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SYR

Syracuse 34 at Louisville 56

LOU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.9LOU 86.4%Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 28 · Q3 11:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:29 · Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+13.1Pregame prior+9.9Score differential+4.6Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:10: Micale Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Davis for 28 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK) — LOU win probability +9.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Moe Neal run for 45 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +9.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:13: Hassan Hall run for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK) — LOU win probability +8.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:25: Jarveon Howard run for 16 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +9.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:36: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +7.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:06SYR 4th & 12 at LOU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:19SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at LOU 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−1.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−7.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:36LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:22SYR 4th & 20 at LOU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:37SYR 4th & 17 at LOU 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:29SYR 4th & 14 at LOU 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:10SYR 4th & 9 at LOU 28, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:05LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 32, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:24SYR 4th & 18 at LOU 18, down 15
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:29LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:19LOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:15LOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:36SYR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:05LOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:10LOU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:34SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:13LOU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:25SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:49LOU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 13:36SYR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:24LOU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:3172% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
72.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 7 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+10
72.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 10 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
72.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
72.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
72.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
72.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
72.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
72.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 27 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
72.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
73.2%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:2328% → 28%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
72.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
72.2%
Moe Neal run for 12 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
72.0%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+7
72.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 7 yds to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
72.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton Jackson, broken up by Chandler JonesSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
72.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-2
72.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
71.8%
Andre Szmyt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
71.4%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
71.1%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Mason King punt for 46 yds , Sean Riley returns for no gain to the Syrac 29 Sean Riley fumbled, recovered by Lvile Yasir AbdullahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
74.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.5%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
73.2%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
73.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
73.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:1675% → 81%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
74.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
75.1%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
75.0%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon Ford, broken up by Antwan CordySimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+11
74.8%
Hassan Hall run for 11 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
75.1%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
75.1%
Micale Cunningham run for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+20
80.9%
Micale Cunningham run for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:3919% → 25%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.6%
Abdul Adams run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.3%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
80.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
79.7%
Tommy DeVito run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
80.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
80.6%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+3
80.8%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
80.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 12 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
80.1%
Abdul Adams run for 7 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
80.0%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
80.4%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
80.4%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
80.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
80.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+10
80.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
80.0%
DeVito, T. pass incomplete to Tuazama, D. (Character, M.), PENALTY SU holding (Bergeron, M.) 10 yards to the LOU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
75.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 20 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
77.8%
Micale Cunningham run for 21 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
78.7%
Tutu Atwell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
78.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-4
78.1%
Cunningham, M. rush up middle for 9 yards to the SU40, out-of-bounds (Robinson, A.), PENALTY LOU illegal formation 4 yards to the LOU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
77.8%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
77.0%
Mason King punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
77.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+3
78.0%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+1
78.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
77.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+48
77.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 48 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
76.1%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Amonte Caban for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 47Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 20
OPP 47
0
77.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
78.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 94 yds · 0:4280% → 87%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
79.5%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+90
86.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 90 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 1:2814% → 13%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
85.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
85.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
85.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 6
50
+8
84.9%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
84.8%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
85.4%
Trishton Jackson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
85.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-8
86.2%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Dayna Kinnaird and Malik Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:2489% → 89%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
88.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
88.6%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 19Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
88.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+19
88.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 19 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.8%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
88.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 20 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:3113% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
87.3%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+7
86.7%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
86.6%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+18
88.0%
Moe Neal run for 18 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
85.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 11 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.6%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
86.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
86.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 23
-5
87.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+46
86.4%
Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
95.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Davis for 28 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:366% → 15%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
94.2%
Moe Neal run for 13 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
84.8%
Moe Neal run for 45 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:2188% → 97%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
87.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
88.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
87.9%
Tutu Atwell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
88.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
88.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
88.0%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 3 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
88.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
88.5%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-3
88.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+20
87.8%
Hassan Hall run for 20 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.7%
Hassan Hall run for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:484% → 14%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
96.2%
Moe Neal run for 33 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
95.7%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Boosie Whitlow) to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
86.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 16 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3692% → 98%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
92.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
92.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
97.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 44 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:133% → 10%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-2
96.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+6
96.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 6 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
96.7%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
50
-1
96.7%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+8
96.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
96.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
96.3%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
98.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+13
97.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 13 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
90.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Micale Cunningham pass intercepted Otto Zaccardo return for no gain to the Lvile 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1510% → 7%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.3%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
90.8%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
91.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 9
OPP 28
0
93.5%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
95.6%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 27Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
95.5%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-15
95.7%
Cunningham, M. curl pass complete to Fitzpatrick, D. for 15 yards to the 50 yardline (Cisco, A.), PENALTY LOU personal foul (Dawkins, S.) 15 yards to the LOU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+12
95.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 12 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Mason King punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 78 yds · 1:055% → 4%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+81
95.5%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 81 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.3%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Lvile 3Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
94.7%
Welch, C. rush right for 3 yards to the LOU0, clock 08:24, PENALTY SU holding (Jackson, T.) 9 yards to the LOU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
95.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
95.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Airon Servais) to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+3
95.5%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 3 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
95.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Taj Harris) to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+12
95.7%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 5:1097% → 100%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
96.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+7
96.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
96.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+7
96.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
96.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+47
96.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 47 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
97.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 14 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:10
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Davis for 28 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q3 5:25
Jarveon Howard run for 16 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 10:34
Moe Neal run for 45 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com