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Georgia Tech 28 at Virginia 33

UVA
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:01 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+16.6Home team on offense+3.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:44: James Graham pass complete to Malachi Carter for 25 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +11.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +7.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:32: Brian Delaney 34 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +6.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:57: Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 10:57 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UVA win probability +8.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:30: Jordan Mason run for 8 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +15.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 5:09UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:50GT 4th & 11 at GT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:36UVA 4th & 6 at GT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:36GT 4th & 1 at UVA 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:20GT 4th & 5 at UVA 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:20UVA 4th & 4 at GT 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UVA 4th & 17 at GT 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:01GT 4th & 3 at GT 9, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:44UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:46GT 4th & 6 at UVA 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:32UVA 4th & 8 at GT 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−11.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:32GT 4th & 9 at GT 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:19GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:39UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:09GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:50UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:44GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:11UVA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:57UVA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:30GT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4112% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.6%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
87.6%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
87.6%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
86.8%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 59 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:4087% → 86%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
86.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
86.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
86.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 5 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
86.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+11
86.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 11 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
85.8%
Perkins, B pass complete to Kemp, B for 38 yards to the GT0, clock 10:41, PENALTY VA ineligible downfield on pass (Glaser, C) 5 yards to the GT43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+33
85.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 24 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Juanyeh Thomas) to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
85.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
85.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.8%
Perkins, B pass incomplete to Atkins, L, PENALTY GT holding (Campbell, C.) 2 yards to the GT2, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3014% → 18%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.6%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+37
85.6%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 37 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
84.7%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nick Grant) to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
84.6%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Virg 15Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
84.6%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 5 yds to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+5
84.8%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 1 yd to the Virg 9 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding (De'Vante Cross) to the Virg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.7%
James Graham run for 5 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
82.6%
Joe Reed run for 4 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
82.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
82.5%
Nash Griffin punt for 40 yds, downed at the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
81.8%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 2 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+37
81.7%
James Graham pass intercepted Joey Blount return for 37 yds to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:2683% → 85%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
82.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 16 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
82.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
84.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.1%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
82.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
83.4%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
83.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 31 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the Virg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:5184% → 83%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
84.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
83.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+10
83.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
84.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
84.3%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+8
84.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+15
84.0%
Perkins, B pass incomplete to Dubois, H, PENALTY GT pass interference (Swilling, T.) 15 yards to the GT5, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
84.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
84.3%
Joe Reed run for 1 yd to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
82.9%
Brian Delaney 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:1618% → 20%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.5%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
82.0%
Jamious Griffin run for 4 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
82.2%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 10 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.5%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
81.4%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 5
50
+4
81.4%
James Graham run for 4 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
81.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
81.2%
Jordan Mason run for 28 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
80.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-5
80.8%
Graham, J. pass complete to Sanders, A. for 9 yards to the VA6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY GT illegal shift 5 yards to the VA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+1
80.8%
Jamious Griffin run for 1 yd to the Virg 19Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+7
81.5%
James Graham run for 7 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
79.9%
Wesley Wells 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0081% → 82%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
81.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
81.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+18
80.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 18 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
82.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 4 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+11
82.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 11 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
82.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
82.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
81.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:3721% → 34%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
79.1%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 38 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
76.0%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 2 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
65.8%
James Graham pass complete to Malachi Carter for 25 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:3374% → 81%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
50
+43
73.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 43 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
75.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Wayne Taulapapa, broken up by Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
79.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
79.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
80.5%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Billy Kemp IV) to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+11
79.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 11 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
80.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
80.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
80.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 8 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
81.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
80.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
81.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-5
80.9%
Bryce Perkins sacked by David Curry for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+5
79.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, OF (Sylvain Yondjouen) to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-5
79.4%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 35
0
77.4%
Nash Griffin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Juanyeh Thomas at the GTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
76.1%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
76.4%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+5
77.4%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+53
78.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
77.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Billy Kemp IV) to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+11
75.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 11 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
76.3%
Nash Griffin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
75.0%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 6 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+16
74.8%
Jordan Mason run for 16 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
74.0%
Graham, J. pass incomplete to Oliver, T., PENALTY VA personal foul (Briggs, J) 15 yards to the GT49, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
71.5%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
71.3%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
71.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
73.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4075% → 83%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
74.8%
Perkins, B pass incomplete to Brissett, D (Sims, M.), PENALTY GT pass interference (Sims, M.) 15 yards to the VA29, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
75.3%
PK Kier run for 2 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
75.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+35
75.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 35 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
79.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
79.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Myles SimsSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+9
77.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
78.2%
Lamont Atkins run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
78.2%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
76.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
83.2%
Brian Delaney 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.6%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
78.6%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+10
79.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 34 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3486% → 95%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
50
+13
86.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 13 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
86.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 25 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
86.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 10:57 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:276% → 23%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.1%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
93.5%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 7 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
93.5%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 7 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
93.5%
James Graham run for 13 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
93.2%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+13
93.2%
James Graham pass complete to Dylan Deveney for 13 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
92.4%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
92.6%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 4 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+11
93.0%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
92.4%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
76.6%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:4587% → 92%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
87.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
87.4%
PK Kier run for 4 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
87.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
87.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 4 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
91.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+16
90.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 16 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
92.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
92.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-2
91.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:30
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined (Wesley Wells KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q2 0:44
James Graham pass complete to Malachi Carter for 25 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q4 10:57
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 10:57 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com