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FUR

Furman 17 at Virginia Tech 24

VT
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:17 · Grayson Atkins punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+41.2Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:35: Darren Grainger run for 15 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — FUR win probability +9.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:00: James Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +13.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 8:12: Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +7.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:04: Tre Turner run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +12.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:49: Grayson Atkins 22 yd FG GOOD — FUR win probability +6.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00VT 4th & 7 at VT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59FUR 4th & 15 at FUR 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37VT 4th & 5 at FUR 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:17FUR 4th & 7 at FUR 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56VT 4th & 23 at VT 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:38FUR 4th & 2 at VT 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39VT 4th & 15 at FUR 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:00FUR 4th & 10 at FUR 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:13FUR 4th & 3 at FUR 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:21VT 4th & 10 at VT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FUR 4th & 15 at FUR 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:48VT 4th & 6 at VT 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−2.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:49FUR 4th & 5 at VT 5, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%−1.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56FUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:35FUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:00VT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:12VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:04VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
95.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 6Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+5
95.3%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Keshawn King for 3 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+22
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 22 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
95.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+1
95.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-5
95.3%
Ryan Willis sacked by Jonah Tibbs and Adrian Hope for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+12
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:445% → 6%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
94.6%
Devin Abrams run for 1 yd to the Furm 12Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
94.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-6
94.5%
Darren Grainger sacked by DaShawn Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the Furm 6Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 15
OWN 6
0
94.5%
Grayson Atkins punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Furm 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:3494% → 93%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
94.4%
Caleb Steward run for 3 yds to the Furm 41Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
94.4%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
94.4%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the Furm 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
94.4%
Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
94.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to James Mitchell for 7 yds to the Furm 23Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
94.4%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the Furm 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to James Mitchell, broken up by Hugh RyanSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
93.7%
Ryan Willis run for 4 yds to the Furm 17Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+1
93.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 1 yd to the Furm 16Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+35
93.4%
Brian Johnson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:207% → 7%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.4%
Devin Wynn run for 4 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
93.3%
Darren Grainger sacked by Chamarri Conner for a loss of 7 yards to the Furm 22Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
93.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Wayne Anderson Jr. for 6 yds to the Furm 28Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.5%
Grayson Atkins punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
92.8%
Keshawn King run for 16 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
92.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds Tre Turner fumbled, forced by Braden Gilby, recovered by Furm Bryan OkehSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 6TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:168% → 10%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
92.4%
Devin Wynn run for 20 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
92.3%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-4
92.3%
Darren Grainger sacked by Rayshard Ashby and Emmanuel Belmar for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+11
92.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 11 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+5
91.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the VTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.3%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.6%
Devin Abrams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
90.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
90.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-9
90.0%
Ryan Willis sacked by Cally Chizik and Dru Seabrook for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
89.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt 49 yards to the FUR34, fair catch by Amir Trapp, PENALTY VT illegal formation 5 yards to the VT12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
89.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2011% → 12%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
88.8%
Devin Wynn run for 7 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
88.7%
Corey Watkins run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
88.1%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
88.5%
Grayson Atkins punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.5%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Travis Blackshear return for 1 yd to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 10TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 5:1013% → 22%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.5%
Devin Wynn run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
87.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 9 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
87.5%
Devin Abrams run for 2 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
87.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan Miller for 8 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
87.4%
Corey Watkins run for no gain to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
87.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 5 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
87.4%
Devin Wynn run for 4 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-1
87.4%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 15Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
78.0%
Darren Grainger run for 15 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:5678% → 72%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.7%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
78.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+17
78.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 17 yds to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
79.8%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the Furm 39Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+12
77.5%
Tre Turner run for 12 yds to the Furm 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
78.4%
Ryan Willis sacked by Dru Seabrook for a loss of 8 yards to the Furm 35Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+3
77.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the Furm 32Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
