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Georgia Tech 28 at Miami 21

MIA
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:41 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 49 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 143Pregame prior+4.8Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−4.3Time remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:10: Pressley Harvin III pass complete to Nathan Cottrell for 41 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +3.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:37: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 19 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK) — MIA win probability +2.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:53: James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 35 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +12.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:26: Jamious Griffin run for 6 yds to the GTech 26 — GT win probability +11.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Tied - offense's timeout count is neutral here).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jordan Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +14.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17GT 4th & 16 at GT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:10GT 4th & 7 at MIA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MIA 4th & 17 at GT 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:21GT 4th & 15 at GT 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37GT 4th & 11 at GT 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:15MIA 4th & 4 at GT 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MIA 4th & 21 at GT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:57GT 4th & 12 at MIA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:50MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:57GT 4th & 1 at MIA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−7.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−9.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:41MIA 4th & 9 at GT 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−21.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:41GT 4th & 4 at GT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:26MIA 4th & 7 at GT 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−8.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−36.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:17MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:10GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:37MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.9%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
89.9%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
89.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 57 yds, downed at the MiaFl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:4990% → 89%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
89.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
89.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
88.9%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Demetrius Knight II for a loss of 11 yards N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by GTech Ja'Quon Griffin , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:1889% → 87%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
89.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 5 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
89.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Brevin Jordan) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
88.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+4
88.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+17
88.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 17 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
89.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
89.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
89.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+4
89.0%
Perry, N. pass incomplete to Wiggins, D., PENALTY GT pass interference (Swilling, T.) 4 yards to the GT2, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+10
87.2%
Baxa, B. kickoff 65 yards to the GT0, touchback, PENALTY GT illegal block (King, J.) 10 yards to the UM45, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
87.2%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
87.2%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-7
87.3%
James Graham sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 16
OPP 0
0
87.2%
Harvin, P. punt 51 yards to the UM28, Osborn, K. return to the UM33 (Smith, Devin), PENALTY GT illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY UM roughing the kicker off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+52
87.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 13 , K.J. Osborn returns for 52 yds to the GTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 13 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5412% → 15%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.3%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
88.3%
James Graham run for 15 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
88.1%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
87.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
87.8%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-10
87.8%
Oliver, T. rush for 7 yards to the UM34, out-of-bounds (Knowles, R.), PENALTY GT holding 10 yards to the GT49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 17
OWN 49
0
88.2%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+10
88.0%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 10 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+41
84.7%
Pressley Harvin III pass complete to Nathan Cottrell for 41 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:1086% → 85%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
86.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 26 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
86.5%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 34
-3
86.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mark Pope for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 37
0
85.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
85.2%
Lou Hedley punt for 31 yds, downed at the GTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
84.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
84.5%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 6
-5
84.7%
James Graham sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 15
OWN 1
+16
85.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 16 yds to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:2986% → 88%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
85.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 12 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
85.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
85.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
87.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 19 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
86.9%
James Graham run for 8 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
86.9%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
87.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
87.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Jerry Howard Jr.Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
87.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds, downed at the MiaFl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4187% → 87%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
87.3%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
87.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+14
87.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 14 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
88.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
88.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+14
87.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 14 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
88.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
88.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
87.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Kaleb OliverSimilar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
87.1%
Turner Davidson 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2213% → 27%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.6%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+12
86.3%
Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
86.1%
Jordan Mason run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
85.2%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
85.2%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
85.2%
Mason, J. rush for 1 yard to the UM39 (TEAM), PENALTY UM offside (Bethel, P.) 5 yards to the UM35, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
73.1%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 35 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
79.4%
Harris, C. rush for 6 yards to the UM31 (Curry, D.), PENALTY UM holding (Scaife, D.) 10 yards to the UM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
79.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.3%
Perry, N. pass incomplete to Osborn, K., PENALTY GT holding (Swilling, T.) 8 yards to the UM33, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
78.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+18
79.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 18 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
80.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+12
80.5%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 12 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.9%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
80.8%
Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Cam'Ron Harris, broken up by David CurrySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-11
80.0%
Jarren Williams sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 36
0
77.2%
Lou Hedley punt for 32 yds, downed at the GTech 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
17 plays · 56 yds · 7:5126% → 31%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
74.2%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 5 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
74.5%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+17
75.3%
Jordan Mason run for 17 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
73.8%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 5 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
73.2%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 10 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.9%
James Graham pass incomplete to Jamious Griffin, broken up by Trevon HillSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
73.2%
Jamious Griffin run for 7 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
71.7%
James Graham run for 4 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
71.3%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
71.0%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 8
50
+12
71.9%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 12 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
71.0%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-5
71.0%
James Graham sacked by Pat Bethel for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+10
73.4%
James Graham pass complete to Dylan Deveney for 10 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 6
OPP 34
-6
67.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (T.K. Chimedza) to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
69.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.3%
K.J. Osborn run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
72.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
71.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
70.9%
Lou Hedley punt for 67 yds, downed at the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FUMBLE
17 plays · 72 yds · 5:1531% → 41%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
68.6%
Jordan Mason run for 15 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.4%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
67.6%
Jamious Griffin run for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+20
69.0%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 20 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
62.9%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
63.2%
James Graham pass complete to Jamious Griffin for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
62.3%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
61.1%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
60.9%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
61.2%
James Graham run for no gain to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+4
61.7%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
57.1%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
57.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
58.9%
James Graham run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
56.9%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 14
OPP 23
-1
58.7%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 23 Jordan Mason fumbled, forced by Shaquille Quarterman, recovered by MiaFl Shaquille QuartermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:0567% → 67%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+42
66.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 42 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
73.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
73.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
73.6%
Perry, N. pass incomplete to Jordan, B., PENALTY GT holding (Swilling, T.) 8 yards to the GT8, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
73.6%
K.J. Osborn run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q4 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
71.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
66.8%
Bubba Baxa 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.8%
James Graham pass incomplete to Adonicas Sanders, broken up by Shaquille QuartermanSimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-10
59.2%
Graham, J. pass complete to Sanders, A. for 12 yards to the GT36 (Bolden, B.), PENALTY GT holding (Quinney, Z.) 10 yards to the GT14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+12
60.5%
Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
60.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 49 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:3763% → 62%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
63.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 50 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
71.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
71.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 4 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
68.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
71.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
71.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
65.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
61.9%
Turner Davidson 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Antwan OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 0 yds · 15:2650% → 23%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.0%
Jamious Griffin run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+22
40.5%
Jordan Mason run for 22 yds to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
28.1%
Mike Harley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
24.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin Jordan, broken up by Antwan OwensSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+12
20.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 12 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
28.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
28.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 5 yds to the GTech 8Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
25.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+3
23.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 3 yds to the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.1
TD · OT 0:00
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
-14.6
TD · Q2 0:53
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 35 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com