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CIT

The Citadel 27 at Georgia Tech 24

GT
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Jacob Godek 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:05: Brandon Rainey run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jacob Godek KICK) — CIT win probability +21.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:29: Jordan Mason run for 25 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +28.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 1:51: Jacob Godek 47 yd FG GOOD — CIT win probability +32.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Brenton King 34 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +45.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Jacob Godek 37 yd FG GOOD — CIT win probability +24.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CIT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CIT 4th & 10 at CIT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46GT 4th & 5 at CIT 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45GT 4th & 11 at CIT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40CIT 4th & 2 at CIT 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:39GT 4th & 12 at GT 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:04GT 4th & 8 at GT 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:05CIT 4th & 1 at CIT 13, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:30GT 4th & 1 at CIT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−4.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−15.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:46CIT 4th & 28 at GT 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−4.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:29CIT 4th & 1 at CIT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.0%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:51CIT 4th & 4 at GT 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%−3.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−13.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CIT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:55CIT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:49GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15CIT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:50GT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:05CIT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:29GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 26 Brandon Rainey fumbled, recovered by Citad Brandon RaineySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
95.5%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
95.5%
Dante Smith run for 2 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
95.5%
THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Matt Campbell punt for 47 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
95.1%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 28 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
95.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jahaziel Lee) to the Citad 46Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Lucas Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+12
95.1%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 12 yds to the Citad 34Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-2
95.2%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 36Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
95.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:535% → 8%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.7%
Clay Harris run for 2 yds to the Citad 22Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
94.7%
Clay Harris run for 6 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
94.7%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.3%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 34Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
94.3%
Remus Bulmer run for 3 yds to the Citad 37Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+4
94.3%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
94.3%
Nkem Njoku run for 25 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
94.2%
Brandon Rainey run for 4 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
92.2%
Brandon Rainey pass complete to Raleigh Webb for 30 yds for a TD, (Jacob Godek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
92.7%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+9
92.5%
Lucas Johnson run for 9 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Malachi Carter, broken up by Lane BotkinSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
92.7%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 45Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
92.6%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
92.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Lane Botkin at the Citad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
91.5%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the Citad 17Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
91.4%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Citad 19Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+2
91.5%
Keyonte Sessions run for 2 yds to the Citad 21 Keyonte Sessions fumbled, forced by Tariq Carpenter,Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 2
OWN 21
-3
91.6%
Matt Campbell punt for 47 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:4590% → 91%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for no gain to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
90.3%
Lucas Johnson run for 7 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
90.5%
Lucas Johnson run for 5 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
89.9%
Jordan Mason run for 14 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
90.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 20 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
90.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 19 yds to the Citad 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.4%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Citad 4Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.2%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7INT
14 plays · 33 yds · 4:2110% → 13%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.9%
Clay Harris run for 1 yd to the Citad 26Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
89.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kaleb Oliver) to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.4%
Clay Harris run for no gain to the Citad 41Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
89.5%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the Citad 45Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
89.5%
Brandon Rainey sacked by David Curry for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Martin) to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
88.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 10 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
87.8%
Remus Bulmer run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+10
87.7%
Remus Bulmer run for 10 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
87.7%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
86.0%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-15
86.4%
Clay Harris rush for 2 yards to the GT15 (Jackson, Q.), PENALTY CIT illegal block (Haden Haas) 15 yards to the GT32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 21
OPP 32
-10
87.2%
Dante Smith rush for 11 yards to the GT21 (Thomas, Jua.), PENALTY CIT illegal block (Raleigh Webb) 10 yards to the GT42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 31
OPP 42
+23
87.4%
Brandon Rainey pass intercepted David Curry return for 8 yds to the GTech 34 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T.K. Chimedza) to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
86.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
86.9%
Tobias Oliver pass incomplete to Tyler Davis, broken up by Chris BeverlySimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-5
86.6%
Lucas Johnson sacked by Joseph Randolph II for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+1
86.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 42 yds , Lane Botkin returns for 1 yd to the Citad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9TD
17 plays · 67 yds · 5:1515% → 33%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
84.7%
Remus Bulmer run for 6 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
84.1%
Clay Harris run for 9 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
84.0%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 49Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
84.1%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
84.0%
Clay Harris rush for no gain to the GT48 (Owens, A.;Chimedza, T.K.), PENALTY GT offside defense 5 yards to the GT43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
