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FSU

Florida State 14 at Clemson 45

CLEM
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:27 · Tommy Martin punt for 40 yds, downed at the Clem 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+24.6Home team on offense+33.2Score differential+26.0Blowout margin+14.4Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:09: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 3 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:41: Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:13: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:58: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:49: Amari Rodgers run for 29 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK) — CLEM win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 9FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 12:09CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:18CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:30FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:42FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:01FSU 4th & 15 at FSU 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18FSU 4th & 25 at FSU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.6%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:12CLEM 4th & 2 at FSU 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:21CLEM 4th & 2 at FSU 7, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:02FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 34, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:27FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:30CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 31, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 49, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:45FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 11, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:47CLEM 4th & 25 at CLEM 39, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:29FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:58CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 9, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:25CLEM 4th & 1 at FSU 41, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:26FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 21, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:09CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:41CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:13CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:58CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:49CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:39CLEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:02FSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:41FSU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3696% → 95%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
95.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 40 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
95.6%
Travis. Etienne pass complete to Justyn Ross for 23 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
95.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+12
95.5%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
95.5%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
95.4%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 3 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:435% → 5%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.3%
James Blackman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.3%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
95.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 15 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.2%
Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
95.1%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+2
95.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 2 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
95.0%
Tommy Martin punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:4295% → 95%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
95.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
95.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 6 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
95.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
94.9%
Will Spiers punt for 29 yds, downed at the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.9%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
94.8%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
94.9%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Tommy Martin punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:3495% → 95%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
94.8%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+8
94.9%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
94.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
94.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 8 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 4 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+12
94.7%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
94.6%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:565% → 5%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for no gain to the FlaSt 29 lat. to Tamorrion Terry for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
94.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 16 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
94.9%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tyler Davis and Xavier Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
94.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Tanner Muse return for no gain to the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:5795% → 97%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevor Lawrence for no gain to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
95.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
95.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-5
95.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
95.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+12
95.1%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
95.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
95.2%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+8
95.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
95.1%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
95.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
96.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:183% → 3%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Tommy Martin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:3297% → 99%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
96.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 16 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
97.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 22 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.1%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+23
97.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 23 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
97.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
98.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.8%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Tommy Martin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
98.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
98.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass intercepted Hamsah Nasirildeen return for no gain to the FlaSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-11
99.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 18
OWN 28
-7
99.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 21 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 25
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Tommy Martin punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4899% → 99%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.1%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
99.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to J.C. Chalk for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
99.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+20
99.2%
Travis Etienne run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.2%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
Xavier Thomas run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
99.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+2
99.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
99.3%
James Blackman pass intercepted Chad Smith return for 10 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1499% → 99%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
99.4%
B.T. Potter 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+12
99.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:502% → 1%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 3 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Cam AkersSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Tommy Martin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.5%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
99.5%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.5%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
99.6%
Travis Etienne run for 27 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.6%
Amari Rodgers run for 29 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19INT TD
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
99.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
James Blackman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+38
99.7%
James Blackman pass intercepted for a TD Derion Kendrick return for 38 yds for a TD, (Steven Sawicki KICK)Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 3
OWN 35
-15
99.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
99.8%
Cam Akers run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 42 Cam Akers fumbled, forced by James Skalski, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.8%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 43 Lyn-J Dixon fumbled, recovered by FlaStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun HarrisonSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Tommy Martin punt for 40 yds, downed at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23DOWNS
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Clem 16Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
99.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Cornell Powell for 4 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+15
99.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
99.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Joe Ngata for 13 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Tre'Shaun Harrison run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 64 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Darien Rencher run for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to T.J. Chase for 8 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Luke Price for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Darien Rencher run for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Will Spiers punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlaSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Khalan Laborn for no gain to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 8 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to D.J. Matthews for no gain to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Tommy Martin punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for 7 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-15
99.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 27
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 27
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 25
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
Will Spiers punt for 52 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the FlaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
100.0%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Tommy Martin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+15
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 4 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
100.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Frank Ladson Jr.Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
100.0%
Steven Sawicki 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 30TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
100.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 4 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-7
100.0%
James Blackman sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+18
100.0%
James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 18 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. MatthewsSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
100.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 40 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
50
+1
100.0%
Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
100.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
100.0%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+6
100.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
100.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun HarrisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
100.0%
Darien Rencher run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:13
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 8:58
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 4:41
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com