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LOU

Louisville 27 at Miami 52

MIA
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:12 · Evan Conley pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 22 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+33.3Score differential+18.0Pregame prior+0.9Garbage-time factor+11.0Blowout margin+14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: Jarren Williams pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — MIA win probability +4.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:21: Micale Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK) — LOU win probability +5.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:04: Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — MIA win probability +7.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:27: Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — MIA win probability +13.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:20: Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK) — LOU win probability +6.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00LOU 4th & 5 at MIA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49LOU 4th & 20 at LOU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:04LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:24MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:34LOU 4th & 14 at LOU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:27LOU 4th & 8 at MIA 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:20MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:59LOU 4th & 12 at LOU 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:32MIA 4th & 4 at LOU 7, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:02MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:42LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:42MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 26, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:12LOU 4th & 6 at MIA 44, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12LOU 4th & 5 at MIA 17, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:32MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:04LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:49MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:49MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:21LOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:04MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:27MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:37MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:20LOU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:59MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:42LOU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
67.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 19 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
67.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
67.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
67.1%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
67.1%
Mason King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:5567% → 69%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
66.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+5
66.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 5 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
66.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
66.9%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 5 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+56
66.9%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 41 yds to the MIAMI 31 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Russ Yeast) to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
67.2%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 6 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Marlon Character) to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:2832% → 34%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
68.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
68.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Tyler Haycraft) to the Lvile 8Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+5
68.4%
Hawkins, J. rush for loss of 7 yards to the UL1 (Silvera, N.), PENALTY UM offside (Hill, T.) 5 yards to the UL13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
68.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 7 yds Tutu Atwell fumbled, forced by Amari Carter, recovered by Lvile Marshon Ford for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
68.4%
Micale Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
68.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
68.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Robbie Bell) to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+80
66.2%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 80 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
69.1%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 67 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.9%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-6
69.0%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 14Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+1
69.2%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 15 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+38
69.4%
Mason King punt for 37 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 38 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
74.2%
Jarren Williams pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2828% → 32%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
72.5%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 14Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+18
72.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 18 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
72.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 2 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-3
72.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 31Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+17
73.2%
Micale Cunningham run for 17 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
72.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 23 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
71.4%
Hassan Hall run for 25 yds to the MiaFl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
71.4%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
72.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
72.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Cole Bentley) to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+10
72.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 10 yds to the MiaFl 6Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
67.8%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:1770% → 78%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+46
69.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 46 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
71.3%
Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 11 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
71.3%
Jarren Williams run for 5 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
71.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the Lvile 16Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+6
70.9%
Jarren Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
77.9%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
74.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
74.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-4
74.6%
Tutu Atwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 33Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+22
75.6%
Mason King punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIAMI 40 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
78.4%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
78.2%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 3 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
77.6%
Jarren Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
77.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tutu Atwell at the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
76.7%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 14Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
76.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 15Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-5
77.1%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 14
OWN 10
0
77.3%
Mason King punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:5979% → 92%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
78.9%
Jeff Thomas run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
78.8%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Boosie Whitlow MIAMI FL Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+12
78.3%
Jarren Williams run for 12 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
78.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
78.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
92.0%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
89.5%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Jonathan Garvin for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 17 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+15
89.7%
Cunningham, M. pass incomplete to Hawkins, J., PENALTY UM roughing passer (Rousseau, G.) 15 yards to the UL32, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
89.0%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 22 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
88.7%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
88.9%
Micale Cunningham run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
88.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Tyler Haycraft) to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+36
88.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 36 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
87.5%
Cunningham, M. pass complete to Ford, M. for 4 yards to the UM4 (Quarterman, S.), PENALTY UL holding (Haycraft, T.) 10 yards to the UM18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
0
88.1%
Micale Cunningham pass intercepted, touchback. DJ Ivey return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0093% → 94%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
93.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.6%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
93.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:2393% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
93.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for 20 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
93.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+12
93.4%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 12 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
93.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 39Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+8
94.4%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 8 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
98.5%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 31 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:172% → 8%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
98.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 26 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+43
98.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 43 yds to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
94.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-14
94.7%
Jarren Williams sacked by Dayna Kinnaird for a loss of 14 yards to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 26
OWN 12
+16
94.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 16 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 47 yds , Tutu Atwell returns for no gain to the Lvile 23 Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jimmy MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5797% → 99%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
96.5%
Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
96.4%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to DeeJay DallasSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 15
OPP 28
+28
99.4%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 28 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.2%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
99.2%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 6 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.2%
Micale Cunningham sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-2
99.2%
Mason King punt for 42 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
99.5%
Jarren Williams run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 25 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
99.5%
Jarren Williams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+13
99.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ty Tyler) to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the Lvile 8Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
99.5%
Jarren Williams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
99.7%
Camden Price 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Javian Hawkins, broken up by Gregory RousseauSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.7%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+40
99.8%
Evan Conley pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 40 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 32
+7
99.7%
Evan Conley pass intercepted Al Blades Jr. return for 7 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+15
99.7%
Conley, E. pass incomplete to Wakefield, K., PENALTY UM roughing passer (Patchan, S.) 15 yards to the UM17, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-15
99.7%
Hawkins, J. rush for no gain to the UM17 (Pinckney, M.), PENALTY UL personal foul (Chandler, C.) 15 yards to the UM32, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
99.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jarren Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
99.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+8
99.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Lou Hedley punt for 54 yds, downed at the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:160% → 1%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+20
99.9%
Evan Conley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, personal foul (Scott Patchan) to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+11
99.8%
Evan Conley pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 11 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-5
99.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 37Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Evan Conley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+58
99.1%
Hassan Hall run for 58 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27 MIAMI FL Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 46 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 4 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 2:331% → 0%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+20
99.3%
Evan Conley pass complete to Justin Marshall for 20 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
99.2%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+7
99.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 7 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Evan Conley run for no gain to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+22
99.7%
Evan Conley pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 22 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.7%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.7%
Evan Conley pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 9 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-4
99.7%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:27
Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+13.1
TD · Q2 11:04
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+7
TD · Q3 10:20
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com