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CLEM

Clemson 45 at Louisville 10

LOU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:31 · Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−31.8Home team on offense−17.7Score differential−8.8Garbage-time factor−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:41: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 6 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:57: Blanton Creque 28 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +1.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:05: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 25 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:35: Travis Etienne run for 49 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:43: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:27CLEM 4th & 12 at LOU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:45LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:57LOU 4th & 9 at CLEM 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:25CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:05LOU 4th & 20 at LOU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:31CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:38LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:14CLEM 4th & 8 at LOU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:11LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:28CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:09LOU 4th & 14 at LOU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53LOU 4th & 22 at LOU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 10:41CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:05CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:35CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:43CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:14CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:10LOU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:00CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:205% → 6%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
5.2%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 24Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
5.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 5 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
5.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 14 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
5.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
6.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 6 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
6.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
6.4%
Micale Cunningham pass intercepted, touchback. K'Von Wallace return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5494% → 93%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+48
6.3%
Travis Etienne run for 48 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
6.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 7 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
6.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to J.C. ChalkSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-5
6.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Gage Cervenka) to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-4
6.6%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Jared Goldwire for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 34Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+51
6.9%
B.T. Potter 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:377% → 7%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.9%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
7.2%
Tutu Atwell run for 9 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
7.3%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
7.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+5
7.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Justin Foster) to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
7.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
7.3%
Mason King punt for 47 yds , Derion Kendrick returns to the Clem 9 Derion Kendrick fumbled, recovered by Clem Joe Ngata at Clem 0. TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:5693% → 91%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
7.4%
Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
7.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 7 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
7.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
7.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 19 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
7.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 3 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+20
7.9%
Travis Etienne run for 20 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
8.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-1
8.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+12
8.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass intercepted Jack Fagot return for 12 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:449% → 10%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
8.7%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-6
9.2%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 9
OWN 13
-5
9.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 8Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+38
9.2%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 38 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
10.1%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
10.4%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Justin Foster for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 40 Micale Cunningham fumbled, forced by Justin Foster, recovered by Clem Nyles Pinckney , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4591% → 90%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
9.5%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
9.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass intercepted, touchback. Russ Yeast return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1010% → 10%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.3%
Micale Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
10.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
10.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
10.3%
Mason King punt for 59 yds , Derion Kendrick returns for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:5789% → 91%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
10.7%
Travis Etienne run for 10 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
10.8%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+61
11.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 61 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
10.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for no gain to the Lvile 7Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
10.8%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
9.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 6 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:269% → 12%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
9.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
9.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
9.5%
Evan Conley pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.2%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
10.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 15 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
10.6%
Evan Conley run for 11 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
10.9%
Evan Conley run for 1 yd to the Clem 21 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Derion Kendrick) to the Clem 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
11.1%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Clem 11Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
11.3%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+1
10.8%
Evan Conley pass complete to Jordan Davis for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
12.2%
Blanton Creque 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1989% → 87%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
11.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 14
OWN 24
-7
11.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Clem 24 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (John Simpson) to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+8
12.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 8 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
12.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 8 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
12.6%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:1313% → 13%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
13.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 19 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
14.4%
Hawkins, Javian rush for loss of 2 yards to the LOUISVILLE45, PENALTY LOUISVILLE holding (Chandler, Caleb) 10 yards to the LOUISVILLE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
13.4%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 20
OWN 37
-5
13.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Tyler Haycraft) to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 25
OWN 32
+9
13.3%
Evan Conley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 16
OWN 41
-4
13.2%
Evan Conley sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 20
OWN 37
0
12.8%
Mason King punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 0:5487% → 93%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
12.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 14 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
12.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 16 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
11.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 22 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
10.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
6.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 25 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2093% → 92%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
7.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Frank Ladson Jr.Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
7.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
7.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
8.0%
Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:419% → 9%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
8.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+8
8.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
8.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
9.2%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
9.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 46
-1
9.1%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1193% → 92%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
7.3%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
7.1%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
7.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
6.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+1
6.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
7.6%
Steven Sawicki 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:588% → 8%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
8.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
8.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
7.9%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+1
7.9%
Mason King punt for 49 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 1 yd to the Clem 29 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrew Booth Jr.) to the Clem 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:3793% → 93%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
7.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-5
7.6%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 6Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+20
7.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 20 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
7.1%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+5
7.0%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
6.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
6.7%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
6.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to J.C. ChalkSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
7.1%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, downed at the Lvile 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:598% → 8%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
8.0%
Evan Conley sacked by Tyler Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 16Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 15
OWN 16
-11
8.0%
Evan Conley sacked by Justin Foster for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 5Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 26
OWN 5
+12
7.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+18
7.5%
Mason King punt for 59 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 18 yds to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2194% → 99%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
6.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 9 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+49
1.5%
Travis Etienne run for 49 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:363% → 2%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
2.5%
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 13 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
2.6%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
2.4%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-9
2.3%
Evan Conley sacked by Chad Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 26Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 22
OWN 26
0
2.3%
Mason King punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Davis Allen for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
50
0
1.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
50
+18
1.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 18 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
1.4%
Travis Etienne run for 18 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
1.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
0.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+28
0.3%
Evan Conley pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for 28 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
0.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 3 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+13
0.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 13 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 1 yd to the Lvile 8Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.2%
Darien Rencher run for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 19 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+2
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+15
0.2%
Evan Conley run for 15 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+25
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 25 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Clem 5Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
0.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Tyler Haycraft) to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
0.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
0.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Will Swinney for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+16
0.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Diondre Overton for 16 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
0.1%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+15
0.1%
Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Ladson Jr., Frank, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Sturghill, Cornelius) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
0.1%
Michel Dukes run for 8 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
0.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
0.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 16 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:35
Travis Etienne run for 49 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q2 0:05
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 25 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q2 10:41
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 6 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com