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SYR

Syracuse 49 at Duke 6

DUKE
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:36 · Austin Parker punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−0.3Pregame prior+20.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:37: Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +4.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:22: AJ Reed 51 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +2.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:48: Quentin Harris pass intercepted for a TD Andre Cisco return for 48 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +12.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:54: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 22 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — SYR win probability +16.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:35: Moe Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +4.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 11 of 13SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:12DUKE 4th & 12 at SYR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36DUKE 4th & 12 at SYR 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:49SYR 4th & 1 at DUKE 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:37DUKE 4th & 12 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53DUKE 4th & 15 at SYR 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:58SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:37DUKE 4th & 1 at SYR 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−1.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:14DUKE 4th & 9 at SYR 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:09SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:43DUKE 4th & 19 at DUKE 14, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:29SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:20DUKE 4th & 5 at SYR 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:22DUKE 4th & 10 at SYR 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:54SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:29DUKE 4th & 2 at SYR 43, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:45SYR 4th & 2 at DUKE 45, up 29
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 17, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:16SYR 4th & 9 at DUKE 44, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:17DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 34, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:47DUKE 4th & 10 at SYR 32, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:36SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:48SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:54SYR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:35SYR Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:47SYR Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:52SYR Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 3:4872% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
72.3%
Quentin Harris run for 10 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
72.3%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 37 Deon Jackson fumbled, recovered by Duke Deon JacksonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+25
72.3%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 25 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
72.3%
Deon Jackson run for 8 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
72.3%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
72.3%
Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-5
72.3%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 29
0
72.3%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Deon JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+3
71.8%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
71.4%
AJ Reed 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:3629% → 31%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
71.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+50
71.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 50 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
71.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Duke 18Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
68.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 18 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.4%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 4 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
69.5%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Deon Jackson, broken up by Evan FosterSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
69.3%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 11 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
69.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 14 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
70.0%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-6
70.1%
Quentin Harris sacked by Lakiem Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-1
69.6%
Quentin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
69.2%
Austin Parker punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:0733% → 39%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
67.5%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+33
67.2%
Moe Neal run for 33 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
66.8%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
66.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 4 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+1
66.1%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
65.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Trishton Jackson) to the Duke 36Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+35
65.7%
Moe Neal run for 35 yds to the Duke 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
61.1%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jake Bobo for 17 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
61.9%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 43Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
61.9%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Kendall ColemanSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+9
61.6%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
62.1%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 47Similar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+8
61.8%
Quentin Harris run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
62.1%
Quentin Harris sacked by McKinley Williams and Kendall Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 12
50
0
61.6%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Deon JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 12
50
0
61.5%
Austin Parker punt for 37 yds, downed at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4342% → 42%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
58.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
58.1%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 19
-7
58.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Shaka Heyward for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
58.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.5%
Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
58.1%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
58.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 11 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
58.9%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
58.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+10
58.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.3%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Trill WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
59.3%
Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
58.9%
Quentin Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 10
OPP 30
-5
58.5%
DUKE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
57.9%
Austin Parker punt for 31 yds, downed at the Syrac 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
51.8%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+1
52.0%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
52.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
52.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:2352% → 52%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
51.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+17
51.1%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jake Bobo for 17 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
52.4%
Quentin Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
52.3%
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
51.9%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
51.9%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
52.4%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
52.4%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Christopher FredrickSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+4
51.7%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
51.8%
AJ Reed 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
51.8%
Taj Harris run for 15 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
51.4%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
51.1%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
51.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
50.6%
Taj Harris pass complete to Tommy DeVito for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
50.6%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
50.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
51.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 30 yds, downed at the Duke 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.9%
Quentin Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
47.8%
Quentin Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-4
47.0%
Quentin Harris sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 19Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 14
OWN 19
-5
46.6%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 14Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 19
OWN 14
+3
46.6%
Austin Parker punt for 72 yds , Sean Riley returns for 3 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5453% → 52%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
47.5%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
47.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-1
48.4%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
47.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 33 yds, downed at the Duke 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:5847% → 48%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
47.1%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
50
+3
47.2%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 3 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
47.3%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake Bobo, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+14
45.7%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 14 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.2%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
49.1%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
47.2%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
47.8%
AJ Reed 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
47.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
46.5%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
46.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
47.6%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
48.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3749% → 37%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
49.2%
Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+48
36.8%
Quentin Harris pass intercepted for a TD Andre Cisco return for 48 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
34.6%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 4 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
35.0%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+25
35.2%
Quentin Harris pass intercepted Christopher Fredrick return for 10 yds to the Duke 43 SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (Christopher Fredrick) to the Duke 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 3:4073% → 89%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
27.3%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
27.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 6 yds to the Duke 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
26.9%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
26.9%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Duke 22Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
10.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 22 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
11.4%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
11.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+27
11.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 15 Mataeo Durant fumbled, forced by Andrew Armstrong, recovered by Syrac Evan Foster , return for 27 yds to the Duke 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 2:1992% → 96%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
8.2%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Duke 8Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
8.2%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Duke 7Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+5
8.4%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.7%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
4.0%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 13 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
4.3%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
4.2%
Quentin Harris run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
4.4%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-4
4.3%
Quentin Harris sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
3.7%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Duke 47Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
3.7%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Duke 46Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
3.3%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Duke 45Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
3.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 29 yds, downed at the Duke 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
2.4%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
2.2%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for no gain to the Duke 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
2.2%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Josh BlackSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
2.2%
Austin Parker punt for 28 yds, downed at the Duke 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
1.1%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Duke 44Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
1.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
1.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
1.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
0.9%
Chris Katrenick run for 4 yds to the Duke 9Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+8
0.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 8 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
0.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+11
0.9%
Chris Katrenick run for 11 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.9%
Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-2
0.9%
Chris Katrenick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 34Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
0.9%
Austin Parker punt for 35 yds, downed at the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:3299% → 100%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+37
0.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 37 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
0.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 28 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.3%
Chris Katrenick run for 7 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
0.3%
Chris Katrenick run for 2 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
0.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive offside (Brandon Berry) to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
0.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
0.3%
Katrenick,C. pass incomplete to Pancol,E., PENALTY SU pass interference (Stritzinger, A.) 15 yards to the SU32, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.3%
Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
0.3%
Chris Katrenick run for no gain to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
0.3%
Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Jake Bobo, broken up by Abdul AdamsSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
0.3%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
0.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 14 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
0.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
0.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 9 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
0.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 10 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
0.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 9 yds to the Duke 24Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+17
0.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 17 yds to the Duke 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
0.1%
Chris Katrenick run for 5 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Jaylen Coleman run for 3 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:54
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 22 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-16.1
TD · Q3 12:48
Quentin Harris pass intercepted for a TD Andre Cisco return for 48 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q1 3:37
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com