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VT

Virginia Tech 20 at Notre Dame 21

ND
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Tommy Tremble 4 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +3.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:09: Divine Deablo 98 Yd Fumble Return (Brian Johnson Kick) — VT win probability +7.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:25: Brian Johnson 25 Yd Field Goal — VT win probability +10.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:29: Ian Book 7 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +63.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:01: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36 — ND win probability +15.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:11ND 4th & 6 at ND 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:32VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36VT 4th & 15 at VT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:26VT 4th & 3 at VT 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:50ND 4th & 1 at ND 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:59VT 4th & 5 at VT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:42ND 4th & 3 at ND 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:50VT 4th & 4 at ND 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:54VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:40ND 4th & 4 at ND 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:50VT 4th & 3 at VT 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:04ND 4th & 5 at VT 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:00VT 4th & 6 at ND 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−5.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:00VT 4th & 5 at VT 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−2.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:14ND 4th & 2 at ND 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:25VT 4th & 5 at ND 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−16.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:40ND 4th & 5 at VT 16, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−14.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:02ND 4th & 17 at VT 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−4.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−13.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:22VT 4th & 13 at VT 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:34ND 4th & 3 at ND 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−6.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:52ND 4th & 10 at VT 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−4.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:10ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:15VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:45ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:29ND Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−10.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3688% → 87%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
87.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 4 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q1 14:11
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3213% → 13%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.4%
Quincy Patterson II run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.2%
Quincy Patterson II run for 1 yd to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.0%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+47
87.0%
John Parker Romo punt for 47 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3INT
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:3987% → 87%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
87.0%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 22Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+30
86.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 30 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
86.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 26 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
86.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
86.9%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
86.7%
Ian Book pass intercepted Dax Hollifield return for no gain to the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0914% → 14%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
86.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (Quincy Patterson II) to the VTech 5Similar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
86.4%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre Turner, broken up by Troy Pride Jr.Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 14
OWN 5
-1
86.4%
Dalton Keene run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 4Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 15
OWN 4
0
86.3%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson, broken up by Kyle HamiltonSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 15
OWN 4
+16
86.3%
John Parker Romo punt for 38 yds , Chris Finke returns for 16 yds to the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:2087% → 87%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
86.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 18 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
87.4%
Cole Kmet 8 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2913% → 13%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
86.8%
Quincy Patterson II run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
86.6%
Quincy Patterson II run for 1 yd to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
86.7%
John Parker Romo punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3687% → 86%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
86.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
86.8%
Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
86.7%
Jafar Armstrong run for 11 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
86.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
86.3%
Jay Bramblett punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Hezekiah Grimsley at the VTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4514% → 14%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
86.3%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
86.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
86.0%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
86.4%
John Parker Romo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1187% → 86%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
86.5%
Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 17Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
86.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+6
86.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 6 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 3
OWN 23
+22
85.7%
Jay Bramblett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hezekiah Grimsley at the NOTREDAME 40 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Bo Bauer) to the NDame 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:1915% → 18%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
85.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kurt Hinish) to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
85.0%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
85.1%
Quincy Patterson II run for 6 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
84.9%
Quincy Patterson II run for no gain to the NDame 20Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+12
85.2%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 12 yds to the NDame 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.2%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.2%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to James Mitchell, broken up by Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
81.6%
Damon Hazelton 8 Yd pass from Quincy Patterson II (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1683% → 86%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
83.0%
Avery Davis run for 7 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
83.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 6 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
83.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 8 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
83.5%
Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
83.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
83.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
82.9%
Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
83.0%
Ian Book run for 13 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.1%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+26
83.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 26 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.0%
Tommy Tremble 4 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4515% → 15%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Quincy Patterson II run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
85.2%
John Parker Romo punt for 41 yds , Chris Finke returns for 2 yds to the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0585% → 84%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
84.9%
Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
84.8%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+5
84.3%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
84.3%
Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4616% → 15%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
84.5%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
84.7%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 7 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
84.8%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+7
85.1%
John Parker Romo punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for 7 yds to the NDame 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3686% → 85%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
85.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
85.6%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
85.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
85.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 26 yds, downed at the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2916% → 17%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.5%
