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ALST

Alabama State 12 at Florida State 49

FSU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadALST aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreALST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:33 · Tommy Martin punt for 39 yds , Kobi Crabb returns for no gain to the AlbSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+46.7Home team on offense+2.7Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:55: James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 39 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:46: KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 34 yds for a TD (KHA'Darris Davis fumbled) — ALST win probability +1.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:03: Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:02: KHA'Darris Davis pass intercepted for a TD Hamsah Nasirildeen return for 80 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:45: James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 12 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ALST made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:31ALST 4th & 1 at FSU 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24ALST 4th & 8 at ALST 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:29ALST 4th & 3 at ALST 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:33FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10ALST 4th & 9 at FSU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:25ALST 4th & 7 at FSU 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:48ALST 4th & 4 at FSU 18, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:40FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 34, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52ALST 4th & 15 at FSU 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04FSU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:37ALST 4th & 2 at FSU 21, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:59FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 29, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:49ALST 4th & 7 at ALST 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:18ALST 4th & 11 at ALST 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:00FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 11, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:15ALST 4th & 16 at ALST 46, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:22FSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:00FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:55FSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:03FSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:02FSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45FSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:27FSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALSTDrive 1FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.3%
Ezra Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jimmy Ferrell for 13 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 13 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
99.2%
Ezra Gray run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+13
99.2%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 13 yds to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
99.1%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+19
99.1%
Hunter Hanson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 69 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Ezra Gray run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
99.1%
KHA'Darris Davis sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for 7 yds to the AlbSt 27 ALABAMA ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.1%
Anthony Craven punt for 41 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 8 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews, broken up by Kimar MartinSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews, broken up by Kimar MartinSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 15 yds to the AlbSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 42Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+20
98.9%
James Blackman run for 20 yds to the AlbSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+16
98.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 16 yds to the AlbSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 7 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Jahod BookerSimilar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Anthony Craven punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
98.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 3 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
98.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun HarrisonSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Tommy Martin punt for 39 yds , Kobi Crabb returns for no gain to the AlbSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:541% → 2%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Duran Bell run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
98.8%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Talesin Farmer for 5 yds to the AlbSt 35Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
Duran Bell run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.8%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Jahod BookerSimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.8%
Ezra Gray run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 44Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+9
98.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 9 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 5 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
98.5%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+20
98.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for 20 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.4%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
98.4%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jimmy Ferrell for 3 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-2
98.4%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
98.4%
Hunter Hanson 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
98.4%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 27 FLORIDA ST Penalty, illegal block (Keith Gavin) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 14
OWN 17
+5
98.4%
Blackman,J deep pass incomplete to Gavin,K (Culpepper, N.), PENALTY ALST offside defense (Clark, C.) 5 yards to the FS22, NO PLAY, clock 13:36.Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 9
OWN 22
+24
98.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 9 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down ALABAMA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Irshaad Davis) to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
98.5%
James Blackman sacked by Andrew Ogletree for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+3
98.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+14
98.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Jordan Young for 14 yds to the AlbSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 39 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 9FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:441% → 2%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.7%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 2 yds to the AlbSt 37Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
98.7%
Davis, K. slant pass incomplete to Jefferson, M., PENALTY FS pass interference (Lytton,A) 7 yards to the ALST44, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY, clock 11:15.Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.7%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 4
50
+3
98.6%
Duran Bell run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
98.6%
Duran Bell run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.5%
Duran Bell run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
98.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
98.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson, broken up by Isaiah BoldenSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+18
98.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 18 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
98.3%
Duran Bell run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
98.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jimmy Ferrell for 6 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-1
98.3%
Duran Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
98.0%
Hunter Hanson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.3%
Deonte Sheffield run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.3%
Deonte Sheffield run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Deonte Sheffield run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Tommy Martin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kobi Crabb at the AlbSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:002% → 2%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 2 yds to the AlbSt 37Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+17
