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PITT

Pittsburgh 27 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2019 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:30 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.2Pregame prior−8.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:23: Aaron Mathews 43 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +5.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:53: A.J. Davis 5 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +7.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Maurice Ffrench 14 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +11.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:12: Taj Harris 94 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +9.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:44: Aaron Hackett 7 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +25.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:19PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:01PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:30SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:45PITT 4th & 7 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:20SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:07SYR 4th & 10 at PITT 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:03SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 2, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:34PITT 4th & 12 at SYR 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:37SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−3.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:47SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:44SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:26PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:15PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 33, up 11
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:26SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:21PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:42SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−4.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:13SYR 4th & 13 at PITT 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:03PITT 4th & 9 at SYR 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−4.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:16SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 11, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−1.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:23PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:53PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:23PITT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:12SYR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:44SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:3260% → 59%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
40.1%
Maurice Ffrench run for 3 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-1
40.3%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+11
40.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 11 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
40.6%
A.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.6%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
40.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
40.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+6
41.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds , Sean Riley returns for 6 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1941% → 41%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
41.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
41.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
41.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
41.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-7
41.2%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Kylan Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
41.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4859% → 58%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.3%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
41.4%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
41.5%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
42.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2542% → 42%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
42.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 13 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
42.8%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
42.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-5
42.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
42.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:3758% → 58%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
42.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 10 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
42.2%
A.J. Davis run for 19 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
41.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 21 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
41.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
41.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
41.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
41.9%
Alex Kessman 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1942% → 41%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
41.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
41.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+2
41.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 2 yds to the Pitt 46 Maurice Ffrench fumbled, recovered by Syrac Cameron JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:0743% → 45%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
42.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+29
42.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 29 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
43.6%
Abdul Adams run for 7 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+7
44.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 7 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
44.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Amir Watts for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
44.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
43.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
44.8%
Andre Szmyt 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3656% → 62%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
43.9%
V'Lique Carter run for 21 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
42.4%
V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+13
43.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 13 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
37.7%
Aaron Mathews 43 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:0839% → 44%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
39.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 11 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
39.8%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
40.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+23
39.8%
Clayton Welch run for 23 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
41.7%
Moe Neal run for 19 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
41.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 3 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+9
41.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (4 Yards) to the Pitt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
41.9%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Pitt 3Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Pitt 2Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
44.1%
Andre Szmyt 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:1958% → 57%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.3%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
41.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
42.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 15 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
41.5%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+14
41.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 14 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
40.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+3
40.9%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
40.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
41.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Will GraggSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
42.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5143% → 41%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
42.6%
Sean Riley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 13
OWN 6
-1
41.6%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Jazzee Stocker for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 14
OWN 5
-2
40.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by John Morgan for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 16
OWN 3
0
40.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:3561% → 69%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
39.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
39.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+22
39.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 22 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
39.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 8 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
31.4%
A.J. Davis 5 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0332% → 30%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
31.2%
Clayton Welch run for 18 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.0%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-8
32.6%
Clayton Welch sacked by Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
30.8%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+44
30.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYRACUSE 25 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 2:1768% → 85%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
31.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 6 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
31.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+15
31.4%
A.J. Davis run for 15 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
30.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
30.7%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Jacques-Louis, Shocky, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference 13 yards to the PITTSBURGH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
29.6%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
28.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+16
27.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 16 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
26.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+17
26.4%
A.J. Davis run for 17 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
14.9%
Maurice Ffrench 14 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
19.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0618% → 18%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
18.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
18.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 23
-12
17.9%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
17.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5985% → 85%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
14.9%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
14.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-5
14.7%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Brandon Berry for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 38Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+14
15.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 53 yds , Sean Riley returns for 14 yds to the SYRACUSE 48 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (18 Yards) to the Syrac 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 1:0816% → 26%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
16.1%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 5Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
15.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Syrac 6 Tommy DeVito fumbled, recovered by Syrac Curtis HarperSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+94
25.7%
Taj Harris 94 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4573% → 73%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
26.2%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
26.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
26.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3426% → 24%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
25.7%
Clayton Welch run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
25.4%
Clayton Welch run for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+8
24.4%
Nykeim Johnson run for 8 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
26.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
24.8%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+9
24.6%
Clayton Welch run for 9 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
25.3%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
24.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:0076% → 77%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
24.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
23.6%
V'Lique Carter run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
24.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
23.2%
V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
23.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+10
24.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.3%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 38Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
21.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 6 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
20.7%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+5
22.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds , Sean Riley returns for 5 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22MISSED FG
18 plays · 55 yds · 3:4722% → 19%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
21.6%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
21.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+15
20.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Damarri Mathis) to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.9%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
21.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+15
20.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Damarri Mathis) to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
23.1%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
22.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Abdul Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+12
20.0%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 12 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
22.8%
Clayton Welch run for 1 yd to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
24.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
24.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dane Jackson) to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
26.6%
Sean Riley run for 8 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
26.6%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-5
24.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-6
24.3%
Clayton Welch sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
19.2%
Andre Szmyt 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:1080% → 97%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
19.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+2
19.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+19
18.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 19 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
16.1%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+9
15.4%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+6
12.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 6 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
9.2%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
8.6%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+20
8.3%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
7.8%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-1
7.5%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
7.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
3.3%
Alex Kessman 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:016% → 30%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
6.4%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 40 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
8.1%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
8.1%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
6.8%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 11 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
7.5%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
6.9%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-12
5.5%
Clayton Welch sacked by Chase Pine for a loss of 12 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 25
OPP 39
+10
5.1%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
6.2%
Clayton Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
4.6%
Clayton Welch pass complete to Taj Harris for 10 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
4.8%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
4.6%
Clayton Welch run for 8 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
4.7%
Clayton Welch pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+3
4.3%
Aaron Hackett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
4.6%
Sean Riley run for 1 yd to the Pitt 7Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
29.9%
Aaron Hackett 7 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 15 yds · 2:0888% → 95%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
12.1%
A.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
10.4%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
5.6%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
5.2%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-2
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-2
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:44
Aaron Hackett 7 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick)
+25.3
TD · Q2 0:23
Maurice Ffrench 14 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q3 11:12
Taj Harris 94 Yd pass from Clayton Welch (Andre Szmyt Kick)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com