Quincy Patterson II run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
84.0%
Quincy Patterson II run for 10 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.6%
Dalton Keene run for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
83.3%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
83.7%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 11 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
82.6%
Quincy Patterson II run for 14 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
81.7%
Quincy Patterson II run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-5
81.6%
Patterson II, Quincy pass complete to Hazelton, Damon for 24 yards to the NOTREDAME9, PENALTY VATECH ineligible downfield on pass (Hazelton, Damon) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-20
82.9%
Tre Turner run for a loss of 20 yards to the VTech 42 Tre Turner fumbled, recovered by NDame Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:0986% → 78%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
85.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 15 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
85.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
85.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
85.2%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.3%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
85.2%
Ian Book run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+13
84.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 13 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
85.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the VTech 2Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the VTech 1Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-98
78.2%
Divine Deablo 98 Yd Fumble Return (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4627% → 34%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.2%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+28
73.1%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 28 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.7%
Quincy Patterson II run for 3 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
69.3%
Patterson II, Quincy pass incomplete to Turner, Tre, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul (Kareem, Khalid) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
68.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
67.8%
Quincy Patterson II run for 2 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
68.6%
Quincy Patterson II run for no gain to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
66.4%
Brian Johnson 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1367% → 70%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
66.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
67.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Cole Kmet) to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+9
66.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 9 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
69.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
68.1%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
69.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 6 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+10
69.0%
Jahmir Smith run for 10 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.9%
Ian Book pass intercepted Divine Deablo return for no gain to the VTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3137% → 39%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
63.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+20
63.1%
Quincy Patterson II run for 20 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
61.3%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 8 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-3
59.1%
Quincy Patterson II run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
59.8%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
61.4%
John Parker Romo punt for 44 yds, downed at the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3662% → 59%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.5%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
60.9%
Ian Book run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 20Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+13
58.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 13 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+50
58.8%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hezekiah Grimsley at the NOTREDAME 27 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jarrod Hewitt) to the VTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:4343% → 61%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
57.4%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+8
57.4%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Tre Turner for 8 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+7
56.9%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 7 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
54.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
52.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+50
51.7%
Quincy Patterson II pass complete to Tre Turner for 50 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
47.2%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Donte VaughnSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
47.1%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre Turner, broken up by Troy Pride Jr.Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+5
49.6%
Quincy Patterson II run for 5 yds to the NDame 7Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
39.2%
Brian Johnson 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24MISSED FG
20 plays · 82 yds · 6:1846% → 33%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
46.1%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
45.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 3Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
42.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 10 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
44.5%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 7 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Jermaine Waller) to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down. Jermaine Waller ejected for targeting.Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
44.9%
Book, Ian pass pass intercepted by Chatman, Armani at the VATECH40, Chatman, Armani return 0 yards to the VATECH40, PENALTY VATECH roughing passer (Adams, Eli) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
43.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 19 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
47.2%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
46.7%
Jahmir Smith run for 3 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+20
45.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 20 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
48.1%
Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
47.6%
Ian Book run for no gain to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
44.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+7
41.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
46.7%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the VTech 7 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Caleb Farley) to the VTech 3Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
46.4%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY NOTREDAME illegal block (Armstrong, Jafar) 15 yards to the VATECH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
45.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+1
38.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 1 yd to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
33.1%
Jonathan Doerer 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:4075% → 85%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julian Okwara) to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+2
24.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
23.0%
Tre Turner run for 5 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
22.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
19.7%
Quincy Patterson II run for 4 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
16.5%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
14.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-4
14.1%
Quincy Patterson II sacked by Khalid Kareem for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
15.3%
John Parker Romo punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26TD
19 plays · 87 yds · 2:5024% → 84%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
23.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
22.9%
Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
21.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+5
20.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 5 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
22.2%
Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
19.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+12
15.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 12 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
16.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 2 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+13
15.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 13 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
19.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
15.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+26
13.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 26 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
21.4%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
20.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.7%
Ian Book 7 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1528% → 21%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
71.8%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
74.0%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+5
78.6%
Quincy Patterson II pass intercepted Kyle Hamilton return for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:29
Ian Book 7 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)
+63.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:01
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36
+15.2
FG · Q4 13:25
Brian Johnson 25 Yd Field Goal
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com