98.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 17 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
97.8%
Ezra Gray run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 14
50
0
98.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek AllenSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 14
50
+27
98.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 27 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.8%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek AllenSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
97.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (KHA'Darris Davis) to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
98.4%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
98.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Jahod BookerSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
98.5%
Hunter Hanson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:4498% → 98%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.2%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
98.2%
James Blackman run for no gain to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
98.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 13 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. MatthewsSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
98.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Jordan Young for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 1
50
0
98.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jordan YoungSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
50
+5
97.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 5 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST down to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 2 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1498% → 98%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
97.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keith Gavin, broken up by Keenan IsaacSimilar
Q3 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+9
97.7%
James Blackman pass intercepted Irshaad Davis return for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:343% → 5%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek Allen, broken up by Akeem DentSimilar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
97.1%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
95.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 34 yds for a TD (KHA'Darris Davis fumbled)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:1596% → 98%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+35
96.3%
James Blackman run for 35 yds to the AlbSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 1Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:073% → 3%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for 10 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.2%
Ezra Gray run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+22
97.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Ezra Gray for 22 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
96.9%
KHA'Darris Davis run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
96.7%
Ezra Gray run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
96.9%
KHA'Darris Davis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
96.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+6
96.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
96.7%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek Allen, broken up by Akeem DentSimilar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
96.7%
Hunter Hanson 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.9%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
97.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
97.7%
Tommy Martin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kobi Crabb at the AlbSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 18INT TD
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:003% → 1%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.7%
Ezra Gray run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 36Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
96.9%
Ezra Gray run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.9%
Ezra Gray run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 45Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
97.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 4 yds to the AlbSt 49Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Ezra Gray run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.8%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+80
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass intercepted for a TD Hamsah Nasirildeen return for 80 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Joshua Knight for 3 yds to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Jacory Merritt run for 7 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Marquez SpencerSimilar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.3%
KHA'Darris Davis sacked by Tru Thompson for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+6
99.4%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 6 yds to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Anthony Craven punt for 52 yds, downed at the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
99.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 47 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Irshaad Davis, recovered by AlbSt Kimar Martin , return for 8 yds to the AlbSt 18 ALABAMA ST Penalty, illegal block (Kimar Martin) to the AlbSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.4%
Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 35Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Jett Even pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Jett Even pass incomplete to Tyrek AllenSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Anthony Craven punt for 47 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+12
99.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+61
99.4%
Jordan Travis run for 61 yds to the AlbSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Gabe NabersSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (Baveon Johnson) to the AlbSt 7Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.5%
Blackman,J sideline pass complete to Terry,T for 7 yards to the ALST0, clock 09:49, PENALTY FS illegal motion (Laborn,K) 5 yards to the ALST12, NO PLAY, clock 09:49.Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 12 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 23INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jacory Merritt run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Even, Jett deep pass intercepted by Woodie,R at the FS39, Woodie,R return to the ALST10 (Jefferson, M.), PENALTY FS pass interference (Lytton,A) 15 yards to the ALST42, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY, clock 08:42.Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
99.9%
Jacory Merritt run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.9%
Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
Jett Even pass intercepted Stanford Samuels III return for 7 yds to the FlaSt 35 FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul (Brendan Gant) to the FlaSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Adarius Dent for 3 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Adarius Dent, broken up by Joshua HillSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Tommy Martin punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
100.0%
Norris, Dante rush over left end for 1 yard to the FS47 (Gainer,A), PENALTY ALST personal foul (Thompson, Carl) 15 yards to the ALST37, NO PLAY, clock 05:20.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 25
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Jett Even pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Dante Norris run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 24
OWN 38
+8
100.0%
Jett Even pass complete to Dante Norris for 8 yds to the AlbSt 46Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Anthony Craven punt for 39 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Deonte Sheffield run for no gain to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+17
100.0%
Deonte Sheffield run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Deonte Sheffield run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+63
100.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 63 yds to the AlbSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Adarius DentSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Deonte Sheffield run for 2 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Dante Norris run for 10 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:02
KHA'Darris Davis pass intercepted for a TD Hamsah Nasirildeen return for 80 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q3 13:46
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jahod Booker for 34 yds for a TD (KHA'Darris Davis fumbled)
-1.6
TD · Q3 12:03
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com