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WAKE

Wake Forest 27 at Boston College 24

BC
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:11 · Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 195Pregame prior−0.5Home team on offense−20.8Score differential−5.3Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:54: Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 26 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +8.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:14: Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yds for a TD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +12.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:47: Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +18.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:39: David Bailey pass complete to Chris Garrison for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +25.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:47BC 4th & 1 at BC 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:13WAKE 4th & 4 at BC 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−3.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 3 at WAKE 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:56BC 4th & 5 at WAKE 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:56WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:54WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:09BC 4th & 3 at BC 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:14BC 4th & 1 at WAKE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−2.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−7.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:54BC 4th & 3 at WAKE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    49.6%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:47WAKE 4th & 4 at BC 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−13.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:47BC 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:11BC 4th & 8 at WAKE 31, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:02WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03BC 4th & 8 at BC 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:47BC 4th & 1 at WAKE 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−1.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−9.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:11WAKE 4th & 14 at BC 40, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:47WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:54BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:14WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:41BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:47WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:39BC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.8%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
36.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
36.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 17 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
36.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
36.8%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Amari Henderson return for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:3363% → 64%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
37.3%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
37.2%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the BC 48Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
37.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
37.2%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+8
37.2%
Jamie Newman run for 8 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
37.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 16 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
37.2%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the BC 17Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
37.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 8 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
37.2%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
37.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.9%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
36.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-3
36.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+15
36.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 15 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
36.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds , Sage Surratt returns for no gain to the WFrst 29 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, kick catching interference (Mehdi El Attrach) to the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:4864% → 65%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
35.9%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
35.9%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+34
36.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 34 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
35.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Cade Carney for 5 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
35.7%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
35.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
35.7%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
35.7%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
35.8%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 4Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
35.0%
Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5FG
15 plays · 83 yds · 4:1735% → 37%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+33
34.5%
AJ Dillon run for 33 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
35.3%
Zay Flowers run for 18 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
35.7%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
36.2%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-5
35.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Tyler Vrabel) to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+11
35.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 11 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
36.2%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
36.2%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
35.4%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+9
34.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 9 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
36.1%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
37.0%
Aaron Boumerhi 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
35.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 20 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
34.6%
Jamie Newman sacked by Max Richardson for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+5
35.8%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
35.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 14
OWN 42
+10
36.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 53 yds , Travis Levy returns for 10 yds to the BC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:3936% → 48%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+25
35.9%
David Bailey run for 25 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
37.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 11 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
38.1%
AJ Dillon run for 10 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
38.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Hunter Long) to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+14
37.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 14 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
39.0%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
47.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 26 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+19
44.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 60 yds , Travis Levy returns for 19 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
43.9%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
45.4%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
45.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-1
46.2%
David Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 41Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
44.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:2858% → 70%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
42.5%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+10
42.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 10 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+50
42.5%
Jamie Newman run for 50 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
39.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
39.3%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+10
40.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 10 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
39.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
39.3%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the BC 6Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yds for a TD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 2:3337% → 51%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
37.0%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 12
50
+15
35.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 15 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
38.2%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+1
36.5%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+10
36.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 10 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
35.9%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
37.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 20 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
37.3%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 4Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
43.3%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
43.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
45.0%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
44.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14INT
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:0048% → 49%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
48.2%
AJ Dillon run for 18 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
49.4%
Zay Flowers run for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
51.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 15 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
51.8%
AJ Dillon run for 16 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
52.6%
Kobay White run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
52.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to David BaileySimilar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-5
51.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Ben Petrula) to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+9
49.7%
Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+1
49.4%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Essang Bassey return for 1 yd to the WFrst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FG
20 plays · 78 yds · 6:4655% → 62%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
45.4%
Jamie Newman sacked by John Lamot and Richard Yeargin for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+14
46.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 14 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
45.1%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
44.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
44.9%
Jamie Newman run for 10 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
42.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
42.4%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
41.9%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
42.0%
Jamie Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
42.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
43.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 12 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
40.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
40.6%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+8
41.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 8 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
40.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 9 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
40.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
40.6%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Jason MaitreSimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
37.7%
Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.1%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
42.0%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
42.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 10 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
45.0%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
45.4%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 6
50
0
44.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to David BaileySimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 6
50
0
40.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0062% → 65%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
38.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Loic Ngassam Nya) to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+9
39.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 9 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
37.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+13
37.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 13 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
35.5%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
35.3%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
35.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
35.2%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Mike Palmer return for no gain to the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:0041% → 43%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
41.1%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+16
41.8%
AJ Dillon run for 16 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+33
42.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for 33 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
49.3%
Zay Flowers run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
49.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
46.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 3
OPP 26
-5
43.9%
Boumerhi,A field goal attempt from 44 GOOD, clock 13:11, PENALTY BC delay of game 5 yards to the WF31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
43.0%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
37.8%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
36.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
38.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
40.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
40.0%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
40.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
38.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+17
36.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds , Sage Surratt returns for 17 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:3567% → 86%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
33.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+26
34.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 26 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
31.1%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
30.7%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Mike PalmerSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 0
0
32.4%
Newman, J pass incomplete to Washington, S, PENALTY WF personal foul off-setting, PENALTY BC HL off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+27
13.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:0816% → 45%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
15.6%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+18
16.5%
AJ Dillon run for 18 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
18.0%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+6
19.7%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
19.7%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
19.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
18.3%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
16.9%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
19.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
45.2%
David Bailey pass complete to Chris Garrison for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
19 plays · 35 yds · 4:2870% → 81%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
29.1%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
29.1%
Jamie Newman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
27.8%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
27.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+9
27.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 9 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
26.3%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the BC 49Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
18.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
17.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 7 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
16.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Nathan Gilliam) to the BC 41Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+1
17.3%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+2
14.4%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+3
15.6%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
17.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
19.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:2416% → 13%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
15.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 8 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+18
16.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 18 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
17.6%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Flowers,Z, PENALTY BC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the BC26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+21
13.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 11 yds to the WFrst 46 lat. to David Bailey for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 46 lat. to Anthony Brown for 21 yds Anthony Brown fumbled, recovered by WFrstSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:39
David Bailey pass complete to Chris Garrison for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+25.6
TD · Q4 9:47
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-18.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com