomas-Oliver III return for 23 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0611% → 12%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
11.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
11.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 2 yds to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-3
11.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
12.3%
Jose Borregales 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
12.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
12.1%
Jarren Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
12.0%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Jamal GatesSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+4
12.1%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 4 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
12.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:1113% → 18%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
13.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
13.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
13.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 19 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
13.5%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
13.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
13.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
13.6%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+15
13.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 15 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
13.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
13.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Michael PinckneySimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+29
18.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:5383% → 79%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
17.3%
Dallas, D. rush for 9 yards to the UM32 (LEWIS,S;BROWN,I), PENALTY UM illegal shift 5 yards to the UM18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+15
17.4%
Williams, J. sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UM8 (MOORE,D), PENALTY FIU face mask (MOORE,D) 15 yards to the UM33, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
17.1%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 15 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
16.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+29
16.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
16.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
16.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
20.1%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to DeeJay Dallas, broken up by Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal participation (1 Yards) to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.6%
Jarren Williams run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
21.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 15 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
21.8%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 18
-5
21.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Shemar Thornton) to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 14
OWN 13
0
21.6%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 14
OWN 13
-5
21.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 19
OWN 8
+24
21.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 24 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
21.9%
JONES,A rush for 13 yards to the FIU45, out-of-bounds (Blades, A.;Carter, A.), PENALTY FIU holding (MCGOUGH,S) 10 yards to the FIU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+2
21.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 18
OWN 24
0
21.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+7
21.2%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+52
21.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the FLAINTL 27 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 65 yds · 0:0071% → 73%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.7%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Cam'Ron HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+29
29.0%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 29 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
27.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+25
27.6%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Michael Irvin II for 25 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
25.9%
Jarren Williams sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 37 Jarren Williams fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Cam'Ron Harris , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+10
27.5%
Williams, J. pass intercepted by HALL,D at the FIU5, HALL,D return to the FIU45 (Mallory, W.), PENALTY FIU holding (ALEXANDER,M) 10 yards to the FIU27, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
25.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
25.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
26.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
27.4%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Michael Irvin IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:0737% → 51%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
37.1%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
37.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
36.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
37.2%
James Morgan run for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaIn 24 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Anthony Jones , return for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+16
36.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 16 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
43.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+26
42.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the FLAINTL 48 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trevon Hill) to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
44.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+50
51.4%
Jose Borregales 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
49.9%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted Sage Lewis return for 12 yds to the MiaFl 37 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, IB (16 Yards) to the MiaFl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
54.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to D'Vonte Price, broken up by Shaquille QuartermanSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
54.6%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
53.6%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
52.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 29 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
53.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
54.0%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Will Mallory, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
54.4%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+19
54.8%
Lou Hedley punt for 61 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 19 yds to the FlaIn 28 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Andy Bautista) to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
58.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
58.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Romeo FinleySimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
57.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Darrius Scott, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+2
55.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 2 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
56.3%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted Jamal Gates return for 16 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FG
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:1561% → 69%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
60.9%
Kaylan Wiggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+3
60.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 8
OPP 26
-10
61.1%
MORGAN,J pass complete to THORNTON,S for loss of 10 yards to the UM36 (Carter, A.), PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the UM36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 18
OPP 36
0
59.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 18
OPP 36
+53
68.5%
Jose Borregales 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:1033% → 24%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
65.3%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
65.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
64.2%
Jarren Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
64.6%
Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
63.9%
Robert Burns run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
62.7%
Robert Burns run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
62.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (DJ Scaife Jr.) to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+5
62.9%
Harris, C. rush for 5 yards to the FIU13 (CURTIS,N;GATES,J), PENALTY FIU OF (OLIVER,K) 5 yards to the FIU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
62.0%
Robert Burns run for no gain to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
62.0%
Jarren Williams run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
81.5%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
76.5%
Camden Price 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
81.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Dallas Connell) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
80.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Romeo Finley FLORIDA INTL Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
80.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0620% → 16%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
80.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
79.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 47 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jarren WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
82.1%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-6
83.0%
Jarren Williams sacked by Jamal Gates and Alexy Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
84.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 3:0688% → 98%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
87.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 0
+21
88.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
89.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 17 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
89.1%
Anthony Jones run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
89.3%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+13
98.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:572% → 9%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 8 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
97.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.4%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
97.5%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Michael Irvin II, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+16
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 16 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:1693% → 96%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
93.4%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
93.6%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+5
93.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
95.5%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
95.6%
James Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 yds, downed at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:293% → 15%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.2%
Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 6 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
97.2%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Will MallorySimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
97.3%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 3 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+19
97.4%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 19 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
84.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mark Pope for 35 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:5393% → 98%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
93.2%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+37
98.3%
Anthony Jones run for 37 yds for a TD Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 02:17 (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:462% → 14%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Cam'Ron HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.3%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mark Pope for 14 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.1%
Williams, J. pass complete to Harley, M. for 5 yards to the FIU44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FIU OF (MOORE,D) 5 yards to the FIU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+14
98.0%
Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 14 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
97.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 15 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 14 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.7%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
98.0%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:10
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mark Pope for 35 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q4 0:31
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
-12.2
FG · Q3 9:02
Jose Borregales 53 yd FG GOOD
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com