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WAKE

Wake Forest 41 at Rice 21

RICE
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2019 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:58 · Adam Nunez punt for 43 yds , Sage Surratt returns for 13 yds to the WFrst 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−35.2Home team on offense−4.5Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:31: Tom Stewart run for 10 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +3.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:26: Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +2.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:04: Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 59 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:18: Kenneth Walker III run for 96 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 4:32WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:58RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:48WAKE 4th & 8 at RICE 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:16RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:10WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:32RICE 4th & 9 at WAKE 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:26WAKE 4th & 5 at RICE 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:26RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:50WAKE 4th & 12 at RICE 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:21RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:04RICE 4th & 5 at WAKE 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:38RICE 4th & 1 at WAKE 1, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.7%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:18RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:16WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:28RICE 4th & 8 at WAKE 31, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:55WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:39WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:32RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:31RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:55WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:04WAKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:18WAKE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:51RICE Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0591% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
8.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 18 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
8.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
8.8%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+17
8.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 17 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
8.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 7 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
8.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+7
8.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 7 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
8.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+15
8.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 15 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
9.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 15 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
9.7%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
9.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-10
9.6%
Wiley Green sacked by Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 31 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by WFrst Rondell Bothroyd , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:1090% → 91%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
10.0%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
9.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+19
10.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 12 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Tyrae Thornton) to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0710% → 12%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.6%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
9.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 14 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
9.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Justin StrnadSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
9.7%
Aston Walter run for 9 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
9.8%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+40
9.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 40 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
10.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Amari Henderson) to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
10.3%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the WFrst 2Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
10.3%
Wiley Green run for 1 yd to the WFrst 1Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.0%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
11.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 6 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
11.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+34
11.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 34 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 2:0012% → 16%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
12.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for 11 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
12.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+16
12.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 16 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
16.0%
Tom Stewart run for 10 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3686% → 88%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
14.3%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
14.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 15 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
13.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 27 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
11.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:5713% → 13%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.6%
Reagan Williams run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
12.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
12.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
12.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
12.9%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-10
13.9%
Tom Stewart sacked by JaCorey Johns for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+13
13.1%
Adam Nunez punt for 43 yds , Sage Surratt returns for 13 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:2687% → 88%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
13.0%
Jamie Newman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
12.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
12.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 7 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
12.5%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
12.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+34
12.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 34 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
12.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Scotty Washington) to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+6
12.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 6 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
12.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Steven Claude for 8 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
12.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
12.4%
Nick Sciba 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3212% → 13%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.4%
Reagan Williams run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
12.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
12.4%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
12.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
12.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Blaze AlldredgeSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
13.1%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
12.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
13.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
12.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+5
12.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Aston Walter for 5 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
12.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.0%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Luke MastersonSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
12.9%
Aston Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
13.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for 6 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
13.7%
Reagan Williams run for 5 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+8
13.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 8 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
13.9%
Tom Stewart sacked by Traveon Redd for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+3
13.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for 3 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
13.7%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Carlos Basham Jr.Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
13.1%
Adam Nunez punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
14.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
13.9%
Austin Trammell run for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
13.4%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
13.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 32 yds, downed at the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:0386% → 89%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
13.8%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Antonio Montero) to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+39
13.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 39 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
13.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 9 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+1
13.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
13.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
13.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 2 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
13.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Blaze AlldredgeSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
11.1%
Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.9%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
13.1%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
12.7%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
12.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
11.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
11.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+10
11.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 10 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
10.3%
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
10.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
10.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by D'Angelo EllisSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
10.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
10.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
11.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
12.7%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
12.6%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
12.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
12.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 50 yds, downed at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:4491% → 98%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
9.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 3 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+9
9.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 9 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
2.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 59 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 71 yds · 6:265% → 2%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
4.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 20 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
5.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 15 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.6%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
5.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+6
5.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+10
5.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 10 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
6.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
6.0%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
5.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Cameron MontgomerySimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+15
5.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Amari Henderson) to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
6.2%
Reagan Williams run for 1 yd to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
4.2%
Tom Stewart run for 4 yds to the WFrst 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
4.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, IS (1 Yards) to the WFrst 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the WFrst 1Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
2.4%
Tom Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
1 play · 96 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+96
0.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 96 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
0.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 6 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-2
0.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
0.6%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Amari HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
0.6%
Chris Barnes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 9Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+12
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 12 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
0.3%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-1
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:370% → 1%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Charlie Booker run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
50
+8
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Robert French for 9 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.2%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
0.2%
Tom Stewart sacked by Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+7
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 7 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+12
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 12 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
1.0%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 19 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.6%
Will Drawdy run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Will Drawdy run for 2 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
0.6%
Courtney McKinney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:04
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 59 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-7
TD · Q1 1:31
Tom Stewart run for 10 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
+3.5
FG · Q3 11:26
Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com