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GT

Georgia Tech 23 at Duke 41

DUKE
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD-1.9DUKE 96.7%Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds for a TD,(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 23 - HOME 41 · Q4 10:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:39 · Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+23.7Score differential+10.4Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:29: Deon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK) — DUKE win probability +2.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:34: Quentin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK) — DUKE win probability +5.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:35: Deon Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK) — DUKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:08: James Graham run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +4.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:39: Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GT win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10GT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:01DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10DUKE 4th & 15 at GT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06GT 4th & 20 at GT 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:56DUKE 4th & 1 at GT 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 8 at GT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:29DUKE 4th & 1 at GT 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:24GT 4th & 10 at GT 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:34GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 37, up 24
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:07GT 4th & 10 at DUKE 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:57DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:39GT 4th & 8 at DUKE 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:10DUKE 4th & 5 at GT 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 17 at GT 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:49DUKE 4th & 11 at midfield, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:44DUKE 4th & 4 at GT 47, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:52GT 4th & 16 at GT 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:47DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 39, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:07GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:18DUKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:29DUKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:34DUKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:35DUKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:08GT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:39GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5312% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.1%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.1%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
88.1%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 2 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
88.1%
James Graham run for 8 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
88.1%
Jordan Mason run for 19 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
88.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 1 yd to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+2
88.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-5
87.0%
Graham, J. rush for 32 yards to the DU0, clock 11:36, PENALTY GT personal foul (Carter, M.) 5 yards to the DU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+12
87.0%
James Graham pass complete to Jerry Howard Jr. for 12 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
86.9%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 4 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
86.9%
James Graham pass complete to Pressley Harvin III for 2 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+19
85.5%
James Graham pass complete to Jerry Howard Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 2:5186% → 85%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.8%
Deon Jackson run for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 5 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
86.0%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
85.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
85.8%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
86.0%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 48Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+42
86.0%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 42 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.0%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Kaleb OliverSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
85.8%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
84.8%
AJ Reed 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
84.9%
James Graham run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 17Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
85.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tobias OliverSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-9
85.1%
James Graham sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 8 James Graham fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 20
OWN 8
0
85.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 47 yds, downed at the Duke 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:3885% → 85%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
84.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 9 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
85.0%
Quentin Harris run for 4 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.0%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
84.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
84.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
84.7%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.1%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Noah Gray, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
85.1%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 17 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
85.1%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
85.1%
Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
84.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
85.1%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.1%
Eli Pancol run for 3 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:1816% → 16%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.4%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
83.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
84.2%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
84.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
84.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+32
84.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 41 , Josh Blackwell returns for 32 yds to the Duke 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:3784% → 86%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
84.0%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 41 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
84.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+1
84.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+6
84.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 6 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
84.6%
Quentin Harris run for 5 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.6%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.2%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.2%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.1%
James Graham pass incomplete to Jerry Howard Jr.Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
86.3%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+1
86.6%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for no gain to the Duke 17 Josh Blackwell fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:2986% → 92%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.0%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 3 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+1
86.0%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 22Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+29
85.5%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 14 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (David Curry) to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.7%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
86.7%
Quentin Harris run for 8 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.8%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+38
86.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 38 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.3%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.1%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
90.9%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
90.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3193% → 96%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.5%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
92.5%
Jackson,D. rush for 6 yards to the GT25 (Thomas, Jua.;Jackson, Q.), PENALTY DU holding (Wohlabaugh,J.) 10 yards to the GT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+27
92.4%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 12 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Sylvain Yondjouen) to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
92.5%
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
96.0%
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:255% → 1%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tobias OliverSimilar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt blocked by blocked by Javon Jackson return for 14 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:021% → 5%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.6%
Jordan Mason run for 18 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
98.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+17
98.6%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 17 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
98.4%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 48Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
98.5%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+40
99.3%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 40 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.7%
James Graham run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 21Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-2
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
96.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
96.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
96.5%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Mataeo DurantSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Austin Parker punt for 52 yds, downed at the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:405% → 4%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
95.5%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+25
95.5%
Jordan Mason run for 25 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
95.2%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 35 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.5%
James Graham pass incomplete, broken up by Josh BlackwellSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
94.7%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
95.1%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
95.9%
Brenton King 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.9%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.8%
Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
97.0%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
96.9%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott BraceySimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 6
50
-1
96.9%
Quentin Harris sacked by Bruce Jordan-Swilling and Jaquan Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 49Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
96.6%
Austin Parker punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.6%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
96.5%
James Graham run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+16
96.6%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 16 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
96.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Tobias Oliver) to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
96.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+6
96.7%
Jamious Griffin run for 6 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+17
96.5%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 17 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
96.4%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
96.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
96.5%
James Graham pass incomplete to Tobias OliverSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-2
96.5%
James Graham sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:0898% → 99%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.6%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
97.6%
Jaylen Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 42Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
97.6%
Eli Pancol run for 9 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
97.7%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 26 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.7%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
97.7%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
97.6%
Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
98.6%
AJ Reed 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:102% → 1%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.4%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
98.4%
James Graham sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+21
98.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 52 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 21 yds to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
98.8%
Quentin Harris sacked by Bruce Jordan-Swilling for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 46Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
98.8%
Quentin Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 11
50
0
98.8%
Quentin Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 11
50
0
98.7%
Austin Parker punt blocked by Jerry Howard Jr. blocked by Jerry Howard Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:551% → 3%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
98.8%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 7 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+9
98.6%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 9 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.6%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.7%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+8
98.7%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
98.6%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the Duke 4Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
98.6%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Duke 4Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:5598% → 98%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Duke 31Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
97.7%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.7%
DUKE Penalty, false start (Zach Baker) to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
97.6%
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
97.8%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+6
97.8%
Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
97.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 7
50
+3
97.8%
Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
98.3%
Austin Parker punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.9%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
97.7%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-8
98.0%
James Graham sacked by Trevon McSwain for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 14 James Graham fumbled, recovered by GTech Jared Southers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.9%
Jaylen Coleman run for 5 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
98.9%
Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
99.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
99.2%
DUKE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Austin Parker punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Blancato at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 73 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
99.4%
James Graham pass complete to Tobias Oliver for 10 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
99.4%
James Graham pass complete to Josh Blancato for 19 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
James Graham pass complete to Dontae Smith for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
99.4%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+7
99.3%
Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
99.3%
Dontae Smith run for 25 yds to the Duke 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.1%
James Graham pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 3 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.1%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.2%
James Graham pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard, broken up by Koby QuansahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:34
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 1:08
James Graham run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q2 3:35
Deon Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com