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DEL

Delaware 14 at Pittsburgh 17

PITT
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadDEL aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreDEL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Nick Pritchard punt for 31 yds, downed at the Pitt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+46.7Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:53: Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Roth KICK) — DEL win probability +8.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:48: Will Knight run for 6 yds to the Delaw 11 — DEL win probability +5.9 pts (now 35%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:10: Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the Delaw 12 — PITT win probability +8.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 10:33: Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +17.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:44: Todd Sibley Jr. run for 11 yds to the Delaw 48 for a 1ST down — PITT win probability +7.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9DEL made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00DEL 4th & 9 at PITT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46PITT 4th & 5 at DEL 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16DEL 4th & 25 at PITT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:44PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:15DEL 4th & 5 at DEL 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:22PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:29DEL 4th & 12 at PITT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:08PITT 4th & 2 at DEL 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:57PITT 4th & 7 at DEL 39, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:57DEL 4th & 16 at DEL 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−3.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:30PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:23DEL 4th & 12 at DEL 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:55PITT 4th & 9 at DEL 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00DEL 4th & 14 at PITT 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:33DEL 4th & 6 at DEL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:52PITT 4th & 10 at DEL 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−3.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:48DEL 4th & 12 at DEL 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2DEL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:54PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:28DEL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:53DEL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:33PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DELDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Gene Coleman II for 3 yds to the Delaw 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
96.7%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Gene Coleman II for 10 yds to the Delaw 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
96.7%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+21
96.7%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 21 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
96.7%
Andre Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+2
96.7%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
96.7%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick PittsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
96.7%
Nick Pritchard punt for 31 yds, downed at the Pitt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+46
96.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 46 yds to the Delaw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
96.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Delaw 41Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+7
96.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for 7 yds to the Delaw 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Nick Patti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Nijuel HillSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 5 yds to the Delaw 29Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench, broken up by Noah PlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 3:064% → 5%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.6%
Will Knight run for no gain to the Delaw 29Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
95.6%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Andre Robinson for 7 yds to the Delaw 36Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+3
95.6%
Nolan Henderson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
95.6%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Gene Coleman II, PENALTY UP pass interference (Ford, P) 15 yards to the UP46, 1ST DOWN DELAWARE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
95.5%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 8 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-1
95.5%
Will Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
95.5%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Will Knight, broken up by Patrick Jones IISimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
94.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (Amir Watts) to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
94.6%
Gene Coleman II run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-10
94.8%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Jaylen Twyman and Amir Watts for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 25
OPP 49
0
94.9%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick PittsSimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 25
OPP 49
0
94.9%
Nick Pritchard punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.5%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
94.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
94.4%
Nick Patti pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 2 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Delaw 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.9%
Will Knight run for 5 yds to the Delaw 44Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
93.8%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Will KnightSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
93.8%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick Pitts, broken up by Paris FordSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
94.1%
TEAM punt, downed at the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:3494% → 95%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.1%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.1%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+16
94.0%
Nick Patti pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 16 yds to the Delaw 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
94.3%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 9 yds to the Delaw 33Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
94.3%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 3 yds to the Delaw 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
94.7%
Nick Patti pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 30 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Andre Robinson run for no gain to the Delaw 25Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.3%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Will Knight for 1 yd to the Delaw 26Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
94.4%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Gene Coleman IISimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Nick Pritchard punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.1%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
94.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to John Vardzel for 5 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
94.0%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+9
93.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds , Jourdan Townsend returns for 9 yds to the Delaw 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:486% → 6%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
93.7%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 2 yds to the Delaw 28Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+15
93.7%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick Pitts, PENALTY UP pass interference (Jackson, D) 15 yards to the DELAWARE43, 1ST DOWN DELAWARE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
93.5%
Will Knight run for 15 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
93.3%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Gene Coleman II for 25 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
93.0%
Will Knight run for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-5
93.0%
DELAWARE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
93.1%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete DELAWARE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
93.2%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick PittsSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
93.6%
Jake Roth 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
93.5%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 11 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
93.5%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
93.6%
Nick Patti pass intercepted Tim Poindexter return for 4 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 11TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:007% → 12%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
92.7%
Andre Robinson pass incomplete to Thyrick Pitts, PENALTY UP holding (Mathis, D) 10 yards to the UP31, 1ST DOWN DELAWARE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.7%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Andre RobinsonSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
92.7%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 33Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+16
93.4%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Gene Coleman II for 16 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
92.6%
Nolan Henderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
92.6%
Nolan Henderson run for 10 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.6%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Gene Coleman II for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Roth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12FG
22 plays · 73 yds · 6:2091% → 89%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.6%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.7%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
91.3%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
91.0%
Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+7
90.3%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 7 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.8%
Nick Patti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
90.7%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Delaw 45Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
90.7%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 12 yds to the Delaw 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
91.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Delaw 31Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+10
91.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 10 yds to the Delaw 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
