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PITT

Pittsburgh 20 at Georgia Tech 10

GT
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:10 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 19 yds to the GTech 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior−5.9Home team on offense−18.8Score differential−7.2Garbage-time factor−6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 51 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +7.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 9:34: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 21 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +4.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:46: Brenton King 30 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +3.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:13: Lucas Johnson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41 — GT win probability +4.1 pts (now 31%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:42: Aaron Mathews run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 25 — PITT win probability +10.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:14PITT 4th & 9 at GT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08GT 4th & 6 at GT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18GT 4th & 8 at GT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25GT 4th & 4 at GT 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54GT 4th & 2 at PITT 17, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:44GT 4th & 6 at GT 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:31PITT 4th & 6 at GT 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:14GT 4th & 13 at GT 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 2 at GT 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:08PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:46GT 4th & 11 at PITT 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:10PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54PITT 4th & 20 at GT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−3.0
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10GT 4th & 6 at GT 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:54PITT 4th & 4 at GT 26, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−7.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:38PITT 4th & 14 at GT 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:10GT 4th & 8 at GT 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:25PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:34PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:4075% → 74%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
25.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 9 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+17
25.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
50
+9
25.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
25.3%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
25.3%
V'Lique Carter run for 3 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
25.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 23 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
25.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
25.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Nolan Ulizio) to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+6
25.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 6 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
25.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
26.5%
Alex Kessman 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
26.6%
James Graham run for 7 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
26.6%
James Graham run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+5
26.5%
Mason, J. rush for 5 yards to the GT27 (Brightwell, S), PENALTY UP offside defense 5 yards to the GT27, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
26.6%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
26.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+1
26.5%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+24
26.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 24 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.4%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Juanyeh Thomas return for no gain to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.7%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
27.7%
James Graham run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
27.5%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+16
27.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 46 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 16 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
25.6%
Vincent Davis run for 61 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.3%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.2%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
26.2%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
26.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
26.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for no gain to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
26.2%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
26.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
26.1%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
26.0%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Tariq Carpenter return for no gain to the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:1127% → 26%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
26.8%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
26.8%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+12
26.7%
James Graham run for 12 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
27.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
26.9%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
26.4%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Pitt 17Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
26.0%
Brenton King 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:3974% → 75%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
26.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 8 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
25.8%
V'Lique Carter run for 7 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
25.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
25.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 5 yds Maurice Ffrench fumbled, forced by David Curry, recovered by GTech Justice DingleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
32.8%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 51 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:5070% → 75%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
30.4%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
29.8%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+12
30.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 12 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
30.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+10
29.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 10 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
29.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+8
29.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
25.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 21 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:4525% → 25%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
25.0%
Graham, J. pass incomplete to Brown, Ah., PENALTY UP personal foul (Campbell, P) 15 yards to the GT33, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
25.3%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
26.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
25.9%
James Graham run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
50
-1
26.4%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
25.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
25.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds, downed at the Pitt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
15 plays · 54 yds · 4:0075% → 76%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
25.2%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
25.4%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+13
25.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 13 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
24.9%
Pickett, K pass incomplete to Mack, T, PENALTY GT substitution infraction 5 yards to the UP25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+2
24.3%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
24.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+12
25.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 12 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
24.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
24.1%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the GATECH 47 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
24.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
24.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
23.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Dane JacksonSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
24.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:0224% → 23%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
23.8%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
23.7%
James Graham sacked by John Morgan for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+2
21.9%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
22.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 43 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for no gain to the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
22.8%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
23.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+6
24.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
23.1%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyler Davis for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
23.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-4
24.2%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
22.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 8 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
23.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
23.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 4 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
22.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 2 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
23.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 3 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
23.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt blocked by Jerry Howard Jr. blocked by Jerry Howard Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3026% → 28%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
25.6%
Lucas Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
25.6%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-3
24.3%
Lucas Johnson sacked by Kylan Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 13Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
27.9%
Brenton King 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:3373% → 73%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
26.7%
V'Lique Carter run for 4 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+4
26.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 4 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+13
27.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 13 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
24.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
25.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+2
26.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for no gain to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FUMBLE
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:2628% → 30%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
28.0%
Lucas Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+29
27.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Nathan Cottrell for 14 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, roughing passer (John Morgan) to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
31.4%
Lucas Johnson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+15
31.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 15 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
32.8%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tobias Oliver, broken up by Damarri MathisSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
32.7%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+18
29.8%
Jordan Mason run for 18 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
31.8%
Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 4Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.8%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tobias OliverSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+79
30.0%
Lucas Johnson run for 3 yds to the GTech 21 Lucas Johnson fumbled, forced by Kylan Johnson, recovered by Pitt Cam Bright , return for 79 yds to the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21FG
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4881% → 80%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
19.5%
Aaron Mathews run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 14
OPP 25
-3
20.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 17
OPP 28
-3
21.2%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 31 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny PickettSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 20
OPP 31
+49
20.1%
Alex Kessman 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:3517% → 16%
Q4 14:45
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+10
17.3%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
17.6%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-10
17.6%
Graham, J. pass complete to Davis, T. for 6 yards to the GT27, PENALTY GT pass interference (Blancato, J.) 10 yards to the GT11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
16.2%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+19
15.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 19 yds to the GTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23MISSED FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:5485% → 87%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
15.1%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+9
15.2%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
14.6%
Davis, A rush for 1 yard to the GT31 (Brooks, D.), PENALTY UP illegal shift 5 yards to the GT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
15.1%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
15.3%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+11
16.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
12.9%
Alex Kessman 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
13.1%
James Graham pass intercepted Paris Ford return for 21 yds to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
11.1%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
10.5%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-7
10.9%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Antwan Owens for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 9
OPP 40
-5
12.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
13.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
9.7%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+3
9.4%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
9.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
8.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27END OF GAME
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:0592% → 97%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
7.7%
A.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+6
7.4%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
6.7%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
6.7%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+9
6.8%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
4.7%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
4.7%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-1
2.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:42
Aaron Mathews run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 25
-10.4
TD · Q2 13:24
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 51 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 9:34
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 21 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com