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OHIO

Ohio 10 at Pittsburgh 20

PITT
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 14:47: Alex Kessman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — PITT win probability +5.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:28: Vincent Davis 3 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +11.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:23: Alex Kessman 41 Yd Field Goal — PITT win probability +5.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:04: De'Montre Tuggle 7 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +13.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:04: Michael Farkas kickoff for 65 yds , Taysir Mack return for 20 yds to the Pitt 20 — PITT win probability +4.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49PITT 4th & 8 at OHIO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:49OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:34PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:31OHIO 4th & 18 at PITT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:47OHIO 4th & 16 at OHIO 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55OHIO 4th & 3 at PITT 6, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−9.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:48PITT 4th & 8 at OHIO 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:38OHIO 4th & 6 at PITT 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:50PITT 4th & 1 at OHIO 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:28OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:23PITT 4th & 10 at OHIO 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−6.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:04PITT 4th & 6 at OHIO 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:41PITT 4th & 2 at OHIO 47, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:44OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−3.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:59PITT 4th & 8 at OHIO 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:34OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:28PITT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:04OHIO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
63.2%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Eric Popp for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+7
63.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 7 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+7
63.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 7 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
63.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
63.1%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to BUCKNER, J. (Mathis, D), PENALTY UP pass interference (Mathis, D) 15 yards to the OHIO34, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
63.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+6
63.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+2
63.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-2
63.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 3:0563% → 64%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
63.0%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
63.0%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+15
62.8%
Pickett, K pass incomplete to Griffin-Stewart, QB hurry by 46, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BAKER, C.) 15 yards to the UP35, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
63.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 9 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
63.5%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
63.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 12 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
63.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 18 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
63.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
63.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
63.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 16Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+7
63.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 7 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
63.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete, broken up by Jared DorsaSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
63.9%
Alex Kessman 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.8%
Julian Ross run for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
63.5%
Julian Ross run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Julian Ross, broken up by Kylan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 7 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-3
63.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Julian Ross for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
64.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for no gain to the Pitt 5 Maurice Ffrench fumbled, recovered by Pitt Maurice Ffrench PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Mathews) to the Pitt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
63.4%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 5Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
63.3%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 5Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
63.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 10
OWN 5
+14
62.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 45 , Jerome Buckner returns for 14 yds to the Ohio 19 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:5337% → 35%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
63.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
63.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 6 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
63.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
62.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
62.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+8
62.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 8 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
62.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
62.4%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 13
OPP 29
-5
63.4%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 18
OPP 34
0
63.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 18
OPP 34
0
64.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre TiptonSimilar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
64.0%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
69.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+18
70.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 18 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:0671% → 83%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
70.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Todd Sibley Jr. for 2 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
70.9%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
70.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 7 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
71.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+8
71.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 8 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
71.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 11 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
71.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 7 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Vincent Davis 3 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3320% → 24%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
79.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
79.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 19 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+45
79.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 45 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
78.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
78.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Pitt 6Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
78.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner, broken up by Chase PineSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
75.8%
Louie Zervos 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:0777% → 79%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart, broken up by Dylan ConnerSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.2%
V'Lique Carter run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+23
76.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 23 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
78.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 20 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
78.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+10
78.2%
V'Lique Carter run for 10 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
78.3%
V'Lique Carter run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-5
79.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
78.6%
Alex Kessman 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1022% → 20%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 4 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
77.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+22
78.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 22 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
76.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
77.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
76.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner, broken up by Damarri MathisSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
79.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0083% → 84%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
83.4%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 9Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+11
83.2%
A.J. Davis run for 11 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.6%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
80.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
81.0%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 14 yards to the Ohio 21 OHIO Penalty, 1G (Nathan Rourke) to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 21
0
81.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+5
82.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 5 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
82.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
84.3%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+3
84.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+9
83.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 9 yds to the PITTSBURGH 49 OHIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-3
82.9%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0019% → 16%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
81.4%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Wendell Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+5
83.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-13
82.2%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Kylan Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 22
OWN 40
+8
84.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 22 , Maurice Ffrench returns for 8 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:4686% → 91%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
86.0%
V'Lique Carter run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
85.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 11 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
86.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 20 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
86.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 22 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
86.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Nolan Ulizio) to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 15
OPP 28
-2
86.6%
V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 17
OPP 30
0
86.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre TiptonSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+7
85.9%
V'Lique Carter run for 7 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
91.4%
Alex Kessman 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:199% → 23%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
90.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 5 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+27
90.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 27 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
89.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 34 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.7%
De'Montre Tuggle 7 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
81.8%
A.J. Davis run for 22 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
83.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Nakia Griffin-Stewart) to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+8
82.0%
A.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+11
83.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 11 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
83.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
83.4%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
82.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
81.5%
Kenny Pickett punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1818% → 14%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
82.5%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 14
OWN 11
0
82.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for no gain Jerome Buckner fumbled, forced by Patrick Jones II, recovered by Ohio Cameron Odom , return for no gain to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 11
0
85.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+6
86.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 45 , Maurice Ffrench returns for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
85.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
85.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
84.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
85.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Cam BrightSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
85.5%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Austen Pleasants) to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+1
85.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 13
OWN 5
-4
86.3%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 17
OWN 1
+1
86.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 45 , Maurice Ffrench returns for 1 yd to the Pitt 2 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
87.4%
Vincent Davis run for 11 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
87.6%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
87.5%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+4
86.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-5
86.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jerome Buckner at the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
89.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+3
89.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
88.8%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to ODOM, C., PENALTY UP pass interference (Mathis, D) 15 yards to the OHIO32, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
87.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
87.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
88.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by Damarri MathisSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+56
89.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 56 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25END OF HALF
11 plays · 69 yds · 0:0090% → 92%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
90.1%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+2
90.1%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+8
89.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 8 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
90.3%
A.J. Davis run for 18 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
91.2%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
91.4%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
91.3%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
91.4%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+13
91.1%
Vincent Davis run for 13 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
91.6%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-1
91.6%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:04
De'Montre Tuggle 7 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)
-13.1
TD · Q2 9:28
Vincent Davis 3 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)
+11.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com