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LOU

Louisville 38 at Western Kentucky 21

WKU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Nissan Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:10 · Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense−21.8Pregame prior−14.1Score differential−12.3Garbage-time factor−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:12: Steven Duncan pass complete to Joshua Simon for 77 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +6.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:08: Javian Hawkins run for 20 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +5.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 0:47: Steven Duncan run for 1 yd Steven Duncan fumbled, forced by Amonte Caban, recovered by Lvile Rodjay Burns , return for 30 yds, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +6.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:26: Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 62 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +12.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:50: Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +6.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36LOU 4th & 13 at LOU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:35WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00LOU 4th & 2 at LOU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:01WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:23LOU 4th & 13 at WKU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:10WKU 4th & 1 at LOU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−2.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−8.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:31LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:48WKU 4th & 15 at LOU 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:20LOU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.8%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:15WKU 4th & 3 at LOU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:29LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:21WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 39, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:18LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:04LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:08LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:37WKU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:26LOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:50WKU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
23.8%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
23.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+11
23.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
23.8%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
23.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 2 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
23.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by C.J. AverySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
23.8%
John Haggerty punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
24.9%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
24.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-5
25.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-4
25.0%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
25.1%
Mason King punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
26.3%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-5
26.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
26.2%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-9
26.0%
Steven Duncan sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
25.7%
John Haggerty punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:4574% → 75%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
26.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-2
26.2%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
26.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+3
26.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
26.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+5
26.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
26.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
26.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
26.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
26.0%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
24.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
25.9%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
25.7%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
26.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
26.0%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
25.6%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+5
25.4%
John Haggerty punt for 49 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:1074% → 80%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
25.8%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
26.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Devante Peete for 11 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+4
25.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
25.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
25.1%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
25.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+3
25.7%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
25.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+46
20.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 46 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4621% → 27%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
20.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+77
27.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Joshua Simon for 77 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0474% → 81%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
26.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
26.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
25.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+23
25.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 23 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
25.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
25.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
25.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jeremy Darvin) to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
25.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Devante PeeteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
19.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 20 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
19.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
19.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 3
OWN 26
-3
19.8%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+12
19.5%
John Haggerty punt for 63 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 12 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 5:1081% → 87%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
19.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 6 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
19.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
19.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
19.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 9 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+17
18.3%
Hassan Hall run for 17 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
18.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+6
18.3%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
18.3%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Juwuan Jones and DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+5
18.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 12
OPP 24
-1
18.6%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 25 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
13.1%
Blanton Creque 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2916% → 11%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
16.1%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
16.6%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+30
10.6%
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd Steven Duncan fumbled, forced by Amonte Caban, recovered by Lvile Rodjay Burns , return for 30 yds, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
10.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
8.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-2
8.5%
Tutu Atwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 36 Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by WKent Devon KeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:3311% → 17%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
11.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
12.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Dorian EtheridgeSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
11.3%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+1
11.5%
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
12.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Gaej Walker for 17 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
12.2%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Lvile 8Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
16.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
12.9%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
13.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
13.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
12.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
12.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
12.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
12.9%
Mason King punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
14.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+15
14.8%
DUNCAN, S. pass incomplete to JACKSON, L., PENALTY UL pass interference (Johnson, A.) 15 yards to the WKU46, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
15.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
15.7%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+2
15.0%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+5
15.1%
John Haggerty punt for 37 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
9.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
9.9%
Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
9.9%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-1
9.6%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
9.8%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
10.0%
Mason King punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
14.2%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+13
13.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 13 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
14.7%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+4
13.9%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+9
14.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds Lucky Jackson fumbled, forced by Anthony Johnson, recovered by Lvile Anthony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
1.7%
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 62 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:284% → 10%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
3.6%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+5
3.7%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
3.7%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
3.7%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
3.1%
DUNCAN, S. pass incomplete to WALKER, G., PENALTY UL roughing passer (Character, M.) 15 yards to the UL41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
3.4%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+20
3.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 20 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
3.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Gaej Walker for 4 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+14
3.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 14 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
8.7%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
9.2%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
8.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
8.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej Walker, broken up by G.G. RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
8.7%
Steven Duncan run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
8.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Lucky Jackson) to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
8.0%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0997% → 97%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-11
2.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42 LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Javian Hawkins) to the Lvile 27Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 26
OWN 27
0
3.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 27 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 26
OWN 27
+24
3.1%
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 24 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
2.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-4
5.3%
Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+12
4.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Xavier Lane for 12 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+14
5.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Jack Fagot) to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.3%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
6.1%
KeShawn McClendon run for 6 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+9
6.1%
KeShawn McClendon run for 9 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
6.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
6.6%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-2
6.4%
Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 8Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
6.2%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Russ YeastSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5497% → 96%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
2.6%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
2.0%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-1
2.4%
Evan Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 14Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
3.6%
Mason King punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Clayton Bush at the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
2.3%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by G.G. RobinsonSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
2.3%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Monty MontgomerySimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
2.2%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
2.3%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 26END OF HALF
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:5397% → 98%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
2.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
2.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+7
2.7%
Evan Conley run for 7 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
2.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
2.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.4%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:26
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 62 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 11:12
Steven Duncan pass complete to Joshua Simon for 77 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
+6.1
FUMBLE · Q2 0:47
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd Steven Duncan fumbled, forced by Amonte Caban, recovered by Lvile Rodjay Burns , return for 30 yds, (Blanton Creque KICK)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com