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SYR

Syracuse 17 at Florida State 35

FSU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:34 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+29.1Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:22: Cam Akers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK) — FSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:54: Andre Szmyt 50 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +1.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:35: Cam Akers run for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Akers Run For Two-point Conversion) — FSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:18: Cam Akers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK) — FSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:04: Moe Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:34SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20FSU 4th & 4 at SYR 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:50SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:33FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 10, up 13
    Close callPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:54SYR 4th & 11 at FSU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:12FSU 4th & 20 at SYR 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:29SYR 4th & 10 at FSU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:13FSU 4th & 24 at FSU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−3.7
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:19SYR 4th & 6 at FSU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:08SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:29FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 46, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:11SYR 4th & 3 at FSU 14, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:55FSU 4th & 2 at SYR 36, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:24FSU 4th & 2 at SYR 2, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:49FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 39, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 11:48FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:22FSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:35FSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:18FSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:24FSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:04SYR Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:04SYR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0320% → 21%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
79.7%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Marvin Wilson and Hamsah Nasirildeen for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
79.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-1
79.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Janarius Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
79.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:2379% → 80%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
79.3%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
79.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 7 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
79.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+30
79.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 30 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
79.9%
Cam Akers run for 23 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:1021% → 21%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.4%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
79.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
79.4%
DeVito, T. deep pass incomplete, PENALTY FS offside defense (Robinson,J) 5 yards to the SU36, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY, clock 10:56.Similar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.2%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
79.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
79.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+35
79.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:4680% → 82%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
79.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 8 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+15
79.8%
Hornibrook,A wide receiver screen right pass complete to Harrison,T for loss of 2 yards to the FS34 (Williams, L.), PENALTY SU roughing passer (Coleman, K.) 15 yards to the SU49, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
79.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+11
79.9%
Cam Akers run for 11 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
79.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 19 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
79.9%
Cam Akers run for 9 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
82.1%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:1519% → 19%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.0%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
81.1%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
81.1%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Robert Cooper and Cedric Wood for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
81.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
81.5%
Hofrichter, S. punt 43 yards to the FS30, fair catch by Matthews,D, PENALTY FS substitution infraction 5 yards to the SU32, NO PLAY, clock 06:51.Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
81.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
81.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:0582% → 83%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
82.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+16
82.6%
Cam Akers pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 16 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
82.9%
Cam Akers pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 10 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
83.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
83.2%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
83.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
82.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1319% → 19%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
81.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete, broken up by Cory DurdenSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
81.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlaSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4983% → 83%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
83.0%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
83.0%
Hornibrook,A deep pass complete to Harrison,T for 34 yards to the FS36 (Stritzinger, A.), PENALTY FS personal foul (McLendon,D) 1 yards to the FS1, NO PLAY, clock 03:10.Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
83.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+9
83.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Cam Akers for 9 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
82.9%
Tommy Martin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:4918% → 20%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
50
+4
81.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
81.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
81.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+15
82.2%
Hofrichter, S. punt 34 yards to the FS12, fair catch by Matthews,D, PENALTY FS roughing the kicker (Samuel,A) 15 yards to the FS31, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY, clock 01:18.Similar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
81.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+2
82.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+6
81.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-4
81.9%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Marvin Wilson and Janarius Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
80.2%
Andre Szmyt 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:2280% → 79%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
80.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 22 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.8%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
80.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Keith Gavin for 7 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+10
80.4%
Cam Akers run for 10 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
80.9%
Tamorrion Terry run for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 19
OPP 45
-8
80.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Cam Akers for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 27
OWN 47
+7
79.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
79.4%
Tommy Martin punt for 43 yds, downed at the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 48 yds · 3:5420% → 18%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
80.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+5
80.7%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 10
-5
81.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+10
82.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 10 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
81.3%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
81.5%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+2
81.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
81.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
81.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 19 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
80.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
80.9%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
81.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
82.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 34 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:5582% → 81%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
81.8%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-9
81.7%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Antwan Cordy for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 20
OWN 5
-4
81.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Brandon Berry for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 24
OWN 1
0
80.7%
Tommy Martin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the FlaSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5919% → 19%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
80.6%
Trishton Jackson sacked by Raymond Woodie III for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+3
81.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 3 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+9
81.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
80.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
80.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 4 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
80.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton Jackson, broken up by Stanford Samuels IIISimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
81.5%
Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:2183% → 91%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
82.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
82.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews, broken up by Andre CiscoSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+54
82.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 54 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
84.6%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
84.7%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+2
84.1%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.6%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Akers Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15END OF HALF
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:5210% → 8%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
89.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
89.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 5 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
89.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
90.1%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+16
92.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 16 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
92.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:4290% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to D.J. MatthewsSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
90.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 13 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
90.0%
Hornibrook,A sideline pass complete to Terry,T for 13 yards to the SU15 (Adams, A.), PENALTY FS illegal motion (Matthews,D) 5 yards to the SU33, NO PLAY, clock 14:28.Similar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+12
92.6%
Cam Akers run for 12 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+14
92.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 14 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.3%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:104% → 3%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
96.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.9%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1298% → 98%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
97.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (Andrew Boselli) to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+15
97.7%
Alex Hornibrook run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
97.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+8
98.0%
Alex Hornibrook run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Tommy Martin punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:413% → 2%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
97.3%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-1
97.2%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+23
97.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 23 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
97.4%
Abdul Adams run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
97.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 6 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
97.2%
Adams, A. rush up middle for 1 yard to the FS25 (Cooper,R;Durden,C), PENALTY FS substitution infraction 5 yards to the FS21, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY, clock 07:55.Similar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
97.4%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
97.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 3
OPP 14
-1
97.6%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Marvin Wilson and Robert Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
17 plays · 85 yds · 4:2599% → 100%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.5%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-7
98.6%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Tre' McKitty) to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
98.5%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+5
98.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Cam Akers pass incomplete to Keith Gavin, broken up by Andre CiscoSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry, broken up by Abdul AdamsSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+30
98.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 15 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, roughing passer (Tyrell Richards) to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Keith Gavin for 5 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
99.0%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun HarrisonSimilar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+3
98.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+27
99.1%
Cam Akers run for 27 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Syrac 5Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 3 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:040% → 1%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 16 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 9
50
+8
99.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.7%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
99.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
99.7%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+8
99.7%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+14
99.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 14 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.7%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
99.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
99.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+2
99.5%
James Blackman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+4
99.5%
Tommy Martin punt for 37 yds , Sean Riley returns for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:001% → 3%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
99.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+18
99.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.5%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
99.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+9
99.5%
Abdul Adams run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-21
99.5%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Marvin Wilson and Hamsah Nasirildeen for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 40 SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 31
OWN 45
+20
99.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Levonta Taylor) to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
99.5%
Abdul Adams run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.5%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 11
OPP 16
-5
99.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 16
OPP 21
-5
99.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 21
OPP 26
+25
99.5%
Moe Neal run for 25 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24END OF GAME
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:4998% → 99%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.4%
James Blackman run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
98.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Jordan Young for 29 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
99.0%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+13
99.0%
Deonte Sheffield run for 13 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.1%
Deonte Sheffield run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
James Blackman run for 5 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
99.1%
Sheffield,D rush right for loss of 3 yards to the SU12, out-of-bounds (Coley, E.), PENALTY SU offside defense (Jones, M.) 5 yards to the SU4, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY, clock 00:03.Similar
Q4 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Adarius Dent for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:35
Cam Akers run for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Akers Run For Two-point Conversion)
+5.8
TD · Q3 13:18
Cam Akers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Grothaus KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q4 6:04
Moe Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com