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UVA

Virginia 9 at Miami 17

MIA
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:03 · Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense+5.4Pregame prior+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+0.7Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:17: Bryce Perkins pass incomplete — UVA win probability +6.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q4 14:28: Brian Delaney 21 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +5.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 10:06: Turner Davidson 19 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +5.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:00: Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett — UVA win probability +7.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:31: N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK) — MIA win probability +19.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:25MIA 4th & 7 at UVA 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56UVA 4th & 1 at MIA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−1.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:59MIA 4th & 22 at MIA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:41UVA 4th & 6 at MIA 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:46MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02UVA 4th & 4 at MIA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00UVA 4th & 8 at MIA 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:43UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:22MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 29, up 4
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:03MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:28UVA 4th & 4 at MIA 4, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−12.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:06MIA 4th & 3 at UVA 3, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−3.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−18.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:39UVA 4th & 20 at MIA 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−6.0
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−11.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:55MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:31MIA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:5557% → 60%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
56.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
56.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 13 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
56.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+27
56.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 27 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
57.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 10 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
57.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Jeff Thomas, broken up by Nick GrantSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
57.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
57.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for no gain to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+10
57.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 10 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
57.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 17Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+17
59.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 17 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0241% → 40%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
59.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 3 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
59.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 31Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
60.3%
Nash Griffin punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5260% → 60%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
60.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
60.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
59.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
59.8%
Lou Hedley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:4940% → 39%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
60.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
59.9%
PK Kier run for 7 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
60.2%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
60.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 1 yd to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
61.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
60.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 12 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
59.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+6
59.6%
PK Kier run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
60.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
61.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:5363% → 62%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
62.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+13
62.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
64.3%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Noah Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
63.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-5
63.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Corey Gaynor) to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 19
OWN 33
-3
62.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 22
OWN 30
0
62.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 45 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the Virg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:0437% → 34%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.3%
PK Kier run for 1 yd to the Virg 26Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
63.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
63.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
63.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 13 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
62.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 2 yds to the MIAMI 49 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 41Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 18
OWN 41
0
64.4%
Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Virg 41Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+10
65.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+11
64.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 11 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
63.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
62.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell ChatmanSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
62.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
64.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
65.8%
Brian Delaney 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Al Blades Jr. Pat Bethel return for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4968% → 67%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
67.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 13
OWN 19
-8
67.8%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Mandy Alonso for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 21
OWN 11
+11
67.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+19
67.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 19 yds to the Virg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3734% → 33%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
67.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tanner Cowley, broken up by Michael PinckneySimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
68.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
67.3%
Nash Griffin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2168% → 68%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
68.1%
DeeJay Dallas run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
68.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 1
OWN 15
-2
67.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+51
67.7%
Lou Hedley punt for 51 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10END OF HALF
10 plays · 57 yds · 1:3030% → 35%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
69.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 5 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
68.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
68.3%
Lamont Atkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-3
70.5%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Jonathan Ford for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 43Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+49
71.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 49 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
65.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
65.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Chatman, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
65.0%
Brian Delaney 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0738% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 12 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
61.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
61.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
59.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Wayne TaulapapaSimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
62.1%
Nash Griffin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:1863% → 65%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
62.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mark Pope for 6 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+7
62.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 7 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
66.4%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
66.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
65.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:4236% → 37%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
64.5%
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
67.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+14
69.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 14 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
65.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+23
64.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 23 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
63.0%
Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 20 Mike Hollins fumbled, forced by Jonathan Ford, recovered by MiaFl Trajan BandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1969% → 67%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
68.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
67.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
66.7%
Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:2832% → 40%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
68.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 4 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+14
68.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
64.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
64.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 15 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
63.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
63.1%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+10
65.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
63.3%
Perkins, Bryce pass incomplete to Dubois, Hasise, PENALTY MIAMI targeting (Carter, Amari) 9 yards to the MIAMI9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
63.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
63.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Bobby Haskins) to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
63.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
63.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
65.5%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Gurvan Hall Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q4 14:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
59.9%
Brian Delaney 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:0664% → 75%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
63.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 12 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
65.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 6 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+15
68.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 15 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
69.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 35 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
71.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the Virg 3Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
71.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.3%
Brevin Jordan run for no gain to the Virg 3Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+19
74.5%
Turner Davidson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2136% → 37%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon BrissettSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
64.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tanner CowleySimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+10
66.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
63.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
64.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Robert KnowlesSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-10
67.0%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Gregory Rousseau for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaFl 27 Bryce Perkins fumbled, recovered by VirgSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 20
OPP 27
+44
63.5%
Brian Delaney 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4465% → 97%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
67.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
66.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 9 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
70.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
69.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mark Pope for 24 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
73.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 8 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+17
73.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 17 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
76.2%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Charles Snowden for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 5Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
77.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the Virg 3Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19END OF GAME
14 plays · 27 yds · 2:235% → 5%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
95.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 12 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
94.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
93.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
94.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
94.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+8
94.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
93.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 5
OPP 38
-11
92.5%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Trajan Bandy for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 16
OPP 49
-5
94.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 21
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 21
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon BrissettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:31
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds for a TD, (Turner Davidson KICK)
+19.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:00
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett
-7.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:17
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com