91.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Jimmy Morrissey) to the Delaw 26Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+2
91.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Delaw 24Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+3
91.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 3 yds to the Delaw 21Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+16
88.6%
Nick Patti pass complete to Todd Sibley Jr. for 16 yds to the Delaw 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
89.2%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 2 yds to the Delaw 3Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
89.2%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 1 yd to the Delaw 2Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.5%
Nick Patti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
89.0%
Alex Kessman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Delaw 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
88.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 3 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+8
88.0%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds Maurice Ffrench fumbled, forced by Drew Nickles, recovered by Delaw Drew NicklesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 15TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3214% → 22%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
85.6%
Andre Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+17
86.4%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Owen Tyler for 17 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
85.6%
Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.6%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Bryce De Maille, broken up by Damar HamlinSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
77.6%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Roth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:5680% → 78%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
80.6%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
79.8%
Nick Patti pass complete to Will Gragg for 10 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
81.8%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 4 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
82.0%
Nick Patti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+14
81.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 14 yds to the Delaw 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.6%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 3 yds to the Delaw 39Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to V'Lique CarterSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+57
78.1%
Alex Kessman 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Nolan Henderson run for no gain to the Delaw 39Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
75.1%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Dane Jackson and Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 6 yards to the Delaw 33Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
77.5%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Will KnightSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+7
78.0%
Nick Pritchard punt for 47 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 7 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
75.8%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 5 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+2
77.1%
Nick Patti pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
76.4%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+8
74.8%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 60 yds , Jourdan Townsend returns for 8 yds to the Delaw 42 DELAWARE Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the Delaw 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
72.4%
Andre Robinson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 11Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
72.4%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Andre RobinsonSimilar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-6
73.4%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Kylan Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Delaw 5Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 12
OWN 5
0
74.6%
Nick Pritchard punt for 37 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for no gain to the Delaw 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0075% → 71%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
75.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 2 yds to the Delaw 40Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
75.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 4 yds to the Delaw 36Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
74.8%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the Delaw 36Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
73.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Nolan Ulizio) to the Delaw 41Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
71.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Delaw 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:4835% → 42%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
65.2%
Will Knight run for 6 yds to the Delaw 11Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+10
65.1%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Will Knight for 10 yds to the Delaw 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
64.5%
Will Knight run for 3 yds to the Delaw 24Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
64.4%
Will Knight run for 6 yds to the Delaw 30Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+12
63.6%
Nolan Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Delaw 27 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (Cam Bright) to the Delaw 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
61.9%
Nolan Henderson run for 9 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+14
60.6%
Nolan Henderson run for 14 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
59.8%
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Andre Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
54.1%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Will KnightSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+1
55.9%
Andre Robinson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 39
+49
58.3%
Nick Pritchard punt for 39 yds for a touchback PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (A.J. Woods)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3759% → 83%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
58.7%
V'Lique Carter run for 14 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
59.1%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 20 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
62.5%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 44Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-10
60.8%
Patti, N pass complete to Ffrench, M for 13 yards to the DELAWARE43 (K. Whitehead), PENALTY UP holding (Hargrove, B) 10 yards to the UP34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+3
58.8%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+48
57.5%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 48 yds to the Delaw 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
65.9%
Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the Delaw 12Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
65.9%
Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Justis Henley PITTSBURGH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
83.2%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
77.5%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Bryce De Maille, broken up by Damar HamlinSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
77.9%
Will Knight run for 3 yds to the Delaw 24Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-4
78.8%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Patrick Jones II and Phil Campbell III for a loss of 4 yards to the Delaw 20Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+5
80.2%
Nick Pritchard punt 37 yards to the UP43, Ffrench, M return to the DELAWARE45 (Drew Nickles), PENALTY UP roughing the kicker (Wayne, J) 5 yards to the DELAWARE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Nick Pritchard punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
79.7%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 7 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+6
81.4%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
81.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 13 yds to the Delaw 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
82.6%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Delaw 40Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
82.6%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for no gain to the Delaw 40Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
82.0%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 1 yd to the Delaw 39Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
80.1%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Delaw 44Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
78.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 32 yds, downed at the Delaw 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0026% → 23%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
73.7%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Gene Coleman IISimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-2
74.1%
Nolan Henderson sacked by Kylan Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Delaw 10Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
75.6%
Nolan Henderson pass incomplete to Thyrick Pitts, broken up by Damarri MathisSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
76.6%
Nick Pritchard punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 26END OF GAME
12 plays · 29 yds · 2:2984% → 91%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
83.7%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 11 yds to the Delaw 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
84.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Nolan Ulizio) to the Pitt 47Similar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+6
83.0%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 6 yds to the Delaw 47Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
84.8%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 3 yds to the Delaw 44Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
90.1%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Delaw 40Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+14
89.9%
Christodoulou punt 39 yards to the DELAWARE1, downed, PENALTY DELAWARE roughing the kicker (Matt Palmer) 14 yards to the DELAWARE26, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
92.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 27Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-2
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Delaw 29Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 13
OPP 29
-1
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:33
Nick Patti pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+17.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:10
Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the Delaw 12
+8.4
TD · Q3 12:53
Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Roth KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com