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USF

South Florida 10 at Georgia Tech 14

GT
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:16 · Trent Schneider punt for 57 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+7.7Pregame prior+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:53: Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +11.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:53: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 20 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +17.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:33: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 54 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST down — USF win probability +9.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:03: Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyler Davis for 11 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST down — GT win probability +5.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:23: Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST down — GT win probability +11.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 14:52GT 4th & 2 at GT 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:43USF 4th & 9 at USF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08GT 4th & 9 at USF 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:08USF 4th & 4 at GT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:40USF 4th & 4 at GT 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:34GT 4th & 9 at GT 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00USF 4th & 2 at USF 14, up 3
    Close callPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:30USF 4th & 7 at USF 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:37GT 4th & 6 at GT 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54GT 4th & 6 at USF 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:40USF 4th & 22 at USF 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00USF 4th & 1 at USF 31, down 11
    Close callPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:53GT 4th & 25 at GT 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:38USF 4th & 1 at GT 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−2.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:38USF 4th & 25 at GT 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:30GT 4th & 12 at USF 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:16USF 4th & 4 at USF 23, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:03GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:53GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:53USF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
60.6%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Mason for 9 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
60.6%
Lucas Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
60.6%
Lucas Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+4
60.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 55 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 4 yds to the SFla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
60.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Johnny Ford for 7 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+2
60.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
60.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
60.5%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
60.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-1
60.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+2
60.7%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2461% → 61%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
60.6%
Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
60.9%
Lucas Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+10
60.7%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Dontae Smith for 10 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
61.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
61.2%
Lucas Johnson run for 13 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
61.3%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+3
61.1%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 3 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
61.1%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Mason for no gain to the SFla 34 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+51
60.5%
Brenton King 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:2840% → 41%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
60.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 7 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Zamari Walton) to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
59.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
59.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
59.5%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+22
59.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 22 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
58.8%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
58.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+4
59.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
58.8%
Coby Weiss 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
58.8%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
59.5%
James Graham run for 5 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
59.2%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 1 yd to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-3
59.2%
James Graham sacked by Rashawn Yates for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+3
58.3%
Lucas Johnson run for 3 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
58.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4642% → 41%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
58.5%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 3Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+3
58.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 3 yds to the SFla 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+8
58.5%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 8 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 14
+23
58.8%
Trent Schneider punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 43 , Ahmarean Brown returns for 23 yds to the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:0260% → 64%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
59.8%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+1
59.0%
Lucas Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+15
58.4%
Johnson, L. pass incomplete to Carter, M., PENALTY USF pass interference (SAILS, KJ) 15 yards to the USF29, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
60.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 3 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
60.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 10 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.4%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the SFla 3Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.4%
Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.8%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:2638% → 38%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
62.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
62.4%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+14
63.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Terrence Horne for 14 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
60.8%
Blake Barnett run for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-1
60.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-4
60.6%
Blake Barnett sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 47 Blake Barnett fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
62.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4563% → 62%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
62.7%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Malachi Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
63.2%
Lucas Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+6
62.4%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Mason for 6 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
61.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 8 yds to the SFla 44 Bentlee Sanders fumbled, recovered by GTech David CurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
66.0%
Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
65.9%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
65.2%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
64.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-9
62.5%
Blake Barnett sacked by Adonicas Sanders for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 13Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 19
OWN 13
-3
63.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 10Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 22
OWN 10
0
63.8%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 22
OWN 10
-6
64.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 60 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:1964% → 78%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
64.1%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
64.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+19
64.1%
Jordan Mason run for 19 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
66.8%
Ahmarean Brown run for 2 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Dwayne Boyles) to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
67.1%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+11
67.1%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 19 Tobias Oliver fumbled, recovered by GTech Tobias Oliver for a 1ST down , return for 11 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
67.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+4
67.1%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
78.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:3925% → 25%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
75.7%
Johnny Ford run for 10 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
76.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Bryce Miller for 19 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
76.4%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 7 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Jah'Quez Evans run for no gain to the SFla 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
76.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 2 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+5
76.9%
Trent Schneider punt for 55 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for 5 yds to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
78.0%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-1
77.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+20
76.9%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 20 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
79.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+15
79.2%
James Graham run for 15 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
79.4%
James Graham run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 44Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 14
OPP 44
-14
78.8%
James Graham sacked by Tyrik Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 28
OWN 42
+3
77.6%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
76.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 39 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the SFla 12 Bentlee Sanders fumbled, recovered by SFla Eugene BowmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 44 yds · 2:5921% → 19%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
79.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Mitchell Wilcox) to the SFla 7Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+1
79.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 1 yd to the SFla 8Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 14
OWN 8
0
79.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+48
80.7%
Blake Barnett run for 48 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
77.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
77.4%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+3
77.6%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+6
79.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
76.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-6
77.1%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (William Atterbury) to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+1
78.9%
Blake Barnett run for 1 yd to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 17
OPP 36
-8
80.1%
Blake Barnett sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 25
OPP 44
0
81.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 38 yds, downed at the GTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
84.3%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 5Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
84.2%
Tobias Oliver pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+12
83.4%
Lucas Johnson run for 12 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
84.5%
Lucas Johnson pass intercepted KJ Sails return for 6 yds to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:2320% → 38%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
79.7%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Brentavious Glanton for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+6
80.2%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
62.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 20 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0071% → 74%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.6%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
70.7%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
69.1%
Harvin, P. punt 55 yards to the USF11, downed, PENALTY USF substitution infraction 6 yards to the GT40, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
72.8%
Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
71.7%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
73.9%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
74.0%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Dylan Deveney for no gain Dylan Deveney fumbled, forced by Nick Roberts, recovered by SFla Darius SladeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:4836% → 33%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+54
64.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 54 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
60.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (William Atterbury) to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
64.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
64.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
66.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the GTech 3 Jordan Cronkrite fumbled, forced by Kaleb Oliver, recovered by GTech T.K. Chimedza , return for 3 yds to the GTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:3373% → 77%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+11
72.6%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyler Davis for 11 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
73.1%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+32
74.2%
Jordan Mason run for 32 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
77.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jack DeFoor) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 15
50
-1
75.2%
Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jerry Howard Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+4
74.2%
Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
79.0%
Lucas Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
76.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 41 yds, downed at the SFla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
72.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+11
73.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 11 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
71.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-1
70.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+2
73.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+57
74.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 57 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:0486% → 90%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
85.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.1%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
88.8%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+13
89.3%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Patrick Macon) to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
91.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 46Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-3
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 15
OPP 49
-2
90.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:53
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 20 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-17.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:23
Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST down
+11.5
TD · Q2 0:53
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brenton King KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com