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VT

Virginia Tech 42 at Miami 35

MIA
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:18 · Lou Hedley punt for 57 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense−21.9Pregame prior+8.0Score differential−11.1Garbage-time factor−8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Mark Pope 38 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Bubba Baxa Kick) — MIA win probability +29.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:38: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 6 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +13.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:55: Jeff Thomas 25 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (DeeJay Dallas Run for Two-Point Conversion) — MIA win probability +23.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:16: DeeJay Dallas run for 62 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED) — MIA win probability +37.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:03: Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +35.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:23VT 4th & 5 at VT 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:32MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 30, down 21
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:20MIA 4th & 4 at VT 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:53VT 4th & 14 at VT 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00MIA 4th & 3 at VT 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:11VT 4th & 1 at VT 34, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:43VT 4th & 11 at VT 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−3.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:57MIA 4th & 20 at MIA 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:24VT 4th & 8 at VT 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:18MIA 4th & 22 at MIA 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:12MIA 4th & 5 at VT 24, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:07VT 4th & 14 at VT 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:06VT 4th & 9 at VT 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−2.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:48VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:19VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:16VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:30VT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00MIA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:38MIA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:43VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:03MIA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:55MIA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:16MIA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−2.0
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:03VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0281% → 81%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
80.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
80.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 5 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
80.7%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted Jermaine Waller return for no gain to the MiaFl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:2420% → 22%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
80.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
80.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+15
80.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
79.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+7
79.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
79.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
77.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:5578% → 78%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
78.0%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 21 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
78.2%
Jeff Thomas run for 8 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+11
78.0%
Jarren Williams run for 11 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
77.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
77.7%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Caleb Farley return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5824% → 24%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to James MitchellSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
76.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
76.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0276% → 74%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
75.8%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 11 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-13
75.1%
Jarren Williams sacked by Chamarri Conner for a loss of 13 yards to the MiaFl 22 Jarren Williams fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jarren Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 23
OWN 22
+10
74.3%
Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+23
73.8%
Jarren Williams pass intercepted Jermaine Waller return for 23 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1227% → 31%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
72.7%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
69.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 20 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.6%
Mike Harley run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 20 Mike Harley fumbled, recovered by VTech Jaylen GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:5531% → 40%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
68.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
68.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+15
67.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.3%
James Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2863% → 60%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
62.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 3 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
61.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 4 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
60.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+3
60.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds , Hezekiah Grimsley returns for 3 yds to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:5543% → 60%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
56.8%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+26
56.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 26 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
55.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 5
OPP 49
-1
54.6%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 6
50
+5
53.6%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
52.1%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
50.0%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
48.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
50.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
48.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
46.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 7 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
40.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11INT
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:5133% → 30%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
31.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
29.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 5 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
30.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 10 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+51
30.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 51 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
30.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
29.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass intercepted Caleb Farley return for 1 yd to the VTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
17 plays · 26 yds · 5:1362% → 76%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
37.7%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
36.8%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+5
37.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
33.5%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
34.4%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-5
37.7%
Robinson, Tayvion rush for 10 yards to the VATECH21, PENALTY VATECH holding 5 yards to the VATECH6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+15
41.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
33.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
32.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
27.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
25.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-9
25.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Gregory Rousseau for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+3
25.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
24.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 57 yds, downed at the MiaFl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 84 yds · 0:4311% → 39%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+39
10.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 39 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
10.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
10.1%
Perry, N'Kosi rush for 14 yards to the VATECH31, PENALTY MIAMI holding 10 yards to the MIAMI45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+17
9.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 17 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
8.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+38
38.5%
Mark Pope 38 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Bubba Baxa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2973% → 74%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
26.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
26.8%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
25.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:2929% → 40%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
28.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
28.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+28
27.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 28 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
28.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Michael Parrott for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+18
27.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 18 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
27.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 9 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+10
26.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 10 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
26.0%
Perry, N'Kosi pass incomplete, PENALTY VATECH pass interference 15 yards to the VATECH6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
39.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 6 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:4168% → 70%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.8%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
31.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
30.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
29.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+61
29.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MIAMI 25 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:3632% → 23%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
31.8%
Mike Harley run for 23 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
33.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-9
30.7%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Rayshard Ashby for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+15
28.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
29.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
29.6%
Jimmy Murphy run for 1 yd to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to DeeJay DallasSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-11
28.2%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Jaylen Griffin for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 21
OWN 42
+6
24.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 6 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 15
OWN 48
-5
24.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 20
OWN 43
0
23.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mark Pope at the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1182% → 83%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
18.5%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
17.3%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
17.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+29
17.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 51 yds , Jeff Thomas returns for 29 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:4324% → 20%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-9
23.8%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 19
OWN 46
0
21.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 19
OWN 46
-3
20.6%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Emmanuel Belmar for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 22
OWN 43
0
20.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3187% → 98%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
12.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+67
12.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 67 yds to the MiaFl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 5 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:114% → 10%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
4.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
4.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+14
4.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 14 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
4.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 11
50
+4
3.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 4 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
3.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+22
3.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 22 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
4.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-6
4.1%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Jaylen Griffin for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+4
3.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 4 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+11
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 11 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
10.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 13 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:3395% → 95%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
5.4%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
5.1%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-4
5.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
5.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:036% → 30%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
6.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 26 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
7.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
7.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 11 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
7.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
7.1%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Mario Kendricks for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
30.4%
Jeff Thomas 25 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (DeeJay Dallas Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2982% → 80%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
17.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
19.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Phil PattersonSimilar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
20.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:2425% → 63%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
25.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+62
62.9%
DeeJay Dallas run for 62 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2752% → 95%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
48.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 29 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
39.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
39.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+26
41.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dalton Keene for 26 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:5413% → 22%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
10.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 20 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
14.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
13.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+12
14.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 12 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
15.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+26
18.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 16 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (10 Yards) to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
22.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
22.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:16
DeeJay Dallas run for 62 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT MISSED)
+37.6
TD · Q4 1:03
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)
-35.9
TD · Q2 0:00
Mark Pope 38 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Bubba Baxa Kick)
+29.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com