Try the model
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:07 · Dakota Allen punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+30.9Home team on offense+6.1Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:17: Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +1.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43: Conor Blount pass incomplete to Keyion Dixon — EKU win probability +1.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:36: Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:45: Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9 — LOU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:58: Dez Fitzpatrick 5 Yd pass from Jawon Pass (Blanton Creque Kick) — LOU win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5EKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00EKU 4th & 17 at EKU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34EKU 4th & 15 at EKU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:47LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:20EKU 4th & 11 at EKU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:15LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:20EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00EKU 4th & 5 at LOU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:12LOU 4th & 7 at EKU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:07EKU 4th & 4 at LOU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43LOU 4th & 5 at EKU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:01EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 30, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:36EKU 4th & 4 at LOU 47, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:58LOU 4th & 5 at EKU 5, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:58EKU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:05EKU 4th & 14 at EKU 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:47EKU 4th & 2 at EKU 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:34LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:17LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:36LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:58LOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:05LOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:47LOU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EKUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.8%
Conor Blount pass complete to Matt Jr Wilcox for 10 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
91.8%
Conor Blount sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
91.8%
Phillip Richards punt for 51 yds, downed at the Lvile 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:1091% → 92%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
91.4%
Pass, J. deep pass incomplete to Atwell, T., PENALTY EKU holding (BASCOM, Ben) 10 yards to the LOU31, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
91.4%
Hawkins, J. rush left for 6 yards to the LOU37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY LOU illegal formation 5 yards to the LOU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+24
91.4%
Jawon Pass run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
50
+50
91.5%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 50 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
91.4%
Conor Blount pass complete to Alex Cabrera for 2 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-7
91.4%
Conor Blount sacked by G.G. Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 16Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+3
91.5%
Phillip Richards punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 41 , Tutu Atwell returns for 3 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
91.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
91.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
91.2%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+10
91.2%
Pass, J. deep pass incomplete to Atwell, T., PENALTY EKU holding (SUMPTER, Frank) 10 yards to the LOU48, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.3%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
91.3%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
91.2%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
91.1%
Mason King punt for 45 yds , James Smith Jr. returns for no gain to the EKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
91.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 10 yds to the EKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
90.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the EKent 21Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
90.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-5
91.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 20Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-5
91.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EKent 15Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+1
91.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the EKent 16Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
91.1%
Phillip Richards punt for 45 yds, downed at the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
90.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
90.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-1
90.6%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 46Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
90.5%
Mason King punt for 48 yds, downed at the EKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
90.2%
Alonzo Booth run for 2 yds to the EKent 8Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+1
90.2%
Alonzo Booth run for 1 yd to the EKent 9Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
90.3%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Alex CabreraSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 7
OWN 9
+33
90.4%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 15 , Tutu Atwell returns for 33 yds to the EKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3090% → 92%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
90.4%
Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the EKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 2:179% → 9%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
91.3%
Conor Blount run for 3 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-1
91.3%
Alonzo Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 31Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+10
91.3%
Conor Blount pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 10 yds to the EKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
91.2%
Alonzo Booth run for 4 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+14
90.9%
Alonzo Booth run for 14 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
90.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+1
90.8%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
90.8%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
90.7%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
90.6%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
90.8%
Conor Blount pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
-7
91.1%
Conor Blount sacked by Jared Goldwire for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2792% → 91%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
91.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to N/A for 14 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
92.2%
Tutu Atwell run for 11 yds to the EKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
92.2%
Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-2
92.2%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 40Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
92.0%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
91.2%
Jawon Pass pass intercepted Josh Hayes return for no gain to the EKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
90.6%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for no gain to the EKent 27Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
90.8%
Conor Blount pass complete to Adam Valiga for 14 yds to the EKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
90.4%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
90.5%
Alonzo Booth run for 3 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
90.3%
Alonzo Booth run for 6 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
90.1%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
90.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+4
90.3%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
90.2%
Dakota Allen punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5791% → 92%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
90.8%
Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
91.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 3 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
90.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to N/A for 13 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
91.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 16 yds to the EKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.4%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
91.3%
Jawon Pass run for 5 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
92.5%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
92.1%
Blanton Creque 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:429% → 8%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
90.9%
Conor Blount sacked by Boosie Whitlow for a loss of 12 yards to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+17
91.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 17 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
91.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds to the EKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:2492% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+66
92.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 66 yds to the EKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
96.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 36Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
96.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+9
96.2%
Conor Blount pass complete to Alex Cabrera for 9 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.1%
BLOUNT, Conor sideline pass incomplete to CABRERA, Alex, PENALTY LOU offside defense (Peterson, T.) 5 yards to the LOU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+2
95.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
95.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-2
96.0%
Conor Blount pass complete to Adam Valiga for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 47Similar
Q3 14:36
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Dakota Allen punt for 40 yds, downed at the Lvile 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:4797% → 100%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
97.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+8
97.3%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 8 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
97.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 14Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+16
97.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 16 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+6
97.4%
Jawon Pass run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
97.4%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (Taquan Evans) to the Lvile 39Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
97.5%
Jawon Pass run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
97.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 50 yds to the EKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
97.6%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the EKent 3Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.6%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the EKent 3Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.5%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 5Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Dez Fitzpatrick 5 Yd pass from Jawon Pass (Blanton Creque Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Jason Lewis run for 3 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+20
99.7%
Parker McKinney run for 20 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
99.7%
Parker McKinney sacked by Rodjay Burns for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 38Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+2
99.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Collin Sanchez for 2 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+10
99.7%
Parker McKinney run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 5
50
0
99.7%
Dakota Allen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+35
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Justin Marshall for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the EKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 26 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the EKent 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the EKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the EKent 1Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 5 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Parker McKinney run for 15 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Alonzo Booth run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
50
-2
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to James Smith Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 48Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-5
99.9%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 43Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Keyion Dixon for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Phillip Richards punt for 24 yds, downed at the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
99.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 24 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 6 yards to the EKent 48Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+38
99.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 38 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Ellis Cain run for 2 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Ellis Cain run for 6 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ellis Cain run for no gain to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 1 yd to the Lvile 27 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block (T.J. Holl) to the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
100.0%
Maurice Burkley run for 12 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+32
100.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 32 yds to the EKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the EKent 18Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-1
100.0%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:36
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+5
TD · Q3 3:58
Dez Fitzpatrick 5 Yd pass from Jawon Pass (Blanton Creque Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q1 2:17
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com