83.7%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
81.3%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
81.1%
Remus Bulmer run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+12
80.1%
Nkem Njoku run for 12 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
78.2%
Dante Smith run for 8 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
78.2%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthySimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
78.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
78.0%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.1%
Dante Smith run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jacob Godek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
71.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4974% → 70%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
74.3%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
72.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Davis, broken up by Sean-Thomas FaulknerSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
70.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 51 yds, downed at the Citad 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
68.2%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the Citad 7Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
68.5%
Dante Smith run for 3 yds to the Citad 10Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+3
68.9%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the Citad 13Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
69.8%
Matt Campbell punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Citad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
84.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jalen Camp for 33 yds for a TD, (Lucas Johnson pass to Jalen Camp for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4521% → 47%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.4%
Clay Harris run for 15 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
77.7%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the Citad 43Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
77.2%
Brandon Rainey run for 6 yds to the Citad 49Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
77.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 6 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
74.5%
Dante Smith run for 12 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
73.4%
Clay Harris run for 5 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
73.1%
Clay Harris run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
74.3%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
53.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jacob Godek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 1:3561% → 60%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.5%
Lucas Johnson run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+22
62.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 22 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
65.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the Citad 40Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+7
65.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
64.0%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Tyler Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 35Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+6
63.0%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
62.1%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the Citad 24Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
60.3%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Citad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 8:4150% → 71%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
50.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
49.2%
Nkem Njoku run for 2 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+12
49.7%
Remus Bulmer run for 12 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.9%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the Citad 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
41.8%
Clay Harris run for 2 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+15
42.0%
Brandon Rainey rush for loss of 4 yards to the CIT43 (Thomas, Jua.), PENALTY GT face mask (Jackson, Q.) 15 yards to the GT38, 1ST DOWN CIT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
36.8%
Dante Smith run for 6 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
35.8%
Clay Harris run for 4 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
35.8%
Brian Murdaugh run for 5 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+8
32.4%
Brian Murdaugh run for 8 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
32.4%
Brian Murdaugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-10
32.9%
Dante Smith rush for loss of 2 yards to the GT18 (Thomas, C.), PENALTY CIT holding (Clay Harris) 10 yards to the GT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 21
OPP 26
+1
29.4%
Brian Murdaugh run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 20
OPP 25
-8
30.6%
Brian Murdaugh run for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 33 Brian Murdaugh fumbled, forced by Charlie Thomas, recovered by Citad Clay HarrisSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 28
OPP 33
+50
29.5%
Jacob Godek 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:1735% → 72%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+29
34.8%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Jalen Camp for 29 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
40.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
42.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
71.5%
Jordan Mason run for 25 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 18FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 5:3840% → 86%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.7%
Brian Murdaugh run for 4 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
58.2%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
59.1%
Brian Murdaugh run for 2 yds to the Citad 34Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
60.3%
Clay Harris run for 2 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
57.5%
Raleigh Webb run for 16 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
53.7%
Clay Harris run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
47.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Chris Martin) to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+5
46.7%
Brian Murdaugh run for 5 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
47.4%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-1
44.5%
Brian Murdaugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+4
45.7%
Brian Murdaugh run for 4 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
14.2%
Jacob Godek 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FG
15 plays · 0 yds · 16:3937% → 53%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
37.3%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Juanyeh Thomas for 9 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+11
38.8%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Mason for 11 yds to the Citad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-12
39.6%
Lucas Johnson sacked by Dewey Greene IV for a loss of 12 yards to the Citad 40Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 22
OPP 40
+10
30.6%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 10 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+18
31.0%
Jordan Mason run for 18 yds to the Citad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
39.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Kenny Cooper) to the Citad 17Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+34
66.0%
Brenton King 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+1
63.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the Citad 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 24
OPP 25
+1
61.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Citad 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+1
61.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Citad 23Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
-5
58.8%
Lucas Johnson sacked by Joseph Randolph II for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 28Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 28
+46
53.3%
Brenton King 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 20FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Brian Murdaugh run for 2 yds to the GTech 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the GTech 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
43.0%
Clay Harris run for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
26.1%
Jacob Godek 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Brenton King 34 yd FG GOOD
+45.8
FG · Q4 1:51
Jacob Godek 47 yd FG GOOD
-32
TD · Q4 7:29
Jordan Mason run for 25 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
+28.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com