73.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+50
72.1%
Brian Johnson 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:2327% → 33%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.9%
Corey Watkins run for no gain to the Furm 32Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
71.9%
Darren Grainger run for 15 yds to the Furm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
70.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Avery Armstrong for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 7
50
0
66.8%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Avery ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 7
50
+5
67.0%
Devin Wynn run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0031% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.1%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
68.5%
Devin Wynn run for 10 yds to the Furm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
67.8%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the Furm 41Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ryan DeLuca, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
65.1%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the Furm 41Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
66.2%
Grayson Atkins punt for 42 yds, downed at the VTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:1564% → 79%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
64.0%
Keshawn King run for 15 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+54
64.6%
Keshawn King run for 54 yds to the Furm 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
68.2%
Tre Turner run for 7 yds to the Furm 7Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
66.7%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the Furm 5Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
65.3%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the Furm 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.9%
James Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.5%
Devin Wynn run for 1 yd to the Furm 26 Devin Wynn fumbled, forced by Dax Hollifield, recovered by VTech DaShawn CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:3879% → 86%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
78.8%
Tre Turner run for 9 yds to the Furm 17Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
78.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to James Mitchell for 3 yds to the Furm 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
78.8%
Ryan Willis run for 12 yds to the Furm 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5918% → 19%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.4%
Devin Wynn run for 7 yds to the Furm 32Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
81.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 8 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Wayne Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.6%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the Furm 42Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
80.4%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Devin Wynn for 5 yds to the Furm 47Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
80.6%
Grayson Atkins punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
81.8%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 3
OWN 16
-6
81.9%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 10Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+10
80.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 10 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
82.0%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
81.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Keshawn King for 13 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
82.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-2
82.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
81.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kaleb Smith for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
80.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:5121% → 20%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
79.0%
Devin Wynn run for 7 yds to the Furm 27Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
77.9%
Devin Abrams run for 6 yds to the Furm 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
77.6%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-8
75.7%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 8 yards to the Furm 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+15
79.9%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Thomas Gordon (Divine Deablo), PENALTY VT pass interference (Divine Deablo) 15 yards to the FUR45, 1ST DOWN FUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
75.8%
Devin Wynn run for 3 yds to the Furm 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-6
75.0%
Darren Grainger sacked by Emmanuel Belmar for a loss of 6 yards to the Furm 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-5
78.7%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Jordan Harris) to the Furm 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+3
79.4%
Devin Abrams run for 3 yds to the Furm 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+1
80.2%
Grayson Atkins punt for 48 yds , Hezekiah Grimsley returns for 1 yd to the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1879% → 76%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
79.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
79.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+7
78.4%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
79.5%
Ryan Willis sacked by Matt Sochovka for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+11
78.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 11 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
77.3%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Amir Trapp at the Furm 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
74.3%
Devin Wynn run for no gain to the Furm 15Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-4
74.7%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted Caleb Farley return for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:5179% → 94%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
78.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+21
79.8%
Tayvion Robinson run for 21 yds to the Furm 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
80.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the Furm 34Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
81.6%
Ryan Willis run for 5 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
93.6%
Tre Turner run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 23FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:157% → 9%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.4%
Thomas Gordon run for 5 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
92.3%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the Furm 33Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
92.5%
Devin Abrams run for 8 yds to the Furm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.5%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Devin WynnSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
92.7%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Jordan Harris) to the Furm 36Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+13
93.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Wayne Anderson Jr. for 13 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+48
92.2%
Devin Abrams run for 48 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.8%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the VTech 3Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
90.8%
Devin Wynn run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 5Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.3%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
88.0%
Grayson Atkins 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
91.2%
FURMAN Penalty, illegal block (Dae'one Wilkins) to the Furm 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:5896% → 97%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the Furm 34Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+11
96.4%
Tre Turner run for 11 yds to the Furm 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Furm 26Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 13
OPP 26
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 28Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 15
OPP 28
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:00
James Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)
+13.7
TD · Q4 5:04
Tre Turner run for 29 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)
+12
TD · Q2 5:35
Darren Grainger run for 15 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com