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WAKE

Wake Forest 17 at Virginia Tech 36

VT
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:33 · Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds , Hezekiah Grimsley returns for 2 yds to the VTech 28 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the VTech 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense+0.6Pregame prior−5.2Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:48: Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 11 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:00: Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +12.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:59: Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 24 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +15.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:02: Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +15.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:44: James Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — VT win probability +14.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:09VT 4th & 2 at WAKE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:33VT 4th & 18 at WAKE 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:23WAKE 4th & 5 at VT 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19VT 4th & 4 at VT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49VT 4th & 2 at WAKE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:47VT 4th & 4 at WAKE 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40VT 4th & 10 at VT 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:53WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 19, up 4
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:47WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:30VT 4th & 7 at WAKE 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−9.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:34WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−5.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:38VT 4th & 1 at VT 35, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 45, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:17WAKE 4th & 2 at VT 31, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:57VT 4th & 4 at midfield, up 12
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:01WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 35, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:48WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:00VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:59WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:02VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:44VT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:38VT Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FG
22 plays · 64 yds · 9:2744% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
43.9%
Tre Turner run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
43.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 10 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
43.9%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
43.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+13
43.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 13 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
45.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 5
OPP 44
-2
45.0%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
45.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
45.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Keshawn KingSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+8
45.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
45.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
45.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
45.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+5
45.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (Carlos Basham Jr.) to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
45.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
45.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+5
45.4%
Tre Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-12
45.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the WFrst 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Hendon HookerSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
47.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
46.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the WFrst 18Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
47.0%
Brian Johnson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-5
47.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.6%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
47.4%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-6
47.6%
Jamie Newman sacked by Emmanuel Belmar for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+2
48.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds , Hezekiah Grimsley returns for 2 yds to the VTech 28 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+50
47.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Terius Wheatley for 50 yds Terius Wheatley fumbled, forced by Nasir Greer, recovered by WFrst Essang Bassey , return for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4FG
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:2353% → 54%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+32
47.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 32 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
46.5%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
46.5%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
47.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
45.9%
Nick Sciba 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5947% → 47%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
47.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
47.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
47.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+5
46.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds , Kendall Hinton returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0353% → 52%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
46.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
46.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+4
46.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 4 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+8
47.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 8 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
47.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds, downed at the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 7:0248% → 53%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
47.9%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
47.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 9 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
48.1%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+8
49.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
49.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 19 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
49.6%
Tre Turner run for 9 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-5
50.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+4
49.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+8
48.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Keshawn King for 8 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
50.0%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
50.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
51.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
53.0%
Brian Johnson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:5948% → 60%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
51.9%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
52.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
53.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall Hinton, PENALTY VT holding (Jovonn Quillen) 10 yards to the WF32, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Armani ChatmanSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
52.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+45
53.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 45 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
48.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 5
OPP 18
+7
48.7%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
40.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 11 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
45.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Dion Bergan Jr. and Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+5
43.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+1
43.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+7
42.5%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 56 yds , Kendall Hinton returns for 7 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0357% → 56%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
43.4%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
43.4%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
42.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+2
43.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 48 yds , Hezekiah Grimsley returns for 2 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:2744% → 48%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
43.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 24 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
46.6%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+16
45.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 16 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
48.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds to the WFrst 14 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Carlos Basham Jr., recovered by WFrst Ryan Smenda Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:4158% → 61%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
41.9%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+15
41.2%
Cade Carney run for 15 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
41.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Cade Carney for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-8
39.3%
Jamie Newman sacked by TyJuan Garbutt and Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1358% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
41.6%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
42.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+33
43.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 33 yds to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:3247% → 62%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
46.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 17 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
48.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+14
48.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 14 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
48.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (Sulaiman Kamara) to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+5
48.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5344% → 63%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
55.3%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
53.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 2 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+21
54.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 21 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
52.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, PENALTY VT pass interference (Jermaine Waller) 15 yards to the VT24, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
37.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 24 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5043% → 64%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+57
43.2%
Tre Turner run for 57 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
49.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+6
49.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.6%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted DaShawn Crawford return for 6 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2564% → 68%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
64.4%
Tayvion Robinson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
64.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-5
63.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
63.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
67.7%
Brian Johnson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:5036% → 34%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Steven Claude, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
64.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 10 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Justin Strnad, broken up by Reggie FloydSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
61.9%
Jamie Newman sideline pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yards to the WF44, out-of-bounds (Reggie Floyd), PENALTY VT offside defense (Emmanuel Belmar) 5 yards to the WF43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
59.9%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-13
60.0%
Jamie Newman sacked by Chamarri Conner for a loss of 13 yards to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+11
66.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 52 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 11 yds to the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Keshawn KingSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
70.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 8 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
70.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
69.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 59 yds, downed at the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:1534% → 36%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
66.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
66.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+27
67.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 27 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
64.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+8
66.7%
Jamie Newman run for 8 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
64.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:0973% → 92%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
73.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+10
76.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 10 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
77.1%
Keshawn King run for 17 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
77.5%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+19
77.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 19 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.9%
James Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23DOWNS
14 plays · 44 yds · 2:2713% → 12%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.6%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
86.1%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
86.0%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
88.6%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+14
90.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
50
0
88.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
50
-5
88.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+16
90.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 16 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
88.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Waydale Jones for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
86.6%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
87.6%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
88.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:0594% → 95%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
94.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 13 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
94.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
95.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 4
50
0
95.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 4
50
0
95.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 41 yds, downed at the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
93.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
93.4%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Dax Hollifield return for no gain to the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:372% → 2%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Courtney McKinney run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Courtney McKinney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.8%
Courtney McKinney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
97.8%
Tayvon Bowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Tayvon Bowers pass incomplete to Waydale Jones, broken up by Jermaine WallerSimilar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:59
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 24 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Nick Sciba KICK)
-15.3
TD · Q3 7:02
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+15.1
TD · Q4 11:44